The 2016-2021 World Outlook for 16 Megawatt Off-Grid Industrial and Commercial Solar Photovoltaic Systems

 Published On: Apr, 2015 |    No of Pages: 254 |  Published By: Icon Group International, Inc | Format: PDF
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This econometric study covers the world outlook for 16 megawatt off-grid industrial and commercial solar photovoltaic systems across more than 200 countries. For each year reported, estimates are given for the latent demand, or potential industry earnings (P.I.E.), for the country in question (in millions of U.S. dollars), the percent share the country is of the region and of the globe. These comparative benchmarks allow the reader to quickly gauge a country vis-à-vis others. Using econometric models which project fundamental economic dynamics within each country and across countries, latent demand estimates are created. This report does not discuss the specific players in the market serving the latent demand, nor specific details at the product level. The study also does not consider short-term cyclicalities that might affect realized sales. The study, therefore, is strategic in nature, taking an aggregate and long-run view, irrespective of the players or products involved.

This study does not report actual sales data (which are simply unavailable, in a comparable or consistent manner in virtually all of the 230 countries of the world).

This study gives, however, my estimates for the worldwide latent demand, or the P.I.E., for 16 megawatt off-grid industrial and commercial solar photovoltaic systems. It also shows how the P.I.E. is divided across the world’s regional and national markets. For each country, I also show my estimates of how the P.I.E. grows over time (positive or negative growth). In order to make these estimates, a multi-stage methodology was employed that is often taught in courses on international strategic planning at graduate schools of business.

Table Of Contents:

1 INTRODUCTION 10
1.1 Overview 10
1.2 What is Latent Demand and the P.I.E.? 10
1.3 The Methodology 11
1.3.1 Step 1. Product Definition and Data Collection 12
1.3.2 Step 2. Filtering and Smoothing 13
1.3.3 Step 3. Filling in Missing Values 13
1.3.4 Step 4. Varying Parameter, Non-linear Estimation 14
1.3.5 Step 5. Fixed-Parameter Linear Estimation 14
1.3.6 Step 6. Aggregation and Benchmarking 14
1.3.7 Step 7. Latent Demand Density: Allocating Across Cities 15
1.4 Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) 15
1.4.1 Category Definition 15
1.4.2 Units 15
1.4.3 Methodology 17
2 SUMMARY OF FINDINGS 18
2.1 The Worldwide Market Potential 18
3 AFRICA 20
3.1 Executive Summary 20
3.2 Algeria 22
3.3 Angola 24
3.4 Benin 24
3.5 Botswana 25
3.6 Burkina Faso 26
3.7 Burundi 27
3.8 Cameroon 28
3.9 Cape Verde 29
3.10 Central African Republic 29
3.11 Chad 30
3.12 Comoros 31
3.13 Congo (formerly Zaire) 32
3.14 Cote d'Ivoire 33
3.15 Djibouti 34
3.16 Egypt 35
3.17 Equatorial Guinea 36
3.18 Eritrea 36
3.19 Ethiopia 37
3.20 Gabon 38
3.21 Ghana 38
3.22 Guinea 40
3.23 Guinea-Bissau 40
3.24 Kenya 41
3.25 Lesotho 43
3.26 Liberia 44
3.27 Libya 45
3.28 Madagascar 46
3.29 Malawi 47
3.30 Mali 47
3.31 Mauritania 48
3.32 Mauritius 49
3.33 Morocco 49
3.34 Mozambique 50
3.35 Namibia 51
3.36 Niger 52
3.37 Nigeria 53
3.38 North Sudan 55
3.39 Republic of Congo 56
3.40 Rwanda 57
3.41 Sao Tome E Principe 58
3.42 Senegal 58
3.43 Sierra Leone 59
3.44 Somalia 60
3.45 South Africa 61
3.46 South Sudan 62
3.47 Swaziland 62
3.48 Tanzania 63
3.49 The Gambia 64
3.50 Togo 65
3.51 Tunisia 66
3.52 Uganda 67
3.53 Western Sahara 68
3.54 Zambia 68
3.55 Zimbabwe 69
4 ASIA & THE MIDDLE EAST 71
4.1 Executive Summary 71
4.2 Afghanistan 73
4.3 Armenia 74
4.4 Azerbaijan 75
4.5 Bahrain 76
4.6 Bangladesh 77
4.7 Bhutan 79
4.8 Brunei 79
4.9 Burma 80
4.10 Cambodia 81
4.11 China 81
4.12 Hong Kong 83
4.13 India 84
4.14 Indonesia 86
4.15 Iran 88
4.16 Iraq 91
4.17 Israel 92
4.18 Japan 93
4.19 Jordan 96
4.20 Kuwait 97
4.21 Kyrgyzstan 98
4.22 Laos 99
4.23 Lebanon 100
4.24 Macau 100
4.25 Malaysia 101
4.26 Maldives 102
4.27 Mongolia 103
4.28 Nepal 104
4.29 North Korea 105
4.30 Oman 106
4.31 Pakistan 106
4.32 Palestine 108
4.33 Papua New Guinea 109
4.34 Philippines 110
4.35 Qatar 114
4.36 Saudi Arabia 115
4.37 Seychelles 116
4.38 Singapore 116
4.39 South Korea 117
4.40 Sri Lanka 119
4.41 Syrian Arab Republic 120
4.42 Taiwan 122
4.43 Tajikistan 123
4.44 Thailand 123
4.45 The United Arab Emirates 124
4.46 Timor - Leste, Democratic Republic of 125
4.47 Turkey 125
4.48 Turkmenistan 128
4.49 Uzbekistan 129
4.50 Vietnam 130
4.51 Yemen 131
5 EUROPE 133
5.1 Executive Summary 133
5.2 Albania 135
5.3 Andorra 136
5.4 Austria 136
5.5 Belarus 137
5.6 Belgium 138
5.7 Bosnia and Herzegovina 139
5.8 Bulgaria 140
5.9 Croatia 141
5.10 Cyprus 142
5.11 Czech Republic 143
5.12 Denmark 144
5.13 Estonia 145
5.14 Finland 145
5.15 France 146
5.16 Georgia 148
5.17 Germany 149
5.18 Greece 150
5.19 Hungary 152
5.20 Iceland 153
5.21 Ireland 154
5.22 Italy 155
5.23 Kazakhstan 157
5.24 Kosovo 159
5.25 Latvia 159
5.26 Liechtenstein 160
5.27 Lithuania 161
5.28 Luxembourg 161
5.29 Macedonia 162
5.30 Malta 163
5.31 Moldova 163
5.32 Monaco 164
5.33 Montenegro 165
5.34 Norway 165
5.35 Poland 166
5.36 Portugal 168
5.37 Romania 169
5.38 Russia 170
5.39 San Marino 173
5.40 Serbia 173
5.41 Slovakia 174
5.42 Slovenia 175
5.43 Spain 176
5.44 Sweden 178
5.45 Switzerland 179
5.46 The Netherlands 180
5.47 The United Kingdom 182
5.48 Ukraine 184
6 LATIN AMERICA 187
6.1 Executive Summary 187
6.2 Argentina 189
6.3 Belize 192
6.4 Bolivia 193
6.5 Brazil 194
6.6 Chile 197
6.7 Colombia 198
6.8 Costa Rica 200
6.9 Ecuador 201
6.10 El Salvador 202
6.11 Guatemala 203
6.12 Guyana 204
6.13 Honduras 204
6.14 Mexico 205
6.15 Nicaragua 207
6.16 Panama 208
6.17 Paraguay 209
6.18 Peru 210
6.19 Suriname 211
6.20 The Falkland Islands 211
6.21 Uruguay 212
6.22 Venezuela 213
7 NORTH AMERICA & THE CARIBBEAN 215
7.1 Executive Summary 215
7.2 Antigua and Barbuda 217
7.3 Aruba 217
7.4 Barbados 218
7.5 Bermuda 219
7.6 Canada 219
7.7 Cuba 221
7.8 Dominica 222
7.9 Dominican Republic 223
7.10 Greenland 224
7.11 Grenada 225
7.12 Haiti 225
7.13 Jamaica 226
7.14 Puerto Rico 227
7.15 St. Kitts and Nevis 228
7.16 St. Lucia 228
7.17 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 229
7.18 The Bahamas 230
7.19 The British Virgin Islands 230
7.20 The Cayman Islands 231
7.21 The U.S. Virgin Islands 232
7.22 The United States 232
7.23 Trinidad and Tobago 234
8 OCEANA 235
8.1 Executive Summary 235
8.2 American Samoa 237
8.3 Australia 237
8.4 Christmas Island 238
8.5 Cook Islands 239
8.6 Fiji 240
8.7 French Polynesia 240
8.8 Guam 241
8.9 Kiribati 242
8.10 Marshall Islands 242
8.11 Micronesia Federation 243
8.12 Nauru 244
8.13 New Caledonia 244
8.14 New Zealand 245
8.15 Niue 246
8.16 Norfolk Island 247
8.17 Palau 247
8.18 Solomon Islands 248
8.19 The Northern Mariana Island 249
8.20 Tonga 249
8.21 Tuvalu 250
8.22 Vanuatu 251
8.23 Wallis and Futuna 251
8.24 Western Samoa 252
9 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 253
9.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 253
9.2 ICON Group International, Inc. User Agreement Provisions 254

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