The 2016-2021 World Outlook for Dairy Spreads

 Published On: Apr, 2015 |    No of Pages: 245 |  Published By: Icon Group International, Inc | Format: PDF
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This econometric study covers the world outlook for dairy spreads across more than 200 countries. For each year reported, estimates are given for the latent demand, or potential industry earnings (P.I.E.), for the country in question (in millions of U.S. dollars), the percent share the country is of the region and of the globe. These comparative benchmarks allow the reader to quickly gauge a country vis-à-vis others. Using econometric models which project fundamental economic dynamics within each country and across countries, latent demand estimates are created. This report does not discuss the specific players in the market serving the latent demand, nor specific details at the product level. The study also does not consider short-term cyclicalities that might affect realized sales. The study, therefore, is strategic in nature, taking an aggregate and long-run view, irrespective of the players or products involved.

This study does not report actual sales data (which are simply unavailable, in a comparable or consistent manner in virtually all of the 230 countries of the world).

This study gives, however, my estimates for the worldwide latent demand, or the P.I.E., for dairy spreads. It also shows how the P.I.E. is divided across the world’s regional and national markets. For each country, I also show my estimates of how the P.I.E. grows over time (positive or negative growth). In order to make these estimates, a multi-stage methodology was employed that is often taught in courses on international strategic planning at graduate schools of business.

Table Of Contents:

1 INTRODUCTION 10
1.1 Overview 10
1.2 What is Latent Demand and the P.I.E.? 10
1.3 The Methodology 11
1.3.1 Step 1. Product Definition and Data Collection 12
1.3.2 Step 2. Filtering and Smoothing 13
1.3.3 Step 3. Filling in Missing Values 13
1.3.4 Step 4. Varying Parameter, Non-linear Estimation 13
1.3.5 Step 5. Fixed-Parameter Linear Estimation 14
1.3.6 Step 6. Aggregation and Benchmarking 14
1.3.7 Step 7. Latent Demand Density: Allocating Across Cities 14
1.4 Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) 15
1.4.1 Category Definition 15
1.4.2 Units 15
1.4.3 Methodology 16
2 SUMMARY OF FINDINGS 18
2.1 The Worldwide Market Potential 18
3 AFRICA 20
3.1 Executive Summary 20
3.2 Algeria 22
3.3 Angola 24
3.4 Benin 24
3.5 Botswana 25
3.6 Burkina Faso 26
3.7 Burundi 27
3.8 Cameroon 28
3.9 Cape Verde 29
3.10 Central African Republic 29
3.11 Chad 30
3.12 Comoros 31
3.13 Congo (formerly Zaire) 32
3.14 Cote d'Ivoire 33
3.15 Djibouti 33
3.16 Egypt 34
3.17 Equatorial Guinea 35
3.18 Eritrea 36
3.19 Ethiopia 37
3.20 Gabon 38
3.21 Ghana 38
3.22 Guinea 40
3.23 Guinea-Bissau 40
3.24 Kenya 41
3.25 Lesotho 43
3.26 Liberia 44
3.27 Libya 44
3.28 Madagascar 45
3.29 Malawi 46
3.30 Mali 46
3.31 Mauritania 47
3.32 Mauritius 48
3.33 Morocco 48
3.34 Mozambique 49
3.35 Namibia 50
3.36 Niger 51
3.37 Nigeria 52
3.38 North Sudan 54
3.39 Republic of Congo 55
3.40 Rwanda 56
3.41 Sao Tome E Principe 56
3.42 Senegal 57
3.43 Sierra Leone 58
3.44 Somalia 58
3.45 South Africa 59
3.46 South Sudan 60
3.47 Swaziland 61
3.48 Tanzania 61
3.49 The Gambia 62
3.50 Togo 63
3.51 Tunisia 64
3.52 Uganda 65
3.53 Western Sahara 66
3.54 Zambia 66
3.55 Zimbabwe 67
4 ASIA 69
4.1 Executive Summary 69
4.2 Bangladesh 71
4.3 Bhutan 73
4.4 Brunei 73
4.5 Burma 74
4.6 Cambodia 75
4.7 China 75
4.8 Hong Kong 77
4.9 India 78
4.10 Indonesia 80
4.11 Japan 82
4.12 Laos 85
4.13 Macau 86
4.14 Malaysia 87
4.15 Maldives 88
4.16 Mongolia 88
4.17 Nepal 89
4.18 North Korea 90
4.19 Papua New Guinea 91
4.20 Philippines 92
4.21 Seychelles 96
4.22 Singapore 97
4.23 South Korea 97
4.24 Sri Lanka 99
4.25 Taiwan 99
4.26 Thailand 100
4.27 Timor - Leste, Democratic Republic of 101
4.28 Vietnam 102
5 EUROPE 103
5.1 Executive Summary 103
5.2 Albania 105
5.3 Andorra 106
5.4 Austria 106
5.5 Belarus 107
5.6 Belgium 108
5.7 Bosnia and Herzegovina 109
5.8 Bulgaria 110
5.9 Croatia 111
5.10 Cyprus 111
5.11 Czech Republic 112
5.12 Denmark 113
5.13 Estonia 114
5.14 Finland 115
5.15 France 116
5.16 Georgia 118
5.17 Germany 118
5.18 Greece 119
5.19 Hungary 121
5.20 Iceland 122
5.21 Ireland 123
5.22 Italy 123
5.23 Kazakhstan 125
5.24 Kosovo 127
5.25 Latvia 127
5.26 Liechtenstein 128
5.27 Lithuania 129
5.28 Luxembourg 129
5.29 Macedonia 130
5.30 Malta 131
5.31 Moldova 131
5.32 Monaco 132
5.33 Montenegro 133
5.34 Norway 133
5.35 Poland 134
5.36 Portugal 136
5.37 Romania 137
5.38 Russia 138
5.39 San Marino 141
5.40 Serbia 141
5.41 Slovakia 142
5.42 Slovenia 143
5.43 Spain 144
5.44 Sweden 146
5.45 Switzerland 147
5.46 The Netherlands 148
5.47 The United Kingdom 150
5.48 Ukraine 152
6 OCEANA 155
6.1 Executive Summary 155
6.2 American Samoa 156
6.3 Australia 157
6.4 Christmas Island 158
6.5 Cook Islands 158
6.6 Fiji 159
6.7 French Polynesia 159
6.8 Guam 160
6.9 Kiribati 161
6.10 Marshall Islands 161
6.11 Micronesia Federation 162
6.12 Nauru 162
6.13 New Caledonia 163
6.14 New Zealand 164
6.15 Niue 165
6.16 Norfolk Island 165
6.17 Palau 166
6.18 Solomon Islands 166
6.19 The Northern Mariana Island 167
6.20 Tonga 168
6.21 Tuvalu 168
6.22 Vanuatu 169
6.23 Wallis and Futuna 169
6.24 Western Samoa 170
7 THE AMERICAS 171
7.1 Executive Summary 171
7.2 Antigua and Barbuda 173
7.3 Argentina 174
7.4 Aruba 177
7.5 Barbados 178
7.6 Belize 179
7.7 Bermuda 179
7.8 Bolivia 180
7.9 Brazil 181
7.10 Canada 184
7.11 Chile 186
7.12 Colombia 187
7.13 Costa Rica 189
7.14 Cuba 190
7.15 Dominica 191
7.16 Dominican Republic 191
7.17 Ecuador 192
7.18 El Salvador 193
7.19 Greenland 194
7.20 Grenada 195
7.21 Guatemala 196
7.22 Guyana 197
7.23 Haiti 197
7.24 Honduras 198
7.25 Jamaica 199
7.26 Mexico 200
7.27 Nicaragua 202
7.28 Panama 203
7.29 Paraguay 203
7.30 Peru 204
7.31 Puerto Rico 205
7.32 St. Kitts and Nevis 206
7.33 St. Lucia 207
7.34 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 207
7.35 Suriname 208
7.36 The Bahamas 209
7.37 The British Virgin Islands 209
7.38 The Cayman Islands 210
7.39 The Falkland Islands 211
7.40 The U.S. Virgin Islands 211
7.41 The United States 212
7.42 Trinidad and Tobago 214
7.43 Uruguay 214
7.44 Venezuela 215
8 THE MIDDLE EAST 217
8.1 Executive Summary 217
8.2 Afghanistan 219
8.3 Armenia 220
8.4 Azerbaijan 221
8.5 Bahrain 222
8.6 Iran 222
8.7 Iraq 225
8.8 Israel 226
8.9 Jordan 227
8.10 Kuwait 227
8.11 Kyrgyzstan 228
8.12 Lebanon 229
8.13 Oman 230
8.14 Pakistan 230
8.15 Palestine 232
8.16 Qatar 233
8.17 Saudi Arabia 234
8.18 Syrian Arab Republic 235
8.19 Tajikistan 237
8.20 The United Arab Emirates 237
8.21 Turkey 238
8.22 Turkmenistan 241
8.23 Uzbekistan 242
8.24 Yemen 243
9 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 244
9.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 244
9.2 ICON Group International, Inc. User Agreement Provisions 245

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