France Agribusiness Report

 Published On: May, 2016 |    No of Pages: 73 |  Published By: BMI Agribusiness | Format: PDF
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BMI View: Grains production will see limited growth over the next five years due to a high base from 2014/15 and only moderate increases in prices, while France also faces competition from other European producers on the export market. French dairy farmers will be among the EU's outperformers due to steady import demand for their cheese production. French meat production will suffer from continued weak demand from other EU countries, the traditional importers of French meat.
Key Forecasts
■ Wheat production growth 2014/15 to 2019/20: 3.9% to 40.5mn tonnes. Our forecasts indicate only moderate growth due to a high base from a bumper crop in 2014/15. We believe other grains-producing countries will compete with France to supply increasing import demand from the Middle East and North Africa.
■ 2016 real GDP growth: 1.4% (up from 1.2% in 2015).
■ 2016 consumer price inflation: 0.6% (up from 0.0% in 2015).
■ BMI universe agribusiness market value: USD67.5bn in 2015/16, a 0.9% y-o-y increase.

BMI Industry View ....... 7
SWOT .... 9
Agribusiness ..... 9
Industry Forecast ...... 11
Dairy Outlook . 11
Latest Updates ....... 11
Table: France - Dairy Production & Consumption Outlook      . 11
Table: Risks To Outlook  . . 11
Structural Trends ... 12
Table: Milk Production & Consumption (2012-2020)       . . 14
Table: Cheese Production & Consumption (France, 2012-2020)     . . 14
Table: Butter Production & Consumption (France 2012-2020)     . . . 14
Grains Outlook ....... 15
Latest Updates ....... 15
Table: France - Grains Production & Consumption Outlook      15
Table: Risks To Outlook  . . 15
Structural Trends ... 16
Table: Wheat Production & Consumption (France 2012-2020)     . . . 18
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (France 2012-2020)     . . . . . 18
Table: Barley Production & Consumption (France 2012-2020)     . . . 18
Livestock Outlook .... 19
Latest Updates ....... 19
Table: France - Livestock Production & Consumption Outlook     . . . 19
Table: Risks To Outlook  . . 19
Structural Trends ... 20
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (France 2012-2020)     . . 22
Table: Pork Production & Consumption (France 2012-2020)     . . . . . 22
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (France 2012-2020)     . . . . . 22
Commodities Price Analysis ..... 23
Global - Global Commodities Strategy . 23
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And Bmi Forecasts     . . . . 23
Featured Analysis ...... 25
European Agriculture: The Future Of The CAP ..... 25
Table: EU - Agricultural Self-Sufficiency Ratios        . 33
Table: Select Commodities - European Production & Consumption ('000 tonnes)  . . 37
Upstream Analysis .... 38
Europe GM Outlook . 38
Europe Machinery Outlook  44
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (company-based estimates)  . 48
Europe Fertiliser Outlook . 50
Downstream Analysis ....... 57
Food ..... 57
Latest Updates ....... 57
Structural Trends ... 58
Table: Food Sales (France 2013-2020)         . . . . 59
Regional Overview .... 61
Europe Regional Overview  61
Competitive Landscape .... 66
Table: Main Agribusiness Players. . . . 66
Demographic Forecast ..... 67
Table: Population Headline Indicators (France 1990-2025)      68
Table: Key Population Ratios (France 1990-2025)       . . . . 68
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (France 1990-2025)    69
Table: Population By Age Group (France 1990-2025)       . 69
Table: Population By Age Group % (France 1990-2025)      . . . . 70
Methodology ...... 72
Industry Forecast Methodology  72
Sector-Specific Methodology .... 73

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