Egypt Agribusiness Report

 Published On: Aug, 2016 |    No of Pages: 75 |  Published By: BMI Agribusiness | Format: PDF
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BMI View: We have not made significant changes to our forecasts in this quarter's update. We retain our view that Egypt will face growing production deficits in grains and meat, as it focuses on export-oriented cash crops, while the dairy sector will benefit from sustained private investment. Leading up to 2020, an expanding population and rising disposable incomes will support consumption growth in sugar and dairy products. Moreover, rice and beef consumption will benefit from the greater range of products available under the new food subsidy scheme. The real challenges that Egypt faces throughout the long run are water shortages and a dire need to improve farming mechanisms to conserve water for sustained irrigation purposes.

Key Forecasts
-Wheat production by 2020: 8.42mn tonnes. Wheat production will be constrained by a greater amount of arable land being devoted to export-oriented crops.

BMI Industry View ... 7
SWOT ...... 9
Industry Forecast .. 12
Grains Outlook 12
Latest Updates 12
Table: Egypt - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook . . . . . 12
Table: Risks To Outlook . . 13
Structural Trends ..... 13
Table: Grain Production & Consumption (Egypt 2012-2020) . . . . . 17
Rice Outlook .... 18
Latest Updates 18
Table: Egypt - Rice Production And Consumption Outlook . . 18
Table: Risks To Outlook . . 19
Structural Trends ..... 19
Table: Rice Production & Consumption (Egypt 2012-2020) . 22
Livestock Outlook ...... 23
Latest Updates 23
Table: Egypt - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook . . 23
Table: Risks To Outlook . . 24
Structural Trends ..... 24
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Egypt 2012-2020) . . . . 27
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Egypt 2012-2020) . 28
Dairy Outlook .. 29
Latest Updates 29
Table: Egypt - Dairy Production And Consumption Outlook 29
Table: Risks To Outlook . . 29
Structural Trends ..... 30
Table: Dairy Production & Consumption (Egypt 2012-2020) . . . . . 31
Sugar Outlook .. 32
Latest Updates 32
Table: Egypt - Sugar Production & Consumption Outlook . . 32
Table: Risks To Outlook . . 32
Structural Trends ..... 33
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Egypt 2012-2020) . . . . . 35
Commodities Price Analysis ... 36
Global - Global Commodities Strategy ...... 36
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts . . . . 36
Upstream Analysis 38
Africa GM Outlook .... 38
Africa Machinery Outlook .... 45
Table: How Africa Compares With Other Regions . . . . . 45
Africa Fertiliser Outlook ...... 50
Downstream Analysis .... 57
Food ..... 57
Latest Updates 57
Structural Trends ..... 58
Table: Food Sales (Egypt 2013-2020) 60
Regional Overview 62
Middle East & Africa Regional Overview .. 62
Competitive Landscape . 68
Table: Main Agribusiness Players . . . . 68
Demographic Forecast .. 69
Demographic Outlook 69
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Egypt 1990-2025) . . 70
Table: Key Population Ratios (Egypt 1990-2025) 70
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Egypt 1990-2025) . 71
Table: Population By Age Group (Egypt 1990-2025) . . 71
Table: Population By Age Group % (Egypt 1990-2025) . . . . . 72
Methodology . 74
Industry Forecast Methodology .... 74
Sector-Specific Methodology ........ 75
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