Colombia Agribusiness Report

 Published On: Sep, 2016 |    No of Pages: 90 |  Published By: BMI Agribusiness | Format: PDF
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BMI View: Colombia's agribusiness sector is being held back by a number of deep structural challenges including the lingering consequences of internal armed conflict, structural inefficiencies, low competitiveness and poor policy choices. As a result, area cultivated and yields have stagnated over the past decade. However, after several decades of disappointing growth in Colombia's agribusiness sector, the outlook for production and exports is brightening. The efforts made to resolve the conflict, coupled with the potential for upcoming agricultural reforms, have paved the way for the revival of Colombia's agribusiness.

The coffee, fruits, sugar, palm oil and horticulture sectors offer the best opportunities. Colombian agriculture enjoys a large diversity thanks to abundant natural resources and diverse climates and topography. Although FTAs may undermine the livestock and dairy sectors, they also provide Colombia with large export markets. The US and EU, which are the main markets for Colombian agricultural products, will see their imports grow in the coming years with the decrease in tariffs.

Key Forecasts
-Palm oil production growth to 2019/20: 46.7% to 1.9mn bags. The palm oil sector will continue to grow at a fast pace, as plantation expansion will be helped by the ongoing pacification of the country and the government's Plan Siembra.
-Corn consumption growth to 2020: 18.0% to 7.1mn tonnes. Corn consumption will expand at a faster pace than production over the medium term, boosted by the growth in the livestock sector, especially in the poultry segment. The domestic corn deficit will reach 4.75mn tonnes by 2018/19, compared with 3.95mn tonnes in 2013/14.
BMI Industry View ... 7
SWOT .......... 10
Industry Forecast .. 12
Grains Outlook ... 12
Table: Colombia - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook               . 12
Table: Colombia - Risks To Grains Outlook                   13
Table: Colombia - Select Grains Production & Consumption, 2013-2020f             . . . . 17
Sugar Outlook ..... 18
Table: Colombia - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook               . . 18
Table: Colombia - Risks To Sugar Outlook                   . 19
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Colombia 2012-2020)               . 23
Coffee Outlook .... 24
Table: Colombia - Coffee Production And Consumption Outlook               . 25
Table: Colombia - Risks To Coffee Outlook                   25
Table: Coffee Production & Consumption (Colombia 2012-2020)               29
Cocoa Outlook .... 30
Table: Colombia - Cocoa Production And Consumption Outlook               . 30
Table: Colombia - Risks To Cocoa Outlook                   30
Table: Cocoa Production & Consumption (Colombia 2012-2020)               32
Dairy Outlook ..... 33
Table: Colombia - Dairy Production And Consumption Outlook               . . 33
Table: Colombia - Risks To Dairy Outlook                   . 34
Table: Dairy Production & Consumption (Colombia 2012-2020)               . 37
Livestock Outlook  38
Table: Colombia - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook              . . . . 38
Table: Colombia - Risks To Livestock Outlook                  . . . 39
Table: Livestock Production & Consumption (Colombia 2014-2020)              . . . 41
Commodities Price Analysis ......... 42
Commodities Price Forecasts ......... 42
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts                42
Featured Analysis .. 44
New Agricultural Plan Confirms Promising Outlook .. 44
Table: Agricultural Production & Consumption (Colombia, 2013-2020f)             . . . . . 48
Upstream Analysis  49
Americas GM Outlook ...... 49
Americas Machinery Outlook ......... 57
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates)            . 60
Americas Fertiliser Outlook ........... 64
Downstream Analysis ....... 71
Food ..... 71
Latest Updates ... 71
Structural Trends ........... 72
Table: Food Sales (Colombia 2013-2020)                   . . 74
Regional Overview  77
Competitive Landscape .... 83
Table: Key Agribusiness Players                    . . . . . 83
Demographic Forecast ..... 84
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Colombia 1990-2025)               . . . . 85
Table: Key Population Ratios (Colombia 1990-2025)                 . 85
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Colombia 1990-2025)             . . . 86
Table: Population By Age Group (Colombia 1990-2025)                . . . . 86
Table: Population By Age Group % (Colombia 1990-2025)                . 87
Methodology .......... 89
Industry Forecast Methodology .... 89
Sector-Specific Methodology ........ 90
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