World Cement Forecasts for 2012 & 2017

Global cement demand to grow 4.7% annually through 2012. World demand for cement is forecast to grow 4.7 percent per year to 3.5 billion metric tons in 2012. Gains will be driven  by strong increases in cement consumption in the developing countries of the world, fueled by rising income levels and a focus on infrastructure development. Additionally, a rebound in cement demand in industrialized markets such as  the US, Japan and Germany, will further boost advances. However, gains will slow considerably from the 2002-2007 period, which was characterized by double-digit increases in demand in  China, which accounted for nearly half of global cement demand in 2007. The rate of growth in China will moderate considerably, reflecting a significant slowdown in construction expenditures. Product demand in India, the second largest national market for  cement, will climb at the fastest rate of any major market. Although small, Indonesia, Malaysia, Nigeria, Vietnam and the UAE are all expected to record gains in excess of seven percent per year.  In the developed areas of the US, Japan and Western Europe, cement sales increases will lag the global average, although improvement over the 2002- 2007 period is expected. In the US, for  example, the market is expected to benefit from a recovery in residential building activity, as well as strong government spending on nonbuilding construction through 2012. In Western Europe, a rebound in construction activity will benefit cement markets in countries  such as Germany and Portugal. Similarly, a pickup a construction spending in Japan following an extended period of decline will help bolster overall developed world market growth.

Blended cement to be fastest growing product

Demand for straight portland cement, which currently accounts for more than three-quarters of all cement sales worldwide, will be spurred by increases in global construction spending and further advances in manufacturing  technology. However, sales of blended cements will climb at a faster pace through 2012, driven by their relatively  low cost and favorable environmental profile. Cement firms are increasing the use of cementious materials such as fly  ash and blast furnace slag in their products, which reduces carbon dioxide emissions from the production of portland cement clinker.

Ready-mix concrete to offer best market opportunities

Ready-mix concrete is expected to be the fastest growing market through 2012, increasing its position as the largest outlet for cement. Ready-mix concrete companies account for a comparatively small but rising share of total cement demand in a number of fast-growing developing countries, particularly China and India, where large-scale construction projects will require significant amounts of readymix concrete. Consumer demand for cement will also expand at an aboveaverage rate, stimulated by overall market increases in developing areas, where consumer sales can account for half or more of all cement demand.

Study coverage

It presents historical demand data (1997, 2002 and 2007) plus forecasts for 2012 and 2017  by cement type, market, world region and for 47 countries. The study also considers market environment factors, assesses the industry structure, evaluates company market share data and profiles leading industry competitors worldwide, such as Anhui Conch, CEMEX, Heidelberg  Cement, Holcim, Italcementi, Lafarge, Taiheiyo Cement, and Votorantim.

Table of Content

Executive Summary

1 Summary Table

Market Environment

General

World Economic Overview

World Demographic Overview

Population

Urban Population

World Construction Outlook

Nonbuilding Construction

Nonresidential Building

Residential Building

Pricing Patterns

Technology Trends

Legal & Regulatory Environment

1 World Gross Domestic Product

by Region

2 World Population by Region

3 World Urban Population by Region

4 World Construction Expenditures

by Region

Cht World Construction Expenditures

by Region, 2007

5 World Nonbuilding Construction

Expenditures by Region

6 World Nonresidential Building

Construction Expenditures by Region

7 World Residential Building

Construction Expenditures by Region

Cht Relationship Between Cement

Demand & Construction

Expenditures, 2007

8 World Cement Pricing

Cht World Cement Pricing, 1997-2017

WORLD Supply & DEMAND

General

World Cement Markets

Regional Demand Dynamics

Demand by Type

Portland

Blended

Other

Demand by Market

Ready-Mix Concrete

Construction Contractors

Consumer

Concrete Products

Other

World Cement Production

International Trade Flows

1 World Cement Demand by Region

Cht World Cement Demand

by Region, 2007

Cht World Cement Demand - Projected

2007-2012 Annual Rate of Growth

2 World Cement Demand by Type

Cht World Cement Demand by Type, 2007

3 World Portland Cement

Demand by Region

4 World Blended Cement

Demand by Region

5 World Demand for Other

Cement by Region

6 World Cement Demand by Market

Cht World Cement Demand

by Market, 2007

7 World Consumer Demand

for Cement by Region

8 World Ready-Mix Concrete

Demand for Cement by Region

9 World Construction Contractor

Demand for Cement by Region

10 World Concrete Product Demand

for Cement by Region

11 World Demand for Cement in

Other Markets by Region

12 World Cement Production by Region

Cht World Cement Production

by Region, 2007

13 World Cement Net Exports by Region

NORtH AMERICA

General

Supply & Demand

United States

Canada

Mexico

1 North America - Key Indicators

for Cement Demand

2 North America - Cement

Supply & Demand

3-4 United States

5-6 Canada

7-8 Mexico

Western Europe

General

Supply & Demand

Spain

Italy

Germany

France

Other Western Europe

United Kingdom

Greece

Portugal

Belgium

Netherlands

Ireland

Austria

Switzerland

All Other

1 Western Europe - Key Indicators

for Cement Demand

2 Western Europe - Cement

Supply & Demand

3-4 Spain

5-6 Italy

7-8 Germany

9-10 France

11-12 Other Western Europe

13 Other Western Europe - Cement

Supply & Demand by Country

ASIA/PACIFIC

General

Supply & Demand

China

India

Japan

South Korea

Indonesia

Thailand

Vietnam

Other Asia/Pacific

Pakistan

Malaysia

Taiwan

Philippines

Australia

All Other

1 Asia/Pacific - Key Indicators

for Cement Demand

2 Asia/Pacific - Cement

Supply & Demand

3-4 China

5-6 India

7-8 Japan

9-10 South Korea

11-12 Indonesia

13-14 Thailand

15-16 Vietnam

17-18 Other Asia/Pacific

19 Other Asia/Pacific - Cement

Supply & Demand by Country

Other REGIONS

Latin America

Brazil

Other Latin America

Colombia

Argentina

Peru

Chile

Venezuela

All Other

Eastern Europe

Russia

Other Eastern Europe

Poland

Ukraine

Romania

Czech Republic

All Other

Africa/Mideast

Turkey

Iran

Egypt

Saudi Arabia

Other Africa/Mideast

South Africa

Nigeria

United Arab Emirates

Algeria

Morocco

All Other

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