Iran Agribusiness Report

 Published On: Sep, 2016 |    No of Pages: 43 |  Published By: BMI Agribusiness | Format: PDF
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BMI View: The removal of almost all sanctions on Iran's economy heralds a new era for the country. In terms of agriculture, the return of economic growth will have the most rapid and direct impact on consumption. Production and investment in the supply chain will also benefit, but over the longer term. Therefore, production expansion will be slower than consumption growth in the coming years and Iran will remain a large and growing importer of key commodities. The lifting of sanctions will also lead to a normalisation of trade flows, which will encompass a rise in imports and the re-diversification of suppliers.

Key Forecasts
-Wheat production growth to 2019/20: 23.0% to 16.2mn tonnes. Wheat yields are expected to improve owing to the modernisation of technology, including hardier grains variants, greater access to relevant inputs and a larger area of the country benefiting from new irrigation facilities.
-Sugar consumption growth to 2020: 27.6% to 3.1mn tonnes. Sugar demand will be mainly driven by population growth and the improved macroeconomic conditions following the lifting of sanctions from 2016.
BMI Industry View . 7
SWOT  10
Industry Forecast  12
Grains Outlook ..... 12
Latest Updates ..... 12
Table: Iran - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook                . 13
Table: Iran - Risks To Grains Outlook                   . . . . . 13
Structural Trends . 13
Table: Grains Production And Consumption (Iran 2013-2020)               . . . . 16
Rice Outlook ......... 17
Latest Updates ..... 17
Table: Iran - Rice Production And Consumption Outlook                . . . 17
Table: Iran - Risks To Rice Outlook                    . . 18
Structural Trends . 19
Table: Rice Production & Consumption (Iran 2012-2020)                . . 20
Sugar Outlook ....... 21
Latest Updates ..... 21
Table: Iran - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook                . . 21
Table: Iran - Risks To Sugar Outlook                    21
Structural Trends . 22
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Iran 2013-2020)                . 24
Dairy Outlook ....... 25
Latest Updates ..... 25
Table: Iran - Milk Production And Consumption Outlook                . . . 25
Table: Iran - Risks To Dairy Outlook                    . 26
Structural Trends . 26
Table: Milk Production & Consumption (Iran 2012-2020)                . . 28
Livestock Outlook .. 29
Latest Updates ..... 29
Table: Iran - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook               . . . . 30
Table: Iran - Risks To Livestock Outlook                   . . . 30
Structural Trends . 30
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Iran 2012-2020)                . . 33
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Iran 2012-2020)               . . . . . 34
Commodities Price Analysis ... 35
Global - Global Commodities Strategy ..... 35
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts               . . . . 35
Demographic Forecast . 37
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Iran 1990-2025)                . . . . 38
Table: Key Population Ratios (Iran 1990-2025)                  . 38
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Iran 1990-2025)              . . . 39
Table: Population By Age Group (Iran 1990-2025)                 . . . . 39
Table: Population By Age Group % (Iran 1990-2025)                 . 40
Methodology ........ 42
Industry Forecast Methodology .. 42
Sector-Specific Methodology ...... 43
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