Romania Power Report

 Published On: Sep, 2016 |    No of Pages: 56 |  Published By: BMI Power | Format: PDF
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BMI View: This quarter our main assumptions for the sector remain virtually unchanged. We continue to forecast electricity generation to remain relatively flat - registering annual average growth of 0.85% between 2016 and 2025. Coal will remain the biggest component of the power mix, but gas will gain share as coal capacity is taken offline to comply with tightening EU emissions targets, and Romania boosts domestic gas production from the Black Sea towards the end of our forecast period.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends
-A new government strategy for 2015-2025 highlights the increasingly decrepit state of much of Romania's electricity infrastructure. According to the report, many of the country's electric energy production capacities have gone beyond the technical life and are becoming wasteful and polluting. According to the government, the Oltenia and Hunedoara complex energy units are now on the brink of bankruptcy.
- After lengthy legal challenges and long process of reorganisation, Hidroelectrica finally exited insolvency only in June 2016. On 24 June the Minister of Energy Victor Georgescu said that the company will be listed when the best conditions for pricing are achieved and only after non-core assets are divested. The government plans to float a 15% stake in Hidroelectrica on the Bucharest bourse.
BMI Industry View . 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Romania 2015-2021)              . . . . 7
SWOT  8
Industry Forecast  10
Romania Snapshot .......... 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Romania 2015-2020)          . . 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Romania 2020-2025)          . . 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector                 10
Romania Power Forecast Scenario .......... 11
Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast ........ 11
Nuclear Generation And Capacity Forecast ........ 12
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast .. 14
Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast ... 14
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity ... 16
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Romania 2014-2019)           16
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Romania 2020-2025)           17
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Romania 2014-2019)          . . . 18
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Romania 2020-2025)          . . . 18
Electricity Consumption . 19
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Romania 2014-2019)          . . . . . 20
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Romania 2020-2025)          . . . . . 21
Transmission And Distribution, Imports And Exports ....... 21
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Romania 2014-2019)           22
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Romania 2020-2025)           22
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Romania 2014-2019)              . . . 23
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Romania 2020-2025)              . . . 23
Industry Risk Reward Index ..... 24
CEE Power Risk/Reward Index .... 24
Romania Power Risk/Reward Index ......... 31
Rewards  31
Risks ..... 31
Market Overview . 33
Key Policies And Market Structure  33
Regulation And Competition ....... 33
Sustainable Energy Policies ....... 33
Pricing .. 34
Romania Power Projects Database .......... 35
Table: Romania Major Projects - Power                . . . . . . 35
Competitive Landscape . 37
Transelectrica ... 37
Electrica .......... 37
Termoelectrica .. 37
Hidroelectica .... 38
E.ON Energie Romania .. 38
Enel ...... 38
Company Profile .. 39
Hidroelectrica ..... 39
Regional Overview ......... 42
CEE Power Regional Overview .... 42
Glossary .... 50
Table: Glossary Of Terms                   50
Methodology ........ 51
Methodology And Sources  51
Industry Forecast Methodology .. 51
Sources . 54
Risk/Reward Index Methodology . 54
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators                . . 55
Table: Weighting Of Indicators                  . . 56
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