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Market
Indicators and Forecasts
A guide to market size and
growth potential for 60 key countries
How large is the overseas market
for your firm's products and services? Which countries and sectors
offer the highest potential? Where are the greatest dangers? To
help you answer these questions correctly—and ensure fast global
growth without high risks—the Economist Intelligence Unit has launched
Market Indicators and Forecasts, a unique analytical tool providing
reliable data on market size and potential for 60 key markets.
Market
Indicators and Forecasts gives you consistent, accurate and timely
data and forecasts on what you need to know to make effective global
business plans. Rather than spending untold hours trying to patch
together data from multiple sources, now you can access Market Indicators
and Forecasts and find just what you need in one convenient place.
What's more, these market data are fully consistent with the Economist
Intelligence Unit's proven macroeconomic data—so you can be assured
that you are basing important global decisions on the world's most
dependable source.
Key
features:
Ø
Detailed data and forecasts on a full range
of industries, including financial services, automotive,
energy, healthcare,
telecoms, technology, consumer goods,
food, beverages, tobacco, transport,
travel and tourism.
Ø
Comprehensive coverage of consumer demographics,
income, expenditure and housing. Key
macroeconomic forecasts, including GDP, inflation,
investment, trade and FDI.
Ø
Aggregate data covering nine major regions,
the G7 and economies in transition.
Ø
Risk ratings covering both country credit
risk and business risk, ranging from economic policy and
liquidity risk to
regulatory and security risk.
Ø
A variety of bank performance indicators,
including profitability, productivity, asset quality, income
statement and balance-sheet items.
Ø
Advanced functionality to allow you to manage
data easily. Functions include charting, exporting to
excel and sorting/selecting variables by country.
How
can you benefit from using Market Indicators and Forecasts?
Ø
Gauge market size and potential in the countries
and industries in which you operate or plan to
invest.
Ø
Develop a successful international strategy
based on our dependable forecasts.
Ø
Compare countries and industries easily with
data that have been chosen for consistency.
Ø
Assess the business environment quickly in
the places where you operate by using our proprietary
Business Environment Rankings.
Ø
Anticipate the risks to your overseas business
with our Country Risk Ratings and Business Risk
Ratings.
Ø
Do all of this in one place, on the platform
of your choice, with simple-to-use technology.
Who
uses Market Indicators and Forecasts?
Market
Indicators and Forecasts enables executives to assess accurately
the global marketplace. These executives include CEOs, COOs, directors
of planning and business development, marketing and sales directors,
market researchers, analysts, financial managers and economists.
It is especially valuable to professional services firms, consulting
firms, financial institutions,
universities
and government agencies, whose interests span multiple markets and
sectors. With a heavy focus on consumer markets and demographics,
it is ideal for organisations that offer consumer products and services.
Which
data series are included? Macroeconomic indicators
EIU
OVERALL RATING:
EIU
business environment rating.
MARKET
SIZE AND GROWTH:
EIU
market opportunities rating, nominal GDP, GDP per head, real GDP,
growth of real GDP per head and share of world GDP.
PRIVATE
CONSUMPTION:
private
consumption, private consumption per head, private consumption %
of GDP.
CONSUMER
SPENDING PATTERNS:
consumer
expenditure total, food, beverages and tobacco, clothing and footwear,
housing and household fuels, household goods and services, health,
transport and communications, leisure and education, hotels and
restaurants, other goods and services.
INVESTMENT:
total
gross investment, gross fixed investment and nominal gross fixed
investment.
GDP
BY SECTOR OF ORIGIN:
agriculture,
industry and services.
MACROECONOMIC
STABILITY:
EIU
macroeconomic environment rating, consumer prices, budget balance,
public debt, current account balance, exchange rate, The Economist
Big Mac index, real effective exchange rate.
INTERNATIONAL
TRADE:
goods
exports and imports, share of world goods exports, services, export
and import volume of goods and services.
FOREIGN
DIRECT INVESTMENT:
inward
direct investment, inward FDI flow, inward FDI stock, outward direct
investment, outward FDI flow, outward FDI stock, net direct investment
flows.
Demographics
and income
POPULATION:
population,
population growth, share of world population, male and female %
of population, population by age categories, young- and old-age
dependency ratio, birth and death rate.
URBANISATION:
urban
population, urban population % of total population.
HOUSEHOLDS:
households,
average number of people per household.
HOUSING
AND OFFICE SPACE:
total
housing stock, total housing stock per 1,000 pop, new dwellings
completed, EIU office space rating.
PERSONAL
INCOME:
gross
personal income, personal disposable income, real personal disposable
income, personal disposable income at PPP, average wages.
INCOME
DISTRIBUTION:
median
household income, share of household income, income distribution
of households by share, income distribution of households by income
bracket.
Automotive
CARS
AND MOTORCYCLES:
passenger
cars stock, new passenger car registrations, passenger car production,
motorcycle registrations.
COMMERCIAL
VEHICLES:
light
commercial vehicle registrations and production, medium and heavy
commercial vehicle registrations and production, total commercial
vehicle registrations and production,
bus registrations and production.
PETROL:
petrol
consumption
.
Consumer
goods
RETAIL
TRADE:
retail
sales (food, non-food, LCU, 1996 US$ prices, growth % pa).
CLOTHING
AND COSMETICS:
sales
value for clothing, footwear, cosmetics and toiletries, perfumes
and fragrances, skincare products.
HOUSEHOLD
GOODS:
sales
value of furniture and household cleaning products, consumer expenditure
on household goods and services.
ELECTRONICS
AND DOMESTIC APPLIANCES:
stock
and sales volume for TV sets, number of cable and digital TV subscribers,
sales volume for personal computers, refrigerators, video recorders,
washing machines.
DISTRIBUTION
INFRASTRUCTURE:
EIU
retail and wholesale network rating.
Energy
TOTAL
CONSUMPTION:
energy
consumption (tonnes of oil equivalent and kg per head).
BY
MAJOR FUEL GROUP:
coal
consumption, production and imports, motor and aviation fuel delivery,
natural-gas consumption, production and imports, LNG imports and
exports, LPG delivery, petroleum consumption, production, imports
and exports, refined products consumption, output and imports, refinery
capacity, nuclear electricity power generation.
ELECTRICITY:
electricity
production and consumption (total and per head), installed electricity
capacity, electricity transmission and distribution losses.
Food,
beverages and tobacco
CONSUMER
EXPENDITURE:
consumer
expenditure for food, beverages and tobacco (total and % of consumer
expenditure).
FOOD:
calorie
and protein intake, meat, fruit, vegetable and fish consumption,
sales volume of confectionery.
BEVERAGES:
milk,
coffee and tea consumption, sales volume of alcoholic and soft drinks.
TOBACCO:
sales
volume of cigarettes.
Financial
services
STRUCTURE:
Players by Institution Type:
number
of banks, number of insurance companies (all types) in market, number
of mutual funds.
STRUCTURE:
Employees by Institution Type:
banks’
employees, insurance companies’ direct
employees, insurance companies’ intermediaries’ (branches/agents)
employees.
STRUCTURE:
Branches by Institution Type:
number
of fullservice bank branches, number of ATMs.
STRUCTURE:
Concentration of Top Ten Players:
concentration
of top ten banks by assets.
MARKET
SEGMENTATION: Investment Products:
currentaccount
deposits (local, ex inter-bank deposits), time and savings deposits,
total AUM of institutional investors, pension funds’ financial assets,
open end investment companies’ (mutual funds) financial-assets,
insurance companies’ financial assets, other institutional investors
financial assets, local stockmarket capitalisation, excluding investment
funds, insurance companies’ total premiums, life insurance premiums,
non-life premiums.
MARKET
SEGMENTATION: Credit Products: total lending
(loans
plus debt securities purchased) by banking institutions, lending
to the private sector (bank loans toplus securities purchased from-
the private sector), lending to businesses (non-financial intermediaries),
lending to government (central), lending to individuals, including
residential mortgages, consumer and other personal credits including
credit-card balances, excluding mortgages, residential mortgages
and other housing lending.
MARKET
POTENTIAL: Basic Indicators:
population,
urban population, households, labour force, GDP, private consumption
expenditure, national savings (%), disposable income, M1 money supply,
quasi money supply.
MARKET
POTENTIAL: HH Income Stratification:
number
of households with nominal disposable income socioeconomic grade
A (>US$50K), socioeconomic grade B (US$35K-49K), socioeconomic
grade C (US$10K-34K), socioeconomic grade D (<US$10K), HNWI adults
with liquid financial assets >US$1 mn, bankable households.
MARKET
POTENTIAL: Wholesale Market Stratification:
number
of total businesses, number of small businesses, number of medium
and large businesses.
MARKET
POTENTIAL: Key Penetration Indicators:
total
lending per capita, total lending per income earner (lending/labour
force), total lending per household, total lending per bankable
household, total lending/GDP (%), business loans/number of businesses,
total consumer lending per capita, consumer lending per income earner,
total consumer lending (including mortgage loans) per household,
assets of institutional
investors/GDP,
total insurance premiums/GDP.
BANK
PERFORMANCE: Balance Sheet Items:
banking
assets, banks’ capital and reserves, bank loans, bank deposits,
net interest income.
BANK
PERFORMANCE: Income Statement Items:
non-interest
income (net), gross income, operating expenses, net income, provisions
(net), profit before tax.
BANK
PERFORMANCE: Asset Quality:
provisions/total
loans, capital and reserves/assets, lending to public sector/total
lending. Liquidity: loans/assets, loans/deposits.
BANK
PERFORMANCE: Profitability:
return
on assets, net interest margin (net interest income/assets), overhead
ratio (operating expenses/revenues), non-interest income (net)/total
revenues, non-interest income/operating expenses, operating expenses/assets,
non-interest income/assets, provisions/assets. Productivity Indicators:
loans/employees, deposits/employees, net income/bank branches, assets/bank
branch.
Healthcare
and pharmaceuticals
HEALTHCARE:
life
expectancy (total, male and female), infant mortality rate, doctors,
hospital beds, healthcare spending, healthcare spending % of GDP
and per head.
PHARMACEUTICALS:
prescription-only
medicine, pharmaceutical sales, medical equipment.
MORTALITY
BY MAIN CAUSES:
infectious
diseases, cancers, respiratory and circulatory diseases.
Telecoms
and IT
EIU
RATING:
EIU
ebusiness readiness rankings.
TELECOMS:
telephone
main lines, phone sets and faults, mobile subscribers, Internet
users, personal computers, telecommunications investment, IT: software
products, application software, systems software, hardware sales,
PC peripherals, server sales.
Transport,
travel and tourism
TRANSPORT:
total
length of roads and paved roads, % of paved roads, density of paved
roads, length of railway network, railroad density, air transport
freight, air transport passengers, EIU road, rail and ports ratings.
TRAVEL
AND TOURISM:
international
tourist arrivals, departures, expenditures and receipts, consumer
expenditure on hotels and restaurants.
Competitiveness
(labour, skills and productivity)
EIU
RATING:
EIU
labour market rating.
LABOUR
COSTS:
average
wages, growth in average wages, average real wages, overall unit
labour costs, manufacturing labour costs, manufacturing unit labour
costs.
LABOUR
FORCE:
working-age
population and growth, labour force, employment and employment growth,
unemployment and unemployment rate.
PRODUCTIVITY:
overall
productivity of labour and its growth rate, productivity of labour
in manufacturing and its growth rate, productivity of capital, EIU
availability of skilled labour rating, EIU quality of labour force
rating.
EDUCATION
LEVELS:
total
public spending on education, current education spending, primary
and secondary education enrolment ratio, higher education enrolment,
mean years of schooling, adult literacy rate.
TECHNOLOGY:
resident
patents applications and grants, nonresident patents applications
and grants, external patents applications and grants, R&D spending,
scientists and engineers in R&D.
Politics,
institutions and regulations
EIU
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT RATINGS:
overall
business environment, market opportunities, macroeconomic and political
environment, infrastructure, policy towards private enterprise,
labour market, tax regime, financing, foreign trade and exchange
regime, policy environment for
foreign
investment.
POLITICS
AND INSTITUTIONS (EIU RATINGS):
political
stability, risk of armed conflict or social unrest, defence spending,
transfer of power, terrorism threat, international disputes and
tensions, institutional effectiveness, government stance towards
business, effectiveness of system in policy
implementation,
quality of bureaucracy, transparency and fairness of legal system,
corruption, impact of crime.
PRIVATE
ENTERPRISE (EIU RATINGS):
degree of property rights protection, setting up new businesses,
freedom to compete, promotion of competition, intellectual property,
price controls, lobbying by special interest groups, state ownership/control.
LABOUR
MARKET (EIU RATINGS):
industrial
relations, restrictiveness of labour laws, wage regulation, hiring
of foreign nationals, working days lost to strikes.
TAX
REGIME (EIU RATINGS):
corporate
tax burden, top marginal income tax, value-added tax, employers’
social security contributions, fiscal system and new investment,
fairness of tax system, top corporate tax rate, top marginal rate
of income tax, VAT rate, employers’ social security contributions
rate.
FINANCING
(EIU RATINGS):
banking
system openness, financial regulatory system and market distortions,
access of foreigners to local market, access to medium-term finance,
stockmarket capitalisation, domestic credit provided by banking
sector, interest rate spread.
FOREIGN
TRADE AND EXCHANGE REGIME (EIU RATINGS):
capitalaccount
liberalisation, current-account restrictions, tariff and non-tariff
barriers, average customs tariff rate, import duties.
POLICY
TOWARDS FOREIGN INVESTMENT (EIU RATINGS):
government
policy towards foreign investment, expropriation risk, investment
protection schemes.
Country
credit risk
OVERALL
RISK RATING AND SCORES:
political
risk, economic policy risk, monetary policy risk, fiscal policy
risk, exchangerate policy risk, trade policy risk, regulatory policy
risk, economic structure risk, global environment risk, economic
growth risk, current-account risk, debt structure risk, financial
structure risk, liquidity risk.
CURRENCY
RISK RATING AND SCORES:
political
risk, economic policy risk, monetary policy risk, fiscal policy
risk, exchangerate policy risk, trade policy risk, regulatory policy
risk, economic structure risk, global environment risk, economic
growth risk, current-account risk, debt structure risk, financial
structure risk, liquidity risk.
SOVEREIGN
DEBT RISK RATING AND SCORES:
political
risk, economic policy risk, monetary policy risk, fiscal policy
risk, exchange-rate policy risk, trade policy risk, regulatory policy
risk, economic structure risk, global environment risk, economic
growth risk, current-account risk, debt structure risk, financial
structure risk, liquidity risk.
BANKING
SECTOR RISK RATING AND SCORES:
political
risk, economic policy risk, monetary policy risk, fiscal policy
risk, exchange-rate policy risk, trade policy risk, regulatory policy
risk, economic structure risk, global environment risk, economic
growth risk, current-account risk, debt structure risk, financial
structure risk, liquidity risk.
Business
operations risk
RISKS
TO BUSINESS PROFITABILITY:
Overall
score, security risk, political risk, legal & regulatory risk,
macroeconomic risk, foreign trade & payments risk, financial
risk, tax policy risk, labour market risk, infrastructure risk.
Which
countries and regions are covered?
Americas:
Argentina,
Brazil, Canada, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Mexico, Peru, United States,
Venezuela
Asia
and Australasia:
Australia,
China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, New Zealand,
Pakistan, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Sri Lanka, Taiwan,
Thailand, Vietnam
Eastern
Europe:
Azerbaijan,
Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Hungary, Kazakhstan, Poland, Romania,
Russia, Slovakia, Ukraine
Western
Europe:
Austria,
Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy,
Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey,
United Kingdom
Middle
East and Africa:
Algeria,
Egypt, Iran, Israel, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia, South Africa
Regional
Aggregates:
Asia
and Australasia, East-central Europe, Economies in Transition, G7,
Latin America, Middle East and North Africa,Middle
East and Sub-Saharan Africa, North America, Sub-Saharan Africa,
Western Europe, World
How
to subscribe:
For more information or to apply for
a free trial, contact the exclusive representatives for the SAARC
region:
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