Malaysia Agribusiness Report

 Published On: Sep, 2016 |    No of Pages: 79 |  Published By: BMI Agribusiness | Format: PDF
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BMI View: Malaysia's agribusiness sector is experiencing challenging times, as palm oil industry - its most emblematic sector - is undermined by low prices and growing structural challenges. The cocoa sector is in an even worse position, suffering a severe decline after the stellar performance of the 1990s. The cocoa processing sector faces increasing competition from Indonesia and is losing market share at a fast pace. The medium-term outlook is brighter, amid strong growth prospects in the poultry sector and opportunities for value added palm based oleochemical exports. Malaysia will have to remain ahead of its biggest competitor, Indonesia, if its agribusiness sector is to stay afloat. As such, the next challenge for the country resides in the economic integration of ASEAN. The ASEAN Economic Community will present some opportunities, for example for poultry exports. However, it also poses risks to the future of the sugar refining sector.

Key Forecasts
-Palm oil production growth to 2019/20: 12.1% to 22.3mn tonnes. Production growth will reaccelerate towards the end of our forecast period, after the slower growth recorded in recent years. The ongoing replanting and yield improvement programmes will bear fruit and support output.
-Poultry production growth to 2019/20: 18.8% to 1.7mn tonnes. After a decade of strong growth, we forecast poultry meat production to grow at a moderate pace in the coming years, as rising production costs is undermining the development of the sector. Malaysia will maintain a fragile self-sufficiency in poultry.
-Sugar consumption growth to 2020: 13.7% to 1.9mn tonnes. Consumption growth will be slower than in the previous decade as it already comes from a high base, Malaysians being among the largest consumers of sugar on a per capita basis. Future sugar demand will be driven mainly by rising incomes and population growth.
BMI Industry View . 7
SWOT  10
Industry Forecast  12
Palm Oil Outlook .. 12
Table: Malaysia - Palm Oil Production And Consumption Outlook                 . . . 13
Table: Malaysia - Risks To Palm Oil Outlook                      . 13
Table: Palm Oil Production & Consumption (Malaysia 2013-2020)                 . . 19
Sugar Outlook ....... 20
Table: Malaysia - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook                  . 21
Table: Malaysia - Risks To Sugar Outlook                      . . . . 21
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Malaysia 2012-2020)                  25
Cocoa Outlook ...... 26
Table: Malaysia - Cocoa Production And Consumption Outlook                  . 26
Table: Malaysia - Risks To Cocoa Outlook                      . . . . 27
Table: Cocoa Production & Consumption (Malaysia 2012-2020)                  30
Livestock Outlook .. 31
Table: Malaysia - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook                 . . . 32
Table: Malaysia - Risks To Livestock Outlook                      33
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Malaysia 2012-2020)                  . . 37
Table: Pork Production & Consumption (Malaysia 2012-2020)                  . . 37
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Malaysia 2012-2020)                 . . . . 38
Commodity Price Analysis ...... 39
Commodities Price Forecasts ....... 39
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts                   39
Upstream Analysis ........ 41
Asia Machinery Outlook ... 41
Table: Select Countries - Average Size Of Farms, Hectares                   . 46
Asia GM Outlook ... 48
Table: Selected Countries - GM Crops Use (mn hectares)                   . . . 52
Asia Fertiliser Outlook ..... 53
Downstream Analysis ... 59
Food ......... 59
Latest Updates ..... 59
Structural Trends . 60
Table: Food Sales (Malaysia 2013-2020)                       63
Regional Overview ........ 65
Competitive Landscape  71
Table: Main Agribusiness Players                        . . . 71
Demographic Forecast . 73
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Malaysia 1990-2025)                  . . . 74
Table: Key Population Ratios (Malaysia 1990-2025)                    . . . 74
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Malaysia 1990-2025)                75
Table: Population By Age Group (Malaysia 1990-2025)                   . . . . 75
Table: Population By Age Group % (Malaysia 1990-2025)                   . 76
Methodology ........ 78
Industry Forecast Methodology .. 78
Sector-Specific Methodology ...... 79
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