Morocco Agribusiness Report

 Published On: Sep, 2016 |    No of Pages: 68 |  Published By: BMI Agribusiness | Format: PDF
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BMI View: In the short term, we expect the severe drought afflicting the country in 2016 to reduce output dramatically for the grains and sugar sub-sectors. Meanwhile, dairy and beef production growth will also slow down. However, we expect this to be a temporary setback and all areas of Morocco's agriculture sector are set to enjoy moderate to strong growth from 2017 to the end of our forecast period. Our optimism is bolstered by the government-initiated Green Morocco Plan, which is likely to see increased investment in an effort to reduce the industry's weather-related production risks out to 2020. We believe that the twin strategies of producing high-yield and market-related agriculture, as well as improving the existing water conservation programme, will yield good results in the medium-to-long term.

Key BMI Forecasts
-Wheat production growth 2015/16 to 2019/20: -27.1% to 5.8mn tonnes. Production will be volatile throughout the forecast period as it will decline substantially in 2016/17 following a bumper crop in 2015/16. Aside from these base effects, continued investment and support from the government will keep output growth steady.
-2016 real GDP growth: 0.7% (down from 4.5% in 2015; forecast to grow by 3.3% in 2017).
-2016 consumer price inflation (ave): 2.5% (up from an estimated 0.6% in 2015).
BMI Industry View . 7
SWOT ......... 10
Industry Forecast  12
Sugar Outlook ..... 12
Latest Updates ... 12
Table: Morocco - Sugar Production & Consumption Outlook                  . . . . 12
Table: Risks To Outlook                          . . . 13
Structural Trends .......... 13
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Morocco 2012-2020)                  . 15
Dairy Outlook ..... 16
Latest Updates ... 16
Table: Morocco - Dairy Production & Consumption Outlook                  . . . . 16
Table: Risks To Outlook                          . . . 17
Structural Trends .......... 17
Table: Butter Production & Consumption (Morocco 2012-2020)                  19
Table: Cheese Production & Consumption (Morocco 2012-2020)                 . . . . 20
Table: Milk Production & Consumption (Morocco 2012-2020)                  . . 20
Livestock Outlook  20
Latest Updates ... 20
Table: Morocco - Livestock Production & Consumption Outlook                  21
Table: Risks To Outlook                          . . . 21
Structural Trends .......... 21
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Morocco 2012-2020)                 . . . . 24
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Morocco 2012-2020)                  . . 25
Grains Outlook ... 26
Latest Updates ... 26
Table: Morocco - Grains Production & Consumption Outlook                  . . . 26
Table: Risks To Outlook                          . . . 27
Structural Trends .......... 27
Table: Barley Production & Consumption (Morocco 2012-2020)                  29
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Morocco 2012-2020)                  . . 29
Table: Wheat Production & Consumption (Morocco 2012-2020)                  30
Commodities Price Analysis ..... 31
Global - Global Commodities Strategy ...... 31
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts                  . . . 31
Upstream Analysis ......... 33
Africa GM Outlook ......... 33
Africa Machinery Outlook  40
Table: How Africa Compares With Other Regions                     . 40
Africa Fertiliser Outlook .. 46
Downstream Analysis .... 52
Food ...... 52
Latest Updates ... 52
Structural Trends .......... 53
Table: Food Sales (Morocco 2013-2020)                       53
Regional Overview ......... 55
Middle East & Africa Regional Overview .. 55
Competitive Landscape . 61
Table: Key Agribusiness Companies                        61
Demographic Forecast .. 62
Demographic Outlook ..... 62
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Morocco 1990-2025)                  . . . 63
Table: Key Population Ratios (Morocco 1990-2025)                    . . . 63
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Morocco 1990-2025)                . 64
Table: Population By Age Group (Morocco 1990-2025)                    64
Table: Population By Age Group % (Morocco 1990-2025)                   . . 65
Methodology ........ 67
Industry Forecast Methodology .. 67
Sector-Specific Methodology ...... 68
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