Jordan Defence & Security Report

The Jordan Defence & Security Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent forecasts for national and international security, the defence industry, military expenditure, employment in arms production, and arms imports and exports, as well as examining industry trends and prospects, national and multinational arms producers and the regulatory environment.
BMI's Jordan Defence & Security Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and regional competitive intelligence on the Jordanian defence and security industry.

Key Benefits

• Benchmark BMI's independent defence and security industry forecasts on Jordan to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and strategic business planning in the Jordanian defence and security market.
• Target business opportunities and risks in the Jordanian defence and security sector through reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Jordan.
• Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

Global and Regional Political Outlooks
A strategic overview of the world's major political risks, identifying countries facing leadership successions and nations at risk of upheaval, inter-state conflict or separatism and insurgencies, plus a summary of the world's 'wild card' low-probability high-impact risks.

SWOT Analysis
Snapshot evaluation of the major issues affecting the defence and security sectors, economy and politics, with issues subdivided into 'Strengths', 'Weaknesses', 'Opportunities' and 'Threats'.

Political Risk Assessment
Drawing on BMI's heritage of more than 25 years of Country Risk analysis, this comprehensively evaluates the key risks to domestic politics and foreign relations, focusing on issues most likely to affect either domestic security or the defence sector.

Security Risk Analysis
BMI's proprietary Security Risk Ratings provide a reliable - and country comparable - guide to conflict, terrorism and criminal risk, backed up by our analyst's latest assessment of each component. Furthermore, drawing on our country risk expertise, we assess the state's vulnerability to a serious - or prolonged - terrorist campaign.

Armed Forces Spending/Expenditure
The reports contain a detailed breakdown of areas of expenditure by the armed forces, these include spending on international deployments, WMDs and missile defence systems as well as individual breakdowns of the cost-per-soldier.

Domestic Security Overview
The domestic security overview lists the various potential internal security threats facing a country, ranging from internal security issues such as terrorism, cyber terrorism, crime and drugs, to external security issues including general defence procedures and potential threats from specific countries.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario
Historic data series and forecasts to end-2017 for key industry indicators supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.
Budgets & Expenditure: Defence expenditure (local currency and US$bn); defence expenditure (% of total budget); defence expenditure (% of GDP); defence expenditure per capita, US$; defence budget (local currency and US$bn).
Employment: Employment in arms production (`000s); employment in arms production (% of labour force).
Macroeconomic: BMI's forecasts and analysis of all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

Company Profiles
Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Executive Summary 5
SWOT Analysis 7
Jordan Security SWOT 7
Jordan Defence Industry SWOT 8
Jordan Political SWOT 9
Jordan Economic SWOT 9
Jordan Business Environment SWOT 10
Global Political Outlook 11
Middle East Security Overview 14
The Strategic Outlook For The 2010s 14
The Middle East In A Global Context 14
Challenges And Threats To Stability And Security 15
Regional Power Dynamics 25
Nuclear Proliferation 27
External Powers 28
Scenarios For The Middle East 30
Scenario Three: Political Liberalisation Takes Hold 31
Security Risk Ratings 32
Table: Middle East And Africa Defence & Security Ratings 32
Table: Middle East And Africa State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index3 3
Jordan's Security Risk Ratings 33
Political Overview 35
Domestic Politics I35
More Of The Same, For Now 35
Domestic Politics II 38
Prime Minister Set To Resign-38
Long-Term Political Outlook 40
Long-Term Political Outlook - Further Reforms On The Horizon-40
Jordan Security Overview 43
Internal Security Situation 43
Terrorism 46
Ongoing Threats 48
Southern Dissent 49
Latest Developments 49
Regional External Security Situation 51
International 52
Latest Developments 54
Armed Forces And Government Spending 56
Armed Forces 56
Defence Equipment 57
International Deployments 57
Table: Jordan's Foreign Deployments 58
Market Overview 59
Arms Trade Overview 60
Industry Trends And Developments 63
Procurement Trends And Developments 65
Latest Developments 66
Industry Forecast Scenario 68
Armed Forces 68
Table: Armed Forces, 2002-2008 ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated) 68
Table: Manpower Available For Military Service, 2010-2017 (aged 16-49, unless otherwise stated) 68
Defence Expenditure 68
Table: Jordan's Defence Expenditure, 2010-2017 69
Table: Expenditure Scenario - Changing % Of GDP, 2010-201770
Defence Trade 71
Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario71
Macroeconomic Forecast71
Slowdown Ahead71
Table: Jordan - Economic Activity, 2011-201674
Company Profiles75
Indigenous Manufacturers75
King Abdullah II Design and Development Bureau (KADDB)75
Joint Ventures77
Jordan Light Vehicle Manufacturing (JLVM)77
Foreign Manufacturers 78
Raytheon Technical Services Company (RTSC) 78
RUAG Land Systems 79
General Dynamics Land Systems (GDLS) 80
United Defense 80
BMI Methodology 81
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 81
Defence Industry 81
Sources 82