India Power Market Forecast 2014-2023

 Published On: Feb, 2014 |    No of Pages: 132 |  Published By: Precergy | Format: PDF
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The first edition of the ‘India Power Market Forecast 2014-2023’ evaluates the major commercial, policy and supply chain related constraints and challenges facing India’s power sector over the next decade and the opportunities that this presents. With insufficient generation capacity, a history of project delays and missed government capacity additions targets, as well as severe problems with the transmission and distribution networks, India’s power market faces many challenges. Specific issues with insufficient domestic coal and gas supplies, land acquisition, skilled labour constraints, public opposition, government tariff policy and the financial health of SEBs are all presenting significant hurdles to timely project execution and undermining the bankability of PPA agreements.

In light of this, the report analyses the key market trends and dynamics, identifies opportunities throughout the major power sector value chains, evaluates and compares project economics and presents forecasts for capacity additions and associated capital expenditure for each power technology type over the period 2014-2023, with data for 2004-2013 shown for comparative purposes.

1 Introduction
1.1 About this Report
1.2 Report Structure
1.3 Who Should Buy This Report?
1.4 Precergy India Power Market Expertise

2 Executive Summary & Conclusions
2.1 India Power Market Introduction & Overview
2.2 Major Market Constraints & Issues
2.3 Key Trends, Challenges & Opportunities in Main Sectors
2.4 India Power Market Forecasts

3 Macro Market Trends & Drivers
3.1 Primary Energy Supply-Demand Drivers
3.2 Energy Supply-Demand by Fuel Type
3.3 Electricity Supply-Demand Drivers
3.4 Fuel Prices & Exchange Rates
3.5 Climate Change Drivers & Key Environmental Policy
3.6 Energy Supply Security and Related Policy in India & Globally

4 India Power Market Overview
4.1 India Power Industry History and Development in Brief
4.2 Government Power Market Regulatory Bodies
4.3 Current Market Structure
4.4 India Electricity Capacity Development History
4.5 Missed Capacity Installation Targets – Explanation & Consequences
4.6 India Installed Capacity by Ownership
4.7 India End-User Electricity Consumption
4.8 India Peak Electricity Demand Deficit
4.9 India Transmission & Distribution Infrastructure – Current Situation, Plans and Issues
4.10 The Role & Importance of Coal Mine Linkages
4.11 Current Shortages & the Future Role of Imported Coal
4.12 The Role of Captive Power in the Indian Power Market – Proliferation, Key Legislation, and Issue
4.13 Carbon Capture & Storage (CCS) Potential in India
4.14 Renovation versus Decommissioning of Aging Plants
4.15 12th 5-Year Plan and Longer-Term Government Targets

5 Project Economics & Foreign Investment
5.1 Overview of Electricity Tariffs & Policy in India
5.2 Coal Project Capital Costs, Tariffs & Economics
5.3 Gas Project Capital Costs, Tariffs & Economics
5.4 Nuclear Project Capital Costs, Tariffs & Economics
5.5 Hydro Project Capital Costs, Tariffs & Economics
5.6 Wind Project Capital Costs, Tariffs & Economics
5.7 Solar PV Project Capital Costs, Tariffs & Economics
5.8 Biomass Project Capital Costs, Tariffs & Economics
5.9 Levelised Cost of Energy & Project Economics Analysis
5.10 Key Legislation and Policy Governing Foreign Direct Investment and Participation in the Power Sector in India
5.11 Trends in Foreign Direct Investment

6 Value Chain Analysis
6.1 Coal Supply Chain Overview, Constraints & Key Issues
6.2 Gas Supply Chain Overview, Constraints & Key Issues
6.3 Nuclear Supply Chain Overview, Constraints & Key Issues
6.4 Hydro Supply Chain Overview, Constraints & Key Issues
6.5 Wind Supply Chain Overview, Constraints & Key Issues
6.6 Brief Overview of Solar PV Market Value Chain
6.7 Brief Overview of Solar Thermal Market Value Chain
6.8 Brief Overview of Biomass Market Value Chain
6.9 Brief Overview of Wave & Tidal Market Value Chain
6.10 Supply Chain – Industry Survey

7 Company Profiles
7.1 Major Utility: NTPC
7.2 Major Utility: NHPC
7.3 Major Utility: Damodar Valley Corporation
7.4 Major Utility: NPCIL
7.5 Major Utility: APGENCO
7.6 Major Utility: Mahagenco
7.7 Major Utility: Adani Power
7.8 Major Utility: Essar Energy
7.9 Major Utility: Reliance Power
7.10 Major Utility: Tata Power
7.11 Major Fuel Supplier: Coal India Limited (CIL)
7.12 Major Equipment Manufacturer: BHEL
7.13 Major Equipment Manufacturer: Suzlon Energy

8 Prospective Projects Data
8.1 Selected Prospective Coal Power Projects
8.2 Selected Prospective Gas Power Projects
8.3 Selected Prospective Nuclear Power
8.4 Selected Prospective Hydro Power Projects

9 Market Forecasts
9.1 Introduction to the Forecasting Process
9.2 Forecast Model & Assumptions
9.3 Power Consumption & Capacity Demand Forecasts 2014-2028
9.4 Overall India Power Market Forecasts 2014-2023
9.5 Coal Power Market Forecasts 2014-2023
9.6 Gas Power Market Forecasts 2014-2023
9.7 Nuclear Power Market Forecasts 2014-2023
9.8 Hydro Power Market Forecasts 2014-2023
9.9 Onshore Wind Power Market Forecasts 2014-2023
9.10 Offshore Wind Power Market Forecasts 2014-2023
9.11 Solar PV Power Market Forecasts 2014-2023
9.12 Solar Thermal Power Market Forecasts 2014-2023
9.13 Biomass Power Market Forecasts 2014-2023
9.14 Wave & Tidal Power Market Forecasts 2014-2023
9.15 Oil & Other Technologies Power Market Forecasts 2014-2023

10 Appendices
10.1 Model Assumptions & Forecast Project Data Quality
10.2 Disclaimer 

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