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Report detail
 

The Future of Wind Power: Increasing economic competitiveness as the technology matures  
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The Future of Wind Power: Increasing economic competitiveness as the technology matures

Published : October 2008

No.of Pages : 128

 
 
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This report analyses the future of wind generation – one of the fastest growing areas of the power market. It looks at how the wind power technologies are maturing and evolving and their impact on the electricity generation landscape. It examines how technological developments, government renewable targets and capacity additions are having a massive impact on the economics and uptake of wind power. It also looks at some of the environmental and regulatory aspects acting as both drivers and resistors of wind power generation growth. Drawing on over 35 separate sources, the report analyses the most current thinking on wind power generation. It gives the most comprehensive view on the impact of high levels of capacity growth of wind power, and analyses forecasts for the economic competitiveness of the technology and uptake in both developed and emerging markets.

This new report will enable you to...

  • Benchmark the competitiveness of wind power against traditional technologies with this report’s comparison of wind power generation cost and analysis of the impact of tax credits.

  • Predict future wind power growth in Europe, the US and key developing economies and understand the role wind power will play in meeting renewable energy targets using this report’s wind power generation forecasts for Europe, the US and China.

  • Discover the effects of technological changes on wind power with this report’s examination of changes in efficiency, reliability and costs as wind power technology matures.

  • Understand the key issues, drivers and resistors of wind power including the grid integration of higher levels of wind power as penetration increases.

  • Assess the environmental impact of wind power with this report’s assessment of the key environmental issues including an analysis of lifecycle emissions.

Some key questions answered by this report...

  • How fast is wind power generation capacity growing?

  • In what regions and countries will growth be highest in the future?

  • What are the key environmental considerations around wind power?

  • How cost competitive is wind power?

  • What kind of an impact will increased wind power generation have on grid integration?

  • How will the economics of wind power change in the future? 

Table of Contents :

 

Executive summary

Introduction

Wind resources

Wind turbine technology

Offshore wind

Environmental considerations

Wind integration issues

The cost of wind power

The future of wind power

 

Chapter 1 Introduction

Introduction

The development of wind power

The report

 

Chapter 2 Wind resources

Introduction

Wind speed

Global wind resource

Site-specific considerations

Sources of wind resource data

 

Chapter 3 Wind turbine technology

Introduction

The anatomy of a wind turbine

Turbine rotors

Yawing

The drive train

Generators

Towers

Power quality and safety

Major wind turbine configurations

Grid connection requirements

Capacity factors

 

Chapter 4 Offshore wind

Introduction

Offshore wind basics

Offshore turbines

Offshore support structures

Offshore interconnection

Regulations and planning

Offshore wind costs

 

Chapter 5 Environmental considerations

Introduction

Repowering

Environmental impact

Lifecycle analysis

 

Chapter 6 Wind integration issues

Introduction

Grid stability

Wind predictability

Wind reliability and energy storage

Integration cost

 

Chapter 7 The cost of wind power

Introduction

Capital costs

The cost of electricity

Operation and maintenance costs

Small wind turbine costs

 

Chapter 8 The future of wind power

Introduction

Market maturity

Cost comparisons with other technologies

Global growth

European growth forecasts

US capacity growth

Growth in China

Repowering

Small wind turbines

Conclusions

 

Appendix

WindData.com

Wind resource in Brazil

Canadian Wind Energy Atlas

Wind Resource Maps Hong Kong

Wind Power India wind resource ata

Mexico

New Zealand wind energy resource

 

List of Figures

Figure 1.1: Annual global wind capacity additions and cumulative installed capacity (MW), 1980-

2007

Figure 1.2: Global installed capacity by region (MW), 2007

Figure 2.3: Wind resource in the US by class (GW)

Figure 2.4: Potential wind resource in Russia (TWh/y)

Figure 3.5: Average wind turbine size, by year (kW), 1984-2005

Figure 3.6: Average wind turbine size in the US (kW), 1988-2007

Figure 3.7: 2007 US regional average capacity factors for wind projects built in 2006 (%)

Figure 3.8: Capacity factors for Californian wind projects by year of commercial operation (%),

2007

Figure 4.9: Growth in offshore wind generating capacity (MW), 1990-2007

Figure 5.10: Lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions for different power generation technologies (tCO2

equivalent/GWh)

Figure 5.11: Energy payback ratio for different power generation technologies

Figure 6.12: Wind penetration for the top wind countries (%), 2007

Figure 6.13: Integration costs on Northwest Power System ($/MWh)

Figure 7.14: Installed US wind project costs (($/kW), 1985-2007

Figure 7.15: US wind turbine costs ($/kW), 1988-2007

Figure 7.16: Wholesale wind electricity prices in the US ($/MWh), 2007

Figure 7.17: Wholesale wind electricity prices in 2007 by region for projects built in 2006 and 2007

($/MWh)

Figure 8.18: Levelized cost comparison between wind and conventional technologies

($2007/MWh), 2007

Figure 8.19: Future levelized cost comparison between wind and conventional technologies

($2006/MWh), 2010-2030

Figure 8.20: Global wind capacity growth forecast (MW), 2007-2012

Figure 8.21: Top ten countries by installed wind capacity (MW), 2007

Figure 8.22: Capacity additions (MW) during 2007 vs installed wind capacity (MW), 2007

Figure 8.23: European wind capacity forecast (GW), 2010-2025

Figure 8.24: German Wind Energy Association capacity targets (MW) for 2020

Figure 8.25: Forecast EU offshore wind capacity growth (MW), 2007-2020

Figure 8.26: US wind capacity additions to meet the 20% wind by 2030 scenario (MW)

Figure 8.27: Projections of wind development in China (GW), 2006-2050

 

List of Tables

Table 1.1: Annual global wind capacity additions and cumulative installed capacity (MW), 1980-

2007

Table 1.2: Global installed capacity by region (MW), 2007

Table 2.3: Wind classes as defined by the US DOE, base on wind speed at 50m above ground

level

Table 2.4: Wind resource in the US by class (GW)

Table 2.5: Potential wind resource in Russia (TWh/y)

Table 3.6: Average wind turbine size, by year (kW), 1984-2005

Table 3.7: Average wind turbine size in the US (kW), 1988-2007

Table 3.8: 2007 US regional average capacity factors for wind projects built in 2006 (%)

Table 3.9: Capacity factors for Californian wind projects by year of commercial operatio (%),

2007

Table 4.10: Growth in offshore wind generating capacity (MW), 1990-2007

Table 5.11: Lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions for different power generation technologies (tCO2

equivalent/GWh)

Table 5.12: Energy payback ratio for different power generation technologies

Table 6.13: Wind penetration for the top wind countries (%), 2007

Table 6.14: Integration costs on Northwest Power System ($/MWh)

Table 7.15: Installed US wind project costs (($/kW), 1985-2007

Table 7.16: US wind turbine costs ($/kW), 1988-2007

Table 7.17: Wholesale wind electricity prices in the US ($/MWh), 2007

Table 7.18: Wholesale wind electricity prices in 2007 by region for projects built in 2006 and 2007

($/MWh)

Table 7.19: Wind power prices for approved Chinese wind farms by Province (Yuan/kWh), 2007

Table 8.20: Levelized cost comparison between wind and conventional technologies

($2007/MWh), 2007

Table 8.21: Future levelized cost comparison between wind and conventional technologies

($2006/MWh), 2010-2030

Table 8.22: Global wind capacity growth forecast (MW), 2007-2012

Table 8.23: Top ten countries by installed wind capacity (MW), 2007

Table 8.24: Top ten countries by capacity additions (MW) during 2007

Table 8.25: European wind capacity forecast (GW), 2010-2025

Table 8.26: German WindEnergy Association capacity targets (MW) for 2020

Table 8.27: Forecast EU offshore wind capacity growth (MW), 2007-2020

Table 8.28: US wind capacity additions to meet the 20% wind by 2030 scenario (MW)

Table 8.29: Projections of wind development in China (GW), 2006-2050

 

Related Report:

  • Global Wind Power Market Analysis and Forecasts to 2020
  • Global Wind Power Market Potential-Site License
  • The Future of Wind Power: Increasing economic competitiveness as the technology matures
  • Wind Power: Opportunities in Emerging Markets
  • What Drives Wind Power Development in the US Policies or Potential
  • US Wind Power Development Industry Consolidation to Accelerate
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  • Related tags :
    Business, Business Intelligence, Demand Forecast, Economy, Market, Market forecast, Market growth, Market Leaders, Market Report, Market Share, Market Size, Marketing, Research, Technology, Wind Energy, Wind Turbine, Report


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