Iran Power Report

Product Description

The Iran Power Report, researched at source, features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts covering electricity generation by fuel (gas, coal, oil, nuclear, hydro and renewable) plus consumption, trade, generation costs and transmission.

The Iran Power Report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes, recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing national and multinational operators by sales, market share, investments, projects, partners and expansion strategies.

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis, covering power markets, regulatory changes, major investments, projects and company developments.

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the power sector, and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

Market Overview

Structure, size and value of the industry sector; overview of the industry landscape and key players; assessment of the business operating environment and the latest regulatory developments.

BMI's Power Business Environment Ratings provide a country-comparative Risk-Reward Ratings index aimed at investors (power companies, services companies and equity investors) in the regional power market.

The ratings methodology makes sophisticated use of over 40 industry, economic and demographic data points and is part of BMI's integrated Country Risk-Industry Ratings products.

Historic data series (2007-2011) and forecasts to end-2016 for all key industry indicators (see list below) supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Electricity: Electricity generation (Twh), electricity consumption (Twh), electricity imports/exports (Twh), electricity consumption per capita (MW), electricity cost per capita (US$), primary energy consumption per capita (toe), thermal power generation (Twh)

Gas: Gas consumption (bcm), gas use in power generation (bcm & US$mn), % total gas consumption, % electricity generation, % primary energy consumption, imports/exports (bcm, US$mn), gas-fired generation (Twh), gas power cost (US$mn)

Coal: Coal consumption (mn toe), % electricity generation, % primary energy consumption (%), imports/exports (mn tonnes, US$mn), coal-fired generation (Twh), coal power cost (US$mn)

Oil: Oil consumption ('000 b/d), oil use in power generation (mn bbl & US$mn), % total oil consumption, % electricity generation, % primary energy consumption, imports/exports ('000 b/d, US$mn), oil-fired generation (Twh), oil power cost (US$mn)

Nuclear: Nuclear consumption (Twh), nuclear-fired generation (Twh), % electricity generation, % primary energy consumption, nuclear power cost (US$mn)

Hydro: Hydro consumption (Twh), hydro power generation (Twh), % electricity generation, % primary energy consumption, hydro power cost (US$mn)

Renewables: Renewables energy consumption (Twh), renewables energy generation (Twh), % total renewables consumption), % electricity generation, %primary energy consumption, renewables power cost (US$mn)

Power costs: Cost of power generation (US$mn), cost per Twh (US$), cost of power imports/exports (US$mn), overall power cost (US$mn), residential power cost per Kwh (US$)

Economic: Nominal GDP (US$bn), real GDP growth (%), GDP per capita (US$), population (mn), unemployment (%), exchange rate (against US$)

Regional long-term power forecasts covering electricity generation, primary energy demand and thermal, hydroelectric and nuclear power generation. Supported by a country-specific overview alongside analysis of the key downside risks to the main forecasts.

Executive Summary 5

SWOT Analysis 6

Iran Power SWOT 6

Global Industry Overview 7

Regional Industry Overview 11

Industry Forecast Scenario 16

Iran Snapshot (Macro) 16

Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data 16

Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 16

Iran Forecast Scenario 17

Electricity Generation and Power Generating Capacity 17

Table: Iran Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts, 2008-2016 17

Table: Iran Total Electricity Generation Long-Term Forecasts, 2013-2021 18

Table: Iran Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts, 2008-2016 20

Table: Iran Electricity Generating Capacity Long-Term Forecasts, 2013-2021 21

Electricity Consumption 26

Table: Iran Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts, 2008-2016 26

Table: Iran Total Electricity Consumption Long-Term Forecasts, 2013-2021 26

Transmission & Distribution, Imports & Exports 28

Table: Iran Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts, 2008-2016 28

Table: Iran Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Long-Term Forecasts, 2013-2021 28

Table: Iran Trade Data And Forecasts, 2008-2016 28

Table: Iran Long-Term Trade Forecasts, 2013-2021 28

Key Policies/Market Structure 31

Regulation and Competition 31

Key Projects Database 33

Table: Iran – Power Plants & Transmission Grids 33

Risk/Reward Ratings 34

MEA Regional Power Risk/Reward Ratings 34

Table: MEA Power Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of 100) 35

Iran Power Risk/Reward Ratings 38

Rewards 38

Risks 38

Competitive Landscape 39

Glossary of Terms 40

Table: Glossary of Terms 40

Methodology And Sources 41

Industry Forecasts 41

Power Industry - Data Methodology 42

Generation and Consumption Data 42

Electricity Generation Capacity Data 43

Power Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 43

Table: Power Risk/Reward Indicators 45

Sources 46