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Oil Sands Global Market Potential  
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Oil Sands Global Market Potential

Published : April 2008

No.of Pages : 124

 
 
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This cutting-edge report provides details on production Technologies, Market Details, Project Cost Analysis, Major Alberta Projects Inventory, and, Market Outlook and Opportunities.

With most of the world’s known oil reserves concentrated in just a few countries, unconventional energy resources, such as oil sands, are now seen as a viable alternative to conventional oil and gas resources, and an attractive option for energy risk abatement.

Unconventional energy resources are resources that heretofore could not be recovered due to economic and/or technological barriers. However, as the price of oil and gas skyrockets and technology drives down the cost of oil sands recovery and production, this resource has become the new “black gold.” The demand for oil sands is expected to reach 10.31 million bbl in 2008, up from 8.59 million barrels in 2003 at an average annual growth rate (AAGR) of 3.7%.

Oil sands are a combination of clay, sand, water, and bitumen. They are heavy, black and viscous, but can be mined and processed to extract the oil-rich bitumen, which is then refined into oil. While the energy properties and potential of oil sands have been recognized for centuries, there had been no significant attempt to develop the resource until the mid 1960s.

Oil sands are currently found in about 70 countries, including Canada, the former Soviet Union, Venezuela, Cuba, Indonesia, Brazil, Jordan, Madagascar, Trinidad, Colombia, Albania, Rumania, Spain, Portugal, Nigeria, and Argentina. The United States contains scattered deposits of oil sands, mainly in Utah, Kentucky, Kansas, Missouri, Oklahoma, California, and New Mexico.

Three quarters of the world's reserves are located in two regions: Venezuela and the Athabasca region of northern Alberta and Saskatchewan in Canada. Oil sands represent as much as 66% of the world's total oil reserves, with at least 1.7 trillion barrels in the Canadian Athabasca tar sands and 1.8 trillion barrels in the Venezuelan Orinoco oil sands, compared to 1.75 trillion barrels of conventional oil, mostly located in Saudi Arabia and other Middle-Eastern countries.
Recently, investments in oil sands projects have become more attractive due to the increasing price of crude oil and technological advances that have enabled operators to bring down the cost of production. In less than 20 years of mining and upgrading, production costs have been cut in half.

It is expected that high oil prices, coupled with robust global oil demand, will continue to drive oil sands expansion. However, the prospects for oil sands as an energy source depend on the rate and costs at which they can be recovered and converted into quasi-conventional reserves, and challenges to extracting, transporting, and upgrading the resource remain. Moreover, production is sensitive to numerous outside factors, including the price of natural gas, the availability of water, and pipeline capacity to and from oil sands sites.

This report addresses these issues as well as issues relating to the economics, production, upgrading, transport, and marketing of oil sands.

Table of Contents :-

Executive Summary 5
Overview 7
Background 7
Energy Market 7
Current Scenario 7
Available Reserves 9
Outlook 10
Issues Concerning the Energy Sector 11
Potential of Unconventional Resources 12
Introduction to Oil Sands 14
What are Oil Sands? 14
History of Oil Sands 14
Creation of Oil Sands Deposits 15
Oil Sands and Bitumen 16
Oil Sands Resource Locations 17
Extraction 17
Transporting 18
Existing and Planned Pipelines 18
Existing and Planned Diluted Bitumen Pipelines 22
Production Technologies 24
Mining Extraction 24
In-Situ Extraction 25
Cyclic Steam Stimulation (CSS) 26
Steam Assisted Gravity Drainage (SAGD) 27
Emerging Technologies 28
Vapor Extraction Process (VAPEX) 28
Toe-to-Heel Air Injection (THAI) 29
Current Market for Oil Sands 30
Canada 30
Major Reserves - Alberta Oil Sands 34
Refining 35
United States 39
Major Reserves 39
Venezuela 42
Major Reserves - Orinoco Oil Belt 43
Asia 44
Economics of Oil Sands 45
Production 45
Sale of Byproducts 46
Electricity Cogeneration 46
Mining Process 46
Extraction 46
Froth Treatment 46
Processing innovations 46
In-situ Bitumen Production 47
Steam Assisted Gravity Drainage 47
Cyclic Steam Stimulation 48
Steam-Assisted Gravity Drainage (SAGD) 49
Cold Production 50
Upgrading 50
The Role of Natural Gas 51
Environmental Impacts 51
Project Cost Analysis 53
Mining Project - Suncor and Syncrude 53
Production Investments 56
Market Outlook and Opportunities 57
Growth Drivers and Challenges 57
Production Forecast 59
Recommendations 61
Develop projects with sufficient scale 62
Integrate upgrader operations 62
Use risk management strategies to minimize price risk 62
Enter into term sales and marketing contracts 63
Develop additional markets for synthetic crude 63
Project Profiles 64
Athabasca Oil Sands Project 64
Muskeg River Mine 65
MRM Cogeneration Station 66
Jackpine Mine 66
Scotford Upgrader 67
Hydrogen Manufacturing Unit 67
Corridor Pipeline 67
Horizon Oil Sands Project 68
BlackRock Ventures Inc. 69
Canadian Natural Resources Limited 70
Canadian Oil Sands Trust 72
Chevron Corporation 72
Connacher Oil and Gas Limited 73
ConocoPhillips 74
Deer Creek Energy Limited 75
Devon Energy Corporation 77
EnCana Energy 78
Habanero Resources Inc. 80
Hangingstone 81
Husky Energy 82
Imperial Oil 83
JACOS 84
Kearl Oil Sands 85
Meg Energy Corp. 85
Oilsands Quest Inc. 86
OPTI Canada/Nexen 87
Peace River 88
Penn West Energy Trust 89
Petrobank Energy and Resources/Whitesands In-Situ Ltd. 90
Petro-Canada 90
Shell Canada 91
Suncor Energy 92
Surmont 93
Synenco Energy 94
Syncrude Canada 95
TOTAL 98
UTS Energy Corporation 98
Voyageur 99
Small Scale Primary Bitumen Producers 100
Baytex Energy Trust 100
Bonavista Petroleum 100
Delphi Energy 101
Koch Exploration Canada 101
Krang Energy 101
Murphy Oil Ltd. 101
Ricks Nova Scotia 102
Appendixes 103
Current and Proposed Oil Sands Projects 103
Energy Conversion Table 104
Major Alberta Projects Inventory-$2 Million+ 105
Alberta Projects Inventory- Under $2 Million Value 109
Glossary 114

List of Figures :-

Figure 1: World Energy Consumption 8
Figure 2: World Energy Consumption by Fuel Type 8
Figure 3: World Proved Oil Reserves 9
Figure 4: World Natural Gas Reserves 10
Figure 5: Forecast - World Energy Consumption 11
Figure 6: NYMEX Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures Prices 12
Figure 7: Cyclic Steam Stimulation (CSS) 27
Figure 11: Athabasca Oil Sands 35
Figure 9: Ontario Receipt of Western Canadian Crude Oil - 2005 36
Figure 10: Western Canadian Receipts of Western Canadian Crude Oil - 2005 37
Figure 15: Supply Cost Sensitivities: 120 mb/d Athabasca SAGD Project -High-Quality Reservoir 48
Figure 14: Supply Cost Sensitivities: 200 mb/d Athabasca Mining/Extraction and Upgrading Project 54
Figure 16: Already Made and Planned Investments in Oil Sands Production 56
Figure 12: Natural Gas Prices for the last 15 years 58
Figure 13: Projected Oil Sands Production (2006-2015) 60 



Related tags :
Demand Forecast, Market, Market forecast, Market growth, Market Leaders, Market Share, Market Size, Research, Market Report, Report


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