The Mozambique Agribusiness Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts for production, consumption and trade across core agricultural commodities.
BMI's Mozambique Agribusiness Report includes independent commodity price forecasting and analysis for key agricultural outputs, an overview of the agribusiness competitive landscape and a discussion of the downstream context of agricultural production in relation to country food consumption forecasts and composite food and beverage trade forecasts.
- Use BMI's independent industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful planning in dynamic agribusiness markets.
- Apply BMI's medium-term commodity price forecasts to assist with budgetary planning and the identification of investment opportunities and potential risks.
- Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape Tables.
An analytical summary of BMI's latest key industry forecasts and views, highlighting recent changes and key risks to the industry outlook for agribusiness in Mozambique.
Industry SWOT Analysis
At-a-glance perspectives on the Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats facing the agricultural industry.
BMI Supply & Demand Forecasts
Typically divided into six sections, usually depending on a market's agricultural diversity, the chapter provides insight into each market's agricultural industry, centred on sector forecasts to end-2016 for the consumption, production and trade of key agricultural commodities.
Consumption forecasts are accompanied by a discussion of the main drivers of consumption growth: macroeconomic factors, food processing trends, price movements and, increasingly, demand from the non-food sector.
Production forecasts examine the trends influencing BMI's production outlook: global demand, price increases, public and private sector investment and agricultural efficiency improvements.
Trade forecasts are accompanied by a discussion of the factors influencing a country's trade in agricultural goods, including domestic demand, global prices and government trade policies.
BMI's forecasts are accompanied by a Risks- to-Outlook assessment, which examines potential factors that could affect our existing forecast picture and the likelihood of their occurrence.
BMI's Commodity Price Forecasts
Fundamental and technical analysis of the short- and medium-term price outlook for key agricultural commodities, based on globally-recognised benchmarks.
Downstream Supply Chain Analysis
Analysis of headline food and drink forecasts, including total food consumption, per capita food consumption and total sector trade, which provide important downstream intelligence for primary agricultural producers.
Analysis of the competitive landscape with tables comparing key agricultural commodity producers and traders, agribusiness suppliers and integrated agricultural producers (see list opposite). Metrics covered include: company country of origin, annual sales (US$mn), annual sales (local, mn), y-o-y sales value growth and main areas of operation.
Methodology & Sourcing
The Mozambique Agribusiness Report is based on an extensive network of multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.
Executive Summary 5
SWOT Analysis 7
Mozambique Agriculture SWOT 7
Mozambique Business Environment SWOT 8
Supply Demand Analysis 9
Mozambique Livestock Outlook 9
Table: Mozambique Poultry Production & Consumption, 2011-2016 10
Table: Mozambique Poultry Production & Consumption, 2007-2012 11
Mozambique Sugar Outlook 12
Table: Mozambique Sugar Production & Consumption, 2011-2016 13
Table: Mozambique Sugar Production & Consumption, 2007-2012 15
Mozambique Grains Outlook 16
Table: Mozambique Corn Production & Consumption, 2011-2016 17
Table: Mozambique Corn Production & Consumption, 2007-2012 19
Commodity Price Analysis 21
Monthly Softs Update 21
Cocoa: Signs Of Life 21
Coffee: Holding Key Support 23
Palm Oil: Uptrend Intact 25
Sugar: Watching Brazilian Yields 26
Cotton: Downside Risks 28
Table: Select Commodities – Performance & BMI Forecasts 29
Monthly Grains Update 30
Wheat: Upside Risks Materialising 31
Corn: Moderation In Place 33
Soybean: Looking Weak 35
Rice: Temporary Strength 37
Table: Commodity Performance 38
Upstream Analysis 39
GM Seeds & Africa: Significant Constraints To Growth 39
Fertilisers & Africa: Significant Obstacles To Usage Growth 42
EMEA Machinery: Emerging Europe Has Strong Potential 44
Downstream Analysis 48
Table: Mozambique – Food Consumption, 2010-2016 49
Table: Mozambique – Sugar Confectionary , 2010-2016 49
Table: Mozambique – Meat , 2010-2016 50
Table: Mozambique – Preserved Fish, 2010-2016 51
Table: Mozambique – Snack Foods, 2010-2016 51
Table: Mozambique – Sweet Biscuits 52
Table: Mozambique – Bread Products, 2010-2016 52
Table: Mozambique – Pasta, 2010-2016 54
Table: Mozambique – Soft Drinks, 2010-2016 55
Table: Mozambique – Alcoholic Drinks, 2010-2016 56
Mass Grocery Retail 56
Table: Mozambique – Mass Grocery Retail, 2010-2016 57
Mozambique Demographic Outlook 58
Table: Mozambique's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 59
Table: Mozambique's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 60
Table: Mozambique's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 61
Table: Mozambique's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 61
BMI Forecast Modelling 62
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 62