Cameroon Agribusiness Report

 Published On: Sep, 2016 |    No of Pages: 67 |  Published By: BMI Agribusiness | Format: PDF
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BMI View: We have not made significant revisions to our forecast outlook in this Q4 2016 quarterly update. We hold the view that cocoa remains Cameroon's most important cash crop. We hold a positive view on the country's cocoa production as it has ample room for growth and an increasingly stable access to export markets. Over the remainder of our forecast period to 2019/20, we believe improved production techniques will give cocoa farmers new opportunities to sell greater quantities of beans on international markets. More broadly, we see growth in the production and consumption of all key soft commodities in Cameroon, including sugar and coffee. Increasing government support will help to maintain investment and growth in these crops.

Latest Updates
- Corn production growth 2014/15 to 2019/20: 9.4% to 1.75mn tonnes. Corn is Cameroon's most significant grain crop and a major food staple in the country. Production will continue to see growth out to 2020 on the back of increased investment, relatively high prices and the growing use of improved seeds.
-Cocoa production growth 2014/15 to 2019/20: 14.2% to 265,000 tonnes. Cocoa is the most important cash crop in Cameroon, the world's fifth largest producer. We hold a bullish view on the country's cocoa production as it has ample room for growth and an increasingly stable access to export markets. Meanwhile, we expect household demand for cocoa to increase consistently over our forecast period.
-2016 real GDP growth: 5.3% (down from 5.7% in 2015).
BMI Industry View ... 7
Latest Updates .. 7
Structural Trends ....... 8
SWOT ...... 9
Agribusiness ...... 9
Industry Forecast .. 11
Cocoa Outlook . 11
Latest Updates  11
Table: Cameroon - Cocoa Production & Consumption Outlook . . . 11
Table: Risks To Outlook . . 12
Structural Trends ..... 12
Table: Cocoa Production & Consumption (Cameroon 2012-2020) 15
Coffee Outlook . 16
Latest Updates  16
Table: Cameroon - Coffee Production & Consumption Outlook . . . 16
Table: Risks To Outlook . . 16
Structural Trends ..... 17
Table: Coffee Production & Consumption (Cameroon 2012-2020) 19
Sugar Outlook .. 20
Latest Updates  20
Table: Cameroon - Sugar & Production Outlook 20
Table: Risks To Outlook . . 20
Structural Trends ..... 21
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Cameroon 2012-2020) 24
Grains Outlook  25
Latest Updates  25
Table: Cameroon - Grains Production & Consumption Outlook . . 25
Table: Risks To Outlook . . 26
Structural Trends ..... 26
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Cameroon 2012-2020) . 28
Commodity Strategy ...... 29
Commodities Forecasts ........ 29
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts 29
Upstream Analysis  31
Africa Machinery Outlook .... 31
Table: How Africa Compares With Other Regions . . . . . 31
Africa GM Outlook .... 37
Africa Fertiliser Outlook ...... 44
Downstream Analysis .... 50
Food ..... 50
Latest Updates  50
Structural Trends ..... 51
Table: Food Sales (Cameroon 2013-2020) . 52
Regional Overview  55
Middle East & Africa Regional Overview .. 55
Demographic Forecast .. 61
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Cameroon 1990-2025) . . . 62
Table: Key Population Ratios (Cameroon 1990-2025) . 62
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Cameroon 1990-2025) . . 63
Table: Population By Age Group (Cameroon 1990-2025) . . . 63
Table: Population By Age Group % (Cameroon 1990-2025) 64
Methodology . 66
Industry Forecast Methodology .... 66
Sector-Specific Methodology ........ 67
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