United States Agribusiness Report

 Published On: Jul, 2016 |    No of Pages: 76 |  Published By: BMI Agribusiness | Format: PDF
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BMI View: Corn and soybean production will decline year-on-year in the upcoming 2016/17 season, yet will still count among the largest crops in US agricultural history. Livestock will see some mild improvement in production growth owing to the poultry and beef sectors. Over the long term, the poultry sub-sector will remain the out performer in the livestock complex and we see the strongest production growth potential for soybean among the grains complex. We believe grains production will stagnate overall due to a lower planted area on the back of lower prices.

Key Trends
-Beef production growth 2014/15 to 2019/20: 8.2% to 11.7mn tonnes. Production will improve over our forecast period due to heavier animal weights and as the sector's rebuilding phase is largely complete.
-Poultry production growth to 2019/20: 9.3% to 23.3mn tonnes. The US is the world's second largest poultry exporter, behind Brazil. As such, increased global demand for poultry, particularly from emerging markets, is likely to serve as a powerful production incentive.
-Corn production growth to 2019/20: 3.3% to 373.2mn tonnes. Corn production growth will slow over the next five years as opportunities to increase yields (such as through the adoption of genetically modified seeds) are waning. Most of the gains will be due to base effects.
-Soybean production growth to 2019/20: 3.5% to 109.9mn tonnes. Soybean production growth will also slow prices due to reduced growth in plantings, while yields will suffer due to reduced input usage.
-2016 real GDP growth: 2.2% y-o-y, down from 2.4% in 2015.

BMI Industry View ....... 7
SWOT .. 10
Agribusiness ... 10
Industry Forecast ...... 11
Grains Outlook ....... 11
Structural Trends ... 11
Table: United States - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook . 11
Table: Risks To Outlook . . . 12
Structural Trends ... 12
Table: United States - Grains Production & Consumption ('000 tonnes) . . . 14
Dairy Outlook . 15
Latest Updates ....... 15
Table: United States - Dairy Production & Consumption Outlook . . . . 15
Table: Risks To Outlook . . . 16
Structural Trends ... 16
Table: United States - Dairy Production & Consumption ('000 tonnes) . . . . 18
Soybean Outlook ..... 19
Latest Updates ....... 19
Table: United States - Soybean Production & Consumption Outlook . . 19
Table: Risks To Outlook . . . 19
Structural Trends ... 20
Table: United States - Soybean Production & Consumption ('000 tonnes) . 22
Sugar Outlook . 23
Latest Updates ....... 23
Table: United States - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook . . 23
Table: Risks To Outlook . . . 23
Structural Trends ... 24
Table: United States - Sugar Production & Consumption ('000 tonnes) . . . . 25
Livestock Outlook .... 26
Latest Updates ....... 26
Table: United States - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook . . . 26
Table: Risks To Outlook . . . 27
Structural Trends ... 27
Table: United States - Beef, Pork & Poultry Production & Consumption ('000 tonnes) . . . 30
Cotton Outlook 31
Latest Updates ....... 31
Table: United States - Cotton Production & Consumption Outlook . . . 31
Table: Risks To Outlook . . . 32
Structural Trends ... 32
Table: United States - Cotton Production & Consumption ('000 tonnes) . . . 36
Commodities Price Analysis ..... 37
Global - Global Commodities Strategy . 37
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And Bmi Forecasts . . . 37
Upstream Analysis .... 39
Americas GM Outlook ...... 39
Americas Machinery Outlook ..... 45
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates) . . 48
Americas Fertiliser Outlook ....... 52
Downstream Analysis ....... 58
Food ..... 58
Latest Updates ....... 58
Structural Trends ... 59
Table: Food Sales (United States 2013-2020) . 60
Regional Overview .... 62
Competitive Landscape .... 69
Table: United States Agribusiness Competitive Landscape . . 69
Demographic Forecast ..... 70
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United States 1990-2025) . . . . 71
Table: Key Population Ratios (United States 1990-2025) . . . . 71
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (United States 1990-2025) . 72
Table: Population By Age Group (United States 1990-2025) 72
Table: Population By Age Group % (United States 1990-2025) . . 73
Methodology ...... 75
Industry Forecast Methodology 75
Sector-Specific Methodology .... 76
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