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Latest Updates and Structural Trends
■ The political uncertainties as well as ongoing economic competitiveness issues
have led to a downward revision of all renewable sub-sectors growth rates for
our ten-year forecast, as delayed structural reforms continue to undermine
Portugal's economic shift away from private consumption-dependence towards a
production, investment and export-oriented economy.
■ During 2016, Portugal's total generation from non-hydropower renewables will
be 15.34TWh, which represents some almost 32% of total electricity generation
with a generation capacity of 6.37GW..
■ The first draft of the government's economic and social development plan
2016-2019, published in January 2016, is suggesting an investment focus on solar
power for the next three years.
• France-based private equity firm Omnes Capital sold 110MW of European wind and
solar energy assets in France and Portugal to Swiss renewable energy firm EOS
Holding in February 2016. The sale involved four wind plants with a total
capacity of 50MW and four solar projects totalling 60MW.
• In December 2015, Portuguese renewables developer Muki Solar submitted a
licence application for 1GW's worth of solar projects to the General Directorate
for Energy and Geology.
• In November, EDP came to an agreement with four partners to develop the 25MW
Windplus floating offshore wind project, which is scheduled to commission in
2018. The project is receiving USD27.2mn from the European Commission.
BMI Industry View ....... 5
Table: Portugal - Headline Renewables Forecast
SWOT .... 7
Industry Forecast 9
Portugal Renewables Forecast Scenario 9
Structural Trends ... 10
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Portugal 2014-2019)
. . . . 21
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Portugal 2020-2025)
. . . . 22
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Portugal 2014-2019)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Portugal 2020-2025)
Portugal Renewables Projects Database ...... 25
Table: Portugal - Top Three Renewables Projects By Capacity (MW)
. . 25
Industry Risk Reward Index ..... 26
Portugal Renewables Risk/Reward Index ..... 26
Rewards ....... 26
Risks .... 26
Market Overview ....... 28
Sustainable Energy Policy And Infrastructure ....... 28
Subsidies ...... 28
Table: Renewable Feed-in Tariffs In Portugal, 2011
. . . 29
Competitive Landscape .... 31
Finerge (former Enel subsidiary) - First State Wind Energy Investments ... 31
Energias De Portugal (EDP) .... 31
Redes Energéticas Nacionais (REN) .. 32
Glossary ..... 34
Table: Glossary Of Terms 34
Methodology ...... 35
Methodology And Sources . 35
Industry Forecast Methodology 35
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ....... 37
Table: Renewables Risk/Reward Index Indicators
. . . . . 39
Table: Weighting Indicators . . . . 40