Botswana Power Report

 Published On: Sep, 2016 |    No of Pages: 52 |  Published By: BMI Power | Format: PDF
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BMI View: Botswana will remain a net-importer of electricity over our 10-year forecast period. This is due to underperforming coal-fired power plants as a result of malfunctioning equipment and water shortages. Plans to liberalise the power sector will increase private sector interest in the country if implemented, which should attract investment aimed at increasing generating capacity in the country.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends
-Tlou Energy and Sekaname Pvt Limited have been shortlisted for the tender of coal bed methane fuelled power plants totalling up to a maximum of 100 megawatts (MW) by the Ministry of Minerals, Energy and Water Resources (MMEWR). We await further updates on the project before including it in our forecasts.
-We have lowered our forecasts for thermal power generation in Botswana from a previous generation level of 3.2 terawatt hours (TWh) to 2.64 by 2025, to indicate potential generation deficits due to water shortages plaguing the country. This will be upgraded if the North-South Carrier (NSC) water project is completed on time and stable water supply can be secured.
BMI Industry View ... 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Botswana 2015-2021) . . . 7
SWOT ...... 8
Industry Forecast .. 10
Botswana Snapshot .... 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Botswana 2014-2019) . 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Botswana 2020-2025) . 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 10
Botswana Power Forecast Scenario  11
Thermal Generation and Capacity Forecast ...... 11
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2014-2019) . . . . . . 13
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2020-2025) . . . . . . 14
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2014-2019) . . 14
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2020-2025) . . 15
Electricity Consumption ..... 15
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2014-2019) . . . . 16
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2020-2025) . . . . 16
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2014-2019) . . . . . . 17
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2020-2025) . . . . . . 18
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2014-2019) . . 18
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2020-2025) . . 18
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings ........ 19
SSA Power Risk/Reward Index ....... 19
Table: SSA Power Risk/Reward Index (Scores Out Of 100) . 26
Botswana Power Risk/Reward Index ........ 27
Rewards ........ 27
Risks .... 27
Market Overview ... 29
Key Policies And Market Structure .. 29
Regulation And Competition  29
Pricing . 29
Key Policies And Market Structure .. 29
Competitive Landscape . 33
Competitive Landscape ........ 33
Regional Overview  38
MEA: Key Themes ..... 38
Table: UAE - Huge Bid Reductions Cements Outperformer Status 43
Glossary ........ 46
Table: Glossary Of Terms 46
Methodology . 47
Methodology And Sources .... 47
Industry Forecast Methodology .... 47
Sources  50
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 50
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators . . 51
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . . 52
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