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Commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMIís independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sectorís total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment.Central to BMIís analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMIís unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk teamís unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.
Industry View 7Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, December 2013 7Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2013-2018 (%) 7Table: Ranking Out Of 71 Countries Reviewed In 2014 8Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2011-2018 8SWOT 9Commercial Banking 9Political 11Economic 13Business Environment 14Industry Forecast 15Table: SAUDI ARABIA - TOP LISTED BANKS' NET PROFIT (SARbn) 18Industry Risk Reward Ratings 19Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Ratings 19Table: Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Ratings 20Market Overview 21Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Outlook 21Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2012 21Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset And Loan/GDP Ratios, 2014 22Table: Comparison Of Total Assets, Client Loans And Client Deposits (US$bn) 23Table: Comparison Of US$ Per Capita Deposits, 2014 24Economic Analysis 24Table: BMI AND BLOOMBERG CONSENSUS FORECASTS* FOR BRENT, US$/bbl 27Table: Saudi Arabia - Economic Activity 33Competitive Landscape 34Market Structure 34Protagonists 34Table: Protagonists in Saudi Arabia's Commercial Banking Sector 34Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 34List of Banks 34Table: Saudi Banks 34Table: Branches Of Foreign Banks 35Company Profile 36Arab National Bank 36Table: Stock Market Indicators 38Table: Balance Sheet (SARmn) 38Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn) 38Table: Key Ratios (%) 39Al-Rajhi Bank 40Table: Stock Market Indicators 42Table: Balance Sheet (SARmn) 43Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn) 43Table: Key Ratios (%) 43National Commercial Bank 44Table: Stock Market Indicators 45Table: Balance Sheet (SARmn) 46Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn) 46Table: Key Ratios (%) 46Riyad Bank 47Table: Stock Market Indicators 49Table: Balance Sheet (SARmn) 49Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn) 49Table: Key Ratios (%) 50Samba Financial Group 51Table: Stock Market Indicators 53Table: Balance Sheet (SARmn) 53Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn) 53Table: Key Ratios (%) 54Saudi Hollandi Bank 55Table: Stock Market Indicators 57Table: Balance Sheet (SARmn) 57Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn) 57Table: Key Ratios (%) 58Regional Overview 59Middle East Commercial Banking Overview 59GCC: Rapid Growth Rates To Slow 59Growth To Pick Up Elsewhere 61Egypt: The Worst Has Passed 63Islamic Banking: Setbacks To Restrain Growth 63Recent Developments 63New Markets On The Horizon 65Table: Islamic Bonds & Loans (2013) 67Malaysia To Remain World Leader 67Impediments Remain 68Global Industry Overview 69Global Commercial Banking Outlook 69Regional Outlooks 70Demographic Forecast 74Demographic Outlook 74Table: Saudi Arabia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 75Table: Saudi Arabia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 76Table: Saudi Arabia's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 77Table: Saudi Arabia's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 77Methodology 78Industry Forecast Methodology 78Sector Specific Methodology 79Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 80Sector Specific Methodology 81Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Rating Indicators 81Weighting 82Table: Weighting Of Indicators 82