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The Slovakian petrochemicals industry experienced strong growth as a result
of export-led growth and improved operating margins, despite the country's
lacklustre overall economic performance, according to BMI's latest Slovakia
Petrochemicals Report. Modest growth in capacity is expected in the medium-term.
In 10M13, the chemicals production index showed 4.9% year-on-year (y-o-y) growth
while the rubber and plastics index rose 4.1%. Chemicals output had reversed an
average decline of 4.4% in 2012 while rubber and plastic strengthened from
growth of 2.0%. Local petrochemicals producer Slovnaft reported that in 9M13
monomer and polymer output was up 12% y-o-y to 243,000 tonnes.In 2013,
Slovakia's petrochemicals capacities included 210,000 tonnes per annum (tpa)
ethylene, 50,000tpa benzene, 40,000tpa ethylene oxide, 40,000tpa ethylene
glycol, 180,000tpa low density polyethylene, 255,000tpa polypropylene and
65,000tpa xylenes. The industry is small by international standards and largely
fulfils domestic demand, although it has become more efficient and productive as
a result of the consolidation of Slovnaft's petrochemicals operations into MOL
and the implementation of a common single-channel polymer sales operation
between MOL's TVK and Slovnaft.
Industry View 7SWOT 8Political 9Economic 10Business Environment 11Industry Forecast 12Table: Slovakia's Petrochemicals, 2012-2018 ('000 tonnes, unless otherwise stated) 14Macroeconomic Forecasts 16Economic Activity 16Table: Slovakia - Economic Activity 22Industry Risk Reward Ratings 23Europe Petrochemicals Risk Reward Ratings 23Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of 100) 27Slovakia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Ratings 28Market Overview 29Table: Slovakia's Petrochemicals Facilities 29Industry Trends And Developments 31Company Profile 32Slovnaft 32Regional Overview 36Europe Overview 36Declining Capacities 37Table: European Cracker Capacities, 2013 42Global Industry Overview 46A Stable 2013, Leading To Growth In 2014? 46Table: Top 10 Ethylene Producers, 2013 48Long-Term Growth 48Shale: The Future Of Feedstock? 50Threats To growth 53Global Oil Product Price Outlook 53Methodology 53Crude Price Forecasts 54Table: BMI's Oil Price Forecasts, Average Price (US$/bbl) 54Variance Across Product Markets 54Narrower US Market Crude-Product Spreads 58Weak Demand Persists 59Risks To Outlook 60Table: BMI's Refined Products Forecasts, US$/bbl 60Supply: Supported By Global Refining Capacity 62Naphtha: US Gas Hits Demand 65Gasoline And Gasoil/Diesel: Subsidies & Fuel Efficiency Cap Upward Movement 68Jet Fuel: Limited Upward Movement 70Table: Total Air Freight And Passenger Volumes 72Bunker Fuels: Sulphur Control To Hit Rotterdam Hardest 72Demographic Forecast 76Demographic Outlook 76Table: Slovakia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 77Table: Slovakia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 78Table: Slovakia's Key Population Ratios, 1990-202079Table: Slovakia's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 79Glossary 80Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 80Methodology 81Industry Forecast Methodology 81Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 83Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Rating Indicators 84Table: Weighting Of Indicators 85