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Country Risk Service
Continuously updated political, economic and financial risk analysis for 100 countries

           

Executive Briefing

Country Reports

Country Forecasts

Country Risk Service

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Country Risk Service
Continuously updated political, economic and financial risk analysis for 100 countries

Country Risk Service provides in-depth and timely analysis of the risks of financial exposure in 100 countries. The service helps you to make informed and immediate decisions about international creditworthiness.This service monitors emerging and highly indebted markets on a continuous basis, producing two-year forecasts for the economic variables that are most important for risk assessment. Variables include current-account balance, financing requirements, foreign reserves, short-term debt, "hot money inflows" and the vulnerability of the banking sector.

Country Risk Service will help you:

Measure political, economic and liquidity risk in 100 emerging and highly indebted economies.
Assess the risk of investing in the currency, sovereign debt or banking sectors of emerging markets.
Forecast the risk to your business, with up to 180 macroeconomic variables provided in each report.
Manipulate, display and analyse data in your own financial and risk-rating models.
Compare risk across countries, using standardised risk and forecasting methodology.
Limit your risk in emerging markets with early warnings of deteriorating and improving economies.

What framework does Country Risk Service use for analysing a country?

Overall country risk rating—a quantitative assessment of the risk of financial exposure in each country. It includes individual ratings of political risk, economic policy risk, economic structure risk and liquidity risk.

Political risk outlook—analysis of the threat to political stability from war, social unrest, political violence, regime changes, institutional ineffectiveness, corruption, crime and other key political factors.

Economic outlook—analysis of the state of government finances, economic growth and domestic financial indicators (money supply, interest rates, inflation and exchange rates).

External finance and credit risk—analysis of a country’s external financial position, including the current account, external borrowing, debt-servicing requirements and foreignexchange reserves.

Specific investment risk ratings—assessment of the risk of investing in particular types of financial instruments, namely currency risk, sovereign debt risk and banking-sector risk.

Two-year forecasts—all variables discussed in the report are projected to a two-year forecasting horizon and displayed in easy-to-read tables.

Statistical appendices—a complete, rigorous and up-to-date presentation of nearly 180 economic variables used in every report’s risk analysis. It provides a consistent seven-year historical and forecast data sequence plus historical quarterly data.

What countries does Country Risk Service cover?

Americas

Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Jamaica, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, Trinidad and Tobago, Uruguay, Venezuela

Africa and the Middle East

Algeria, Angola, Bahrain, Botswana, Cameroon, Côte d’Ivoire, Egypt, Gabon, Ghana, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kenya, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Malawi, Mauritius, Morocco, Namibia, Nigeria, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Senegal, South Africa, Sudan, Syria, Tanzania, Tunisia, Uganda, UAE, Yemen, Zambia, Zimbabwe

Asia and Australasia

Australia, Bangladesh, China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar (Burma), New Zealand, Pakistan, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Sri Lanka, Taiwan, Thailand, Vietnam

Eastern Europe

Azerbaijan, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Kazakhstan, Latvia, Lithuania, Macedonia, Moldova, Poland, Romania, Russia, Serbia and Montenegro, Slovakia, Slovenia, Ukraine, Uzbekistan

Southern Europe

Cyprus, Greece, Italy, Portugal, Spain, Turkey

Why subscribe to Country Risk Service?

The breadth of country coverage, frequency of updated reports and extensive numerical data and forecasts are unparalleled. No other risk service covers so many countries, in such depth and with a choice of updating frequency.

How we produce Country Risk Service

Who writes the Country Risk Service reports?

Country Risk Service reports are written by our team of inhouse analysts who are responsible for tracking a very small number of countries. This allows them to pay frequent visits to the countries they cover and specialise in each country’s economics and politics. Supplementing this expertise is the Economist Intelligence Unit’s unique network of contributors, based in-country. Every report undergoes a rigorous checking procedure to ensure factual accuracy and the highest standards of forecasting.

What data sources are used?

All are international or national sources judged by our analysts as the most reliable currently available. The handbook accompanying each report lists the standard source for each statistic, and accompanying notes at the end of each report indicate when an analyst has used an alternative source. The forecasts are uniquely our own. 

How we compare with the ratings agencies

Unlike the ratings agencies, we update our risk assessments every month. The result: we catch deteriorating or improving trends often
before the ratings agencies issue formal warnings.
Our analysts are country experts and typically cover just two or three countries in a region; by contrast, a single employee at the ratings agencies will cover many more countries. As part of the well-respected Economist Group, we provide ratings and analysis that is totally independent—we are not compensated by governments for our country ratings, unlike the ratings agencies.

The Risk Ratings Review

Every month we produce a comparative summary of risk ratings for all 100 countries. The Risk Ratings Review helps you to spot global trends and identify countries whose risk profiles are changing. The Risk Ratings Review is the ideal complement to your individual country subscriptions.

The Risk Ratings Review includes …

Comparative tables—listing of risk ratings for all 100 countries, including a full breakdown of each score.

Global and regional analysis—what this month’s ratings reveal about international and region-wide patterns of risk.

Up-to-date ratings focus—an explanation of why risk ratings have changed.

Watchlist—early warnings of countries likely to deteriorate or improve over the next six months.

Benefits of Internet delivery

eiu.com gives everyone in your organisation easy access to

Country Risk Service.

Features include:
Five-year archive access.
Full-text searching.
PDF or html formats.
Networked access—authorised users can be based in different cities or countries.
Free Country Risk Alerts by e-mail when you subscribe to five or more countries covered by Country Risk Service. The e-mail alerts keep you informed of significant changes as they happen in the risk outlook in any one of the 100 countries covered by the service.

Update frequency
Monthly.

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How to subscribe:

For more information or to apply for a free trial, contact the exclusive representatives for the SAARC region:

Bharat Book Bureau
207,Hermes Atrium,
Sector 11, C.B.D Belapur,
Navi Mumbai - 400614. India
TeleFax:+91-(022)-27578668 / 27579438
Website:www.bharatbook.com
E-mail:eiu@bharatbook.com
 
 
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