Ghana Agribusiness Report

 Published On: Aug, 2016 |    No of Pages: 57 |  Published By: BMI Agribusiness | Format: PDF
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BMI View: We believe that the Ghanaian cocoa sector will post reasonably strong growth throughout our forecast period to 2019/20. High cocoa prices will encourage production, while the government has pledged schemes in order to encourage yield growth. However, a significant portion of the growth will be due to base effects. We also see long-term opportunities (but also significant structural challenges) in the Ghanaian palm oil sector.

Key BMI Forecasts
-Cocoa production growth 2014/15 to 2019/20: 9% to 853,000 tonnes. While much of this growth will be due to base effects, the government has committed to supplying free inputs and improving infrastructure, while Cocobod has reformed its cocoa payment price.
-2016 real GDP growth: 4.2% (up from an estimated 3.4% in 2015).
-2016 consumer price inflation (ave): 17.9% (down from an estimated 17.1% in 2015).

BMI Industry View ... 7
SWOT ...... 9
Industry Forecast .. 11
Cocoa Outlook . 11
Latest Updates 11
Table: Ghana - Cocoa Production & Consumption Outlook . 11
Table: Risks To Outlook . . 12
Structural Trends ..... 12
Table: Cocoa Production & Consumption (Ghana 2012-2020) . . . . 14
Palm Oil Outlook ...... 15
Latest Updates 15
Table: Ghana - Palm Oil Production & Consumption Outlook . . . . 15
Table: Risks To Outlook . . 16
Structural Trends ..... 16
Table: Palm Oil Production & Consumption (Ghana 2012-2020) . 18
Commodities Price Analysis ... 19
Global - Global Commodities Strategy ...... 19
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts . . . . 19
Upstream Analysis 21
Africa GM Outlook .... 21
Africa Machinery Outlook .... 28
Table: How Africa Compares With Other Regions . . . . . 28
Africa Fertiliser Outlook ...... 33
Downstream Analysis .... 40
Food ..... 40
Latest Updates 40
Structural Trends ..... 41
Table: Food Sales (Ghana 2013-2020) . . . . . 43
Regional Overview 45
Middle East & Africa Regional Overview .. 45
Demographic Forecast .. 51
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Ghana 1990-2025) . 52
Table: Key Population Ratios (Ghana 1990-2025) . . . . . 52
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Ghana 1990-2025) 53
Table: Population By Age Group (Ghana 1990-2025) . 53
Table: Population By Age Group % (Ghana 1990-2025) . . . . 54
Methodology . 56
Industry Forecast Methodology .... 56
Sector-Specific Methodology ........ 57
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