Vietnam Agribusiness Report

 Published On: Sep, 2016 |    No of Pages: 90 |  Published By: BMI Agribusiness | Format: PDF
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BMI View: Recent developments in Vietnam's economic and business environments add further weight to our positive view on its agribusiness sector. The industry holds strong growth opportunities in terms of production, exports and retail sales, particularly with regard to the rice, coffee, livestock and dairy sectors. Moreover, economic and financial integration in South East Asia will benefit Vietnam's exports of rice, dairy and coffee. However, Vietnam faces growing competition in its key markets. The fulfilment of its promising potential will only be achieved if the country steps up its competitiveness and improves product quality and supply chain efficiency. Vietnam will have to significantly ramp up  investments on crop productivity in order to not be left behind and, if it does, it will be able to produce more value-added crops and maintain its status as an export spearhead.

Key Forecasts
-Pork production growth to 2019/20: 19.9% to 3.0mn tonnes. After going through challenging times amidst high feed costs, disease outbreaks and weaker growth, the livestock sector has been on the recovery trend since 2014-2015. Growth will remain strong in the medium term, helped by higher local meat prices and economic growth.
Milk production growth to 2019/20: 61.9% to 876,000 tonnes. Dramatic increases in cattle numbers and increased public and private sector investment - part of the effort to reduce the country's growing import dependency - will be the main boost to growth. Commercialisation will also play a key role as larger, more efficient farms come to play a greater role in milk production.
BMI Industry View . 7
SWOT ......... 10
Industry Forecast  12
Grains Outlook ... 12
Latest Updates ... 12
Table: Vietnam - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook . . 13
Table: Risks To Outlook . . 13
Structural Trends .......... 13
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Vietnam 2012-2020) . . . 15
Rice Outlook ....... 16
Latest Updates ... 16
Table: Vietnam - Rice Production And Consumption Outlook . . . . . 17
Table: Risks To Outlook . . 17
Structural Trends .......... 17
Table: Rice Production & Consumption (Vietnam 2012-2020) . . . . 20
Dairy Outlook ..... 21
Latest Updates ... 21
Table: Vietnam - Dairy Production And Consumption Outlook . . . . 22
Table: Risks To Outlook . . 22
Structural Trends .......... 23
Table: Vietnam - Planned Investment In Milk Production Capacity . . . . . . 24
Table: Dairy Production & Consumption (Vietnam 2013-2020) . . . 28
Livestock Outlook  29
Latest Updates ... 29
Table: Vietnam - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook 30
Table: Vietnam - Risks To Livestock Outlook . 30
Structural Trends .......... 30
Table: Livestock Production & Consumption (Vietnam 2013-2020) . . . . . . 35
Coffee Outlook .... 36
Latest Updates ... 36
Table: Vietnam - Coffee Production And Consumption Outlook . . . 37
Table: Vietnam - Risks To Coffee Outlook . . . . . 37
Structural Trends .......... 38
Table: Coffee Production & Consumption (Vietnam 2012-2020) . . 42
Commodities Price Analysis ..... 43
Commodities Forecasts .... 43
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts . . . . . . 43
Upstream Analysis ......... 45
Asia GM Outlook . 45
Table: Selected Countries - GM Crops Use (mn hectares) . . 50
Asia Machinery Outlook .. 51
Table: Select Countries - Average Size Of Farms, Hectares 56
Downstream Analysis .... 58
Food ...... 58
Latest Updates ... 58
Structural Trends .......... 59
Table: Food Sales (Vietnam 2013-2020) . . . . . . 61
Regional Overview ......... 65
Company Profile .. 71
Vinamilk . 71
Table: Vietnam - Planned Investment In Milk Production Capacity . . . . . . 78
Table: Vinamilk - M&A Activity Outside Vietnam . . . . 79
Table: Vinamilk - Financial Highlights, 2011-2015 . . 82
Competitive Landscape . 83
Table: Major Agribusiness Companies (USDmn) . . . . 83
Demographic Forecast .. 84
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Vietnam 1990-2025) . . . . . 85
Table: Key Population Ratios (Vietnam 1990-2025) . 85
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Vietnam 1990-2025) . . . . . . 86
Table: Population By Age Group (Vietnam 1990-2025) . . . . 86
Table: Population By Age Group % (Vietnam 1990-2025) . 87
Methodology ........ 89
Industry Forecast Methodology .. 89
Sector-Specific Methodology ...... 90
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