Brazil Agribusiness Report

 Published On: Sep, 2016 |    No of Pages: 88 |  Published By: BMI Agribusiness | Format: PDF
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BMI View: We believe that grains production growth over the next five years will slow relative to the preceding five. Soybean production will outpace that of corn, as lower production costs for soybean relative to corn will make the commodity more attractive to grow. However, we see comparatively limited growth out to 2019/20 given the scarcity of area available for expansion, as well as high import costs for fertilisers. We hold a more positive view on the sugar industry now than we have held in the past, due to reforms in the ethanol sector. The eventual return of real weakness will be a net positive for the country's agricultural sector.

Key Forecasts
-Soybean average production growth 2015/16 to 2019/20: 1.8% to 106.0mn tonnes. We see limited growth out to 2019/20 given the scarcity of area available for expansion, as well as high import costs for fertilisers.
BMI Industry View . 7
SWOT  9
Industry Forecast  11
Sugar Outlook ..... 11
Latest Updates ... 11
Table: Brazil - Sugar Production & Consumption Outlook                   . . 11
Table: Risks To Outlook                          . . . 11
Structural Trends .......... 12
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)                  . . . . 15
Grains Outlook ... 16
Latest Updates ... 16
Table: Brazil - Grains Production & Consumption Outlook                   . 16
Table: Risks To Outlook                          . . . 17
Structural Trends .......... 17
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)                   19
Table: Wheat Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)                  . . . 19
Cocoa Outlook .... 20
Latest Updates ... 20
Table: Brazil - Cocoa Production & Consumption Outlook                   . 20
Table: Risks To Outlook                          . . . 20
Structural Trends .......... 21
Table: Cocoa Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)                  . . . 23
Dairy Outlook ..... 24
Latest Updates ... 24
Table: Brazil - Dairy Production & Consumption Outlook                   . . 24
Table: Risks To Outlook                          . . . 24
Structural Trends .......... 25
Table: Milk Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)                   27
Coffee Outlook .... 28
Latest Updates ... 28
Table: Brazil - Coffee Production & Consumption Outlook                   . 28
Table: Risks To Outlook                          . . . 28
Structural Trends .......... 29
Table: Coffee Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)                  . . . 31
Livestock Outlook  32
Latest Updates ... 32
Table: Brazil - Livestock Production & Consumption Outlook                  . . . 32
Table: Risks To Outlook                          . . . 32
Structural Trends .......... 33
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)                   35
Cotton Outlook .... 37
Latest Updates ... 37
Table: Brazil - Cotton Production & Consumption Outlook                   . 37
Table: Risks To Outlook                          . . . 37
Structural Trends .......... 38
Table: Cotton Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)                  . . . 41
Soybean Outlook . 42
Latest Updates ... 42
Table: Brazil - Soybean Production & Consumption Outlook                  . . . . 42
Table: Risks To Outlook                          . . . 42
Structural Trends .......... 43
Table: Soybean Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)                  . 45
Commodities Price Analysis ..... 46
Commodities Forecasts .... 46
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts                   46
Upstream Analysis ......... 48
Americas Machinery Outlook ....... 48
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates)              . . 51
Americas GM Outlook ..... 55
Americas Fertiliser Outlook ......... 63
Downstream Analysis .... 70
Food ...... 70
Latest Updates ... 70
Structural Trends .......... 71
Table: Food Sales (Brazil 2013-2020)                       . . . . 73
Regional Overview ......... 75
Competitive Landscape . 81
Table: Main Agribusiness Players                        . . . 81
Demographic Forecast .. 82
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Brazil 1990-2025)                   . . 83
Table: Key Population Ratios (Brazil 1990-2025)                     . 83
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Brazil 1990-2025)                . . . . 84
Table: Population By Age Group (Brazil 1990-2025)                    . . . 84
Table: Population By Age Group % (Brazil 1990-2025)                    85
Methodology ........ 87
Industry Forecast Methodology .. 87
Sector-Specific Methodology ...... 88
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