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Future of the Netherlands Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2018

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Published Date: Jul, 2013
Format: PDF
No of Pages: 131
 
 
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  • Abstract
  • Table of Contents

Product Synopsis

This report is the result of SDI’s extensive market and company research covering the Netherlands’ defense industry, and provides detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values including key growth stimulators, analysis of the leading companies in the industry, and key news.

Introduction and Landscape

Why was the report written?
Future of the Netherlands’ Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2018 offers the reader an insight into the market opportunities and entry strategies adopted by foreign original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) to gain market share in the German defense industry.

What is the current market landscape and what is changing?
The Netherlands is one of the top 20 defense markets across the world, with a defense budget allocation of US$10.1 billion in 2013. Primarily driven by military modernization programs, and coast guard and internal security the country’s defense expenditure is expected to register a CAGR of -0.31% during the period 2014-18. This decrease in spending is expected to be primarily due to the European debt crisis, which will force the Netherlands to cut its defense budget over the forecast period. The country’s defense imports and exports recovered in 2012 and are expected to grow over the forecast period, as the country is expected focus on acquiring equipment for maritime security, C2/C4ISR, and homeland security infrastructure.

What are the key drivers behind recent market changes?
Defense expenditure in the Netherlands is primarily driven by military modernization, joint operations with the police force for the internal security of the country. Military Modernization: Participation of the country’s armed forces in peacekeeping initiatives affected the functionality of its defense equipment, especially the condition of the equipment deployed in Afghanistan, such as F-16s, armored vehicles, and helicopters. This has necessitated the need for upgrade or replacement. The MOD has already outlined plans to upgrade its helicopter and armored vehicles fleets, and F-16 fighter aircraft. The maritime forces are also being equipped with minesweeping capabilities, while frigates are being upgraded with radar systems.

What makes this report unique and essential to read?
The Future of the Netherlands’ Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2018 provides detailed analysis of the current industry size and growth expectations from 2014 to 2018, including highlights of key growth stimulators. It also benchmarks the industry against key global markets and provides a detailed understanding of emerging opportunities in specific areas.

Key Features and Benefits

The report provides detailed analysis of the current industry size and growth expectations from 2014 to 2018, including highlights of key growth stimulators, and also benchmarks the industry against key global markets and provides a detailed understanding of emerging opportunities in specific areas.
The report includes trend analysis of imports and exports, together with their implications and impact on the German defense industry.
The report covers five forces analysis to identify various power centers in the industry and how these are expected to develop in the future.
The report allows readers to identify possible ways to enter the market, together with detailed descriptions of how existing companies have entered the market, including key contracts, alliances, and strategic initiatives.
The report helps the reader to understand the competitive landscape of the defense industry in Netherlands. It provides an overview of key defense companies, both domestic and foreign, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis.

Key Market Issues

The Netherlands’ government has been criticized for giving inadequate support to its domestic defense industry over the review period, especially during times of economic crisis. Instead, the government reduced its defense budget, forcing the industry to rely on export orders for revenue. In addition, the government does not offer financial resources such as working capital funds to the industry in order to cater to export orders, which has forced many domestic firms to close.

Key Highlights

Coast guard and Internal security: The country’s armed forces, especially the Navy, participate in joint operations with the US for counter narcotics efforts and also with its internal security forces to ensure internal stability. The Netherlands committed its military to support a US Forward Operating Location (FOL) at the Curaçao Hato International Airport. In addition, the Netherlands’ armed forces assist the Dutch Caribbean Coast Guard (DCCG) and the Dutch Caribbean islands such as Aruba, Curaçao, Dutch St. Maarten, and BES islands (Bonaire, St. Eustatius, and Saba) as these islands continue to be major transshipment points for cocaine and heroin originating from Venezuela and Colombia. The Dutch Navy regularly operates in the region to secure its maritime borders and also supports counternarcotics efforts of the Joint Inter Agency Task Force (JIATF) South.
Human and drug trafficking: Instances of human and hard drug trafficking have increased in the Netherlands recently. The country’s Ministry of Justice follows a tolerance policy for the category soft drugs such as cannabis products and enforces a ban on hard drugs such as heroin, cocaine, and LSD. Although the government places high priority over fighting illegal hard drug trafficking, the location of the Netherlands makes it an important point of transit for international drug trafficking, and this is expected to drive homeland security expenditure. The Netherlands’ police force conducts joint operations and patrol with its Army and Navy to counter human and drug trafficking along its maritime borders. These operations are expected to increase over the forecast period, which in turn will drive the country’s homeland security budget.
Arms imports in the Netherlands recovered in 2012, following a sharp decline in 2010 and 2011, and are expected to see slight growth over the period 2013–2018 as deliveries of F-35 are expected to begin in this period. The decline is primarily due to a decline in imports of missiles and artillery mostly from the US from 2010 onwards. Imports of ships from Romania and aircraft from the US dominated the country’s defense imports in 2012.



Table of Contents

1 Introduction
1.1. What is this Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence
2 Executive Summary
3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1. Economic Pressures are expected to cause Netherlands defense budget cuts over the forecast period
3.1.2. Military modernization, coast guard and internal security expected to drive defense spending over the forecast period
3.1.3. Netherlands defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP expected to decrease
3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1. Share of Capital Expenditure expected to average 26.4% over forecast period
3.2.2. Budget Cuts expected to affect Defense Capital Expenditure
3.2.3. Allocation for peacekeeping operations to decline
3.2.4. Per capita defense expenditure set to decrease over the forecast period
3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1. Netherlands homeland security expected to grow at a steady pace
3.3.2. Counter measures for human and drug trafficking set to drive homeland security expenditure over the forecast period
3.3.3. Netherlands falls under “low risk” of terrorism category
3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1. Netherlands defense budget expected to be marginally decline over the forecast period
3.4.2. Singapore and Taiwan are expected to overtake Netherlands among the largest defense spenders in the world
3.4.3. Netherlands allocates lower share of GDP for defense compared to US and European countries
3.4.4. Netherlands faces some threat from foreign terrorist organizations
3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
3.5.1. Maritime Security
3.5.2. C4ISR – Soldier Modernization
3.5.3. Attack Aircraft MRO
3.5.4. Land Based C2C4ISR
3.5.5. Fighters & Multi-Role Aircraft
3.5.6. Homeland Security Infrastructure
3.5.7. Airborne C2C4ISR
4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1. Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1. Defense imports are expected to increase slightly over the forecast period
4.1.2. Netherlands sourced majority of its arms imports from Sweden and the US
4.1.3. Armored vehicles and Missiles dominate military hardware imports
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1. Arms exports to recover during the forecast period
4.2.2. Netherlands arms exports expected to increase
4.2.3. Ships and armored vehicles are the main exported defense products
5 Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: medium to low
5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: high
5.1.3. Barrier to entry: medium
5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: high
5.1.5. Threat of substitution: low to high
6 Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. Offset policy aids development of domestic defense industry and research activities
6.1.2. FDI in defense sector is unrestricted without review
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. Acquisition of domestic companies is effective market entry route for foreign firms
6.2.2. Establishment of subsidiaries provides market entry opportunities
6.2.3. Joint ventures, partnerships and subcontracting offer alternative entry strategies
6.2.4. Joint R&D programs provide an effective strategy to gain market access
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Inadequate government support for defense industry
7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
7.2. Key Domestic Companies
7.2.1. Fokker Technologies: overview
7.2.2. Fokker Technologies: products and services
7.2.3. Fokker Technologies: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.4. Fokker Technologies: alliances
7.2.5. Fokker Technologies: recent contract wins
7.2.6. Damen Schelde Naval Shipbuilding: overview
7.2.7. Damen Schelde Naval Shipbuilding: products and services
7.2.8. Damen Schelde Naval Shipbuilding: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.9. Damen Schelde Naval Shipbuilding: alliances
7.2.10. Damen Schelde Naval Shipbuilding: recent contract wins
7.2.11. TNO Defense: overview
7.2.12. TNO Defense: products and services
7.2.13. TNO Defense: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.14. TNO Defense: alliances
7.2.15. TNO Defense: recent contract wins
7.2.16. Thales Nederland: overview
7.2.17. Thales Nederland: products and services
7.2.18. Thales Nederland: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.19. Thales Nederland: alliances
7.2.20. Thales Nederland: recent contract wins
7.2.21. Fokker Aero structures: overview
7.2.22. Fokker Aero structures: products and services
7.2.23. Fokker Aero structures: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.24. Fokker Aero structures: alliances
7.2.25. Fokker Aero structures: recent contract wins
7.2.26. Imtech Marine and Offshore: overview
7.2.27. Imtech Marine and Offshore: products and services
7.2.28. Imtech Marine and Offshore: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.29. Imtech Marine and Offshore: alliances
7.2.30. Imtech Marine and Offshore: recent contract wins
7.2.31. Lockheed Martin: overview
7.2.32. Lockheed Martin: products and services
7.2.33. Lockheed Martin: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.34. Lockheed Martin: alliances
7.2.35. Lockheed Martin: recent contract wins
7.2.36. EADS: overview
7.2.37. EADS: products and services
7.2.38. EADS: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.39. EADS: alliances
7.2.40. EADS: recent contract wins
8 Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1. Demographics & Social Statistics
8.1.1. Population – Rural
8.1.2. Population - Urban
8.1.3. Population – Number of Households
8.2. Economic Performance
8.2.1. Gross Domestic per Capita
8.2.2. Gross Domestic Product, current US$
8.2.3. Exports of Goods and Services
8.2.4. Imports of Goods and Services
8.2.5. Gross National Disposable Income
8.2.6. Manufacturing Output
8.2.7. Consumer Price Index
8.2.8. Wholesale Price Index
8.2.9. Local Currency Unit per US$
8.2.10. Lending rate
8.2.11. Deposit rate
8.2.12. Real interest rate
8.2.13. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies
8.2.14. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies as a % of GDP
8.2.15. Total Government Cash Surplus/Deficit
8.2.16. Government Cash Surplus/Deficit
8.2.17. Central Government Debt
8.2.18. Central Government Debt as a % of GDP
8.2.19. Goods Exports as a % of GDP
8.2.20. Goods Imports as a % of GDP
8.2.21. Goods Trade Surplus/Deficit as a % of GDP
8.2.22. Services Imports as a % of GDP
8.2.23. Services Exports as a % of GDP
8.2.24. Services trade surplus/deficit as a % of GDP
8.2.25. Net Foreign Direct Investment
8.2.26. Net FDI as a % of GDP
8.2.27. International reserves, including Gold
8.3. Energy and Utilities
8.3.1. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation
8.3.2. Hydroelectricity Net Generation
8.3.3. Nuclear Electricity Net Generation
8.3.4. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity
8.3.5. Total Electricity Exports
8.3.6. Total Electricity Imports
8.3.7. Proved reserves of Natural Gas
8.3.8. Total Petroleum Consumption
8.3.9. Crude Oil Proved reserves
8.3.10. Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation
8.4. Infrastructure Quality and Availability
8.4.1. Rail lines, total network
8.4.2. Air transport, freight
8.4.3. Overall Construction
8.5. Minerals
8.5.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output
8.6. Technology
8.6.1. Research and development expenditure
8.6.2. Patents Granted
8.7. Telecommunication
8.7.1. Telephone lines
8.7.2. Telephone lines Penetration Rate
9 Appendix
9.1. About SDI
9.2. Disclaimer

List of Tables

Table 1: Netherlands Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2009–2013
Table 2: Netherlands Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2014–2018
Table 3: Netherlands GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2009–2013
Table 4: Netherlands GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2014–2018
Table 5: Netherlands Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2009–2013
Table 6: Netherlands Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2014–2018
Table 7: Netherlands Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ bn), 2009 – 2013
Table 8: Netherlands Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ bn), 2014 – 2018
Table 9: Netherlands Defense Expenditure Breakdown (%), 2009–2013
Table 10: Netherlands Defense Expenditure Breakdown (%), 2014–2018
Table 11: Netherlands per capita defense expenditure (US$), 2009–2013
Table 12: Netherlands per capita defense expenditure (US$), 2014–2018
Table 13: Netherlands Homeland Security Budget, 2009–2013
Table 14: Netherlands Homeland Security Budget, 2014–2018
Table 15: Benchmarking with Key Markets – 2008–2012 vs. 2013–2017
Table 16: SDI Terrorism Index
Table 17: Offset Regulations in the Netherlands
Table 18: Fokker Technologies – Product focus
Table 19: Fokker Technologies – Alliances
Table 20: Fokker Technologies – Recent Contract Wins
Table 21: Damen Schelde Naval Shipbuilding – Product focus
Table 22: Damen Schelde Naval Shipbuilding – Alliances
Table 23: Damen Schelde Naval Shipbuilding – Contracts
Table 24: TNO Defense– Product focus
Table 25: TNO Defense– Alliances
Table 26: TNO Defense– Recent Contract Wins
Table 27: Thales Nederland – Product focus
Table 28: Thales Nederland– Alliances
Table 29: Thales Nederland – Recent Contract Wins
Table 30: Fokker Aero structures – Product focus
Table 31:Diehl Stiftung– Alliances
Table 32: Fokker Aero structures– Recent Contract Wins
Table 33: Imtech Marine and Offshore – Product focus
Table 34: Imtech Marine and Offshore – Alliances
Table 35: Imtech Marine and Offshore – Recent Contract Wins
Table 36: Lockheed Martin – Product focus
Table 37: Lockheed Martin – Alliances
Table 38: Lockheed Martin – Recent Contract Wins
Table 39:EADS – Product focus
Table 40:EADS – Alliances
Table 41:EADS – Recent Contract Wins

List of Figures

Figure 1: Netherlands Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2009–2013
Figure 2: Netherlands Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2014–2018
Figure 3: Netherlands GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditures Percentage of GDP Growth, 2009–2013
Figure 4: Netherlands GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2014–2018
Figure 5:Netherlands Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2009–2013
Figure 6: Netherlands Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2014–2018
Figure 7: Netherlands Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ bn), 2009–2013
Figure 8: Netherlands Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2014–2018
Figure 9: Netherlands Defense Expenditure Breakdown (%), 2009–2013
Figure 10: Netherlands Defense Expenditure Breakdown (%), 2014–2018
Figure 11: Netherlands per capita defense expenditure (US$), 2009–2013
Figure 12:Netherlands per capita defense expenditure (US$), 2014–2018
Figure 13: Netherlands Homeland Security Budget, 2009–2013
Figure 14: Netherlands Homeland Security Budget, 2014–2018
Figure 15: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2012
Figure 16: SDI Terrorism Index, 2012
Figure 17: Benchmarking with Key Markets – 2008–2012 vs. 2013–2017
Figure 18: Defense Expenditure of the World’s Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2012 and 2017
Figure 19: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2012
Figure 20: Maritime Security Market Size (US$ Million), 2013 - 2023
Figure 21: C4ISR Market Size (US$ Million), 2013 - 2023
Figure 22: Attack Aircraft MRO Market Size (US$ Million), 2013 - 2023
Figure 23: Land Based C2C4ISR Market Size (US$ Million), 2013 - 2023
Figure 24: Fighters & Multi-Role Aircraft Market Size (US$ Million), 2013 - 2023
Figure 25: Homeland Security Infrastructure Market Size (US$ Million), 2013 - 2023
Figure 26: Airborne C2C4ISR Market Size (US$ Million), 2013 - 2023
Figure 27: Netherlands Defense Import Trend, 2008–2012 (TIV values)
Figure 28: Netherlands Defense Imports by Country (%), 2008–2012
Figure 29: Netherlands Defense Imports by Category (%), 2008–2012
Figure 30: Netherlands Defense exports by Value (%),2008–2012
Figure 31: Netherlands Defense exports by Country (%), 2008–2012
Figure 32: Netherlands Defense Imports by Category (%),2008–2012
Figure 33: Industry Dynamics Porter’s Five Forces Analysis
Figure 34: Netherlands Population – Rural (In Millions), 2008–2017
Figure 35: Netherlands Population – Urban (In Millions), 2008–2017
Figure 36: Netherlands Population – Number of Households (In Millions), 2009–2018
Figure 37: Netherlands GDP per capita, 2008–2017
Figure 38: Netherlands Gross Domestic Product (current US$ Bn), 2008–2017
Figure 39: Netherlands Exports of goods and services (current US$ Bn), 2002–2011
Figure 40: Netherlands Imports of goods and services (current US$ Bn), 2002–2011
Figure 41: Netherlands gross national disposable income (US$ Bn), 2002 – 2011
Figure 42: Netherlands Manufacturing Output (US$ Bn), 2002–2011
Figure 43: Netherlands Consumer Price Index, 2008–2017
Figure 44: Netherlands Wholesale Price Index, 2002–2011
Figure 45: Netherlands LCU per US$, 2008–2017
Figure 46: Netherlands Lending rate (%), 2002–2011
Figure 47: Netherlands Deposit rate (%), 2002–2011s
Figure 48: Netherlands Real interest rate (%), 2002–2011
Figure 49: Netherlands Market Capitalization of listed Companies (US$ Bn), 2002–2011
Figure 50: Netherlands Market Capitalization of listed companies as a % of GDP, 2002–2011
Figure 51: Netherlands Government cash surplus/deficit (LCU Bn), 2001–2010
Figure 52: Netherlands Government cash Surplus/deficit as a % of GDP, 2001–2010
Figure 53: Netherlands Central Government Debt (LCU Bn), 2001–2010
Figure 54: Netherlands Central Government Debt as a % of GDP, 2001–2010
Figure 55: Netherlands Goods Exports as a % of GDP, 2002–2011
Figure 56: Netherlands Goods Imports as a % of GDP, 2002–2011
Figure 57: Netherlands Goods Trade Surplus/Deficit as a % of GDP, 2002–2011
Figure 58: Netherlands Services Imports as a % of GDP, 2002–2011
Figure 59: Netherlands Services Exports as a % of GDP, 2002–2011
Figure 60: Netherlands Services trade surplus/deficit as a % of GDP, 2002–2011
Figure 61: Netherlands Net Foreign Direct Investment (current US$ BN), 2002–2011
Figure 62: Netherlands Net FDI as a % of GDP, 2002–2011
Figure 63: Netherlands International reserves, including Gold (US$ Bn), 2002–2011
Figure 64: Netherlands Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Bn KWH), 2001–2010
Figure 65: Netherlands Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Bn KWH), 2001–2010
Figure 66: Netherlands Nuclear Electricity Net Generation (Bn KWH), 2001–2010
Figure 67: Netherlands Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million Kilowatts), 2001–2010
Figure 68: Netherlands Total Electricity Exports (Bn KWH), 2001–2010
Figure 69: Netherlands Total Electricity Imports (Bn KWH), 2001–2010
Figure 70: Netherlands Proved reserves of Natural Gas (Trillion Cubic feet), 2002–2011
Figure 71: Netherlands Total Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels per Day), 2002–2011
Figure 72: Netherlands Crude Oil Proved reserves (Billion Barrels), 2002–2011
Figure 73: Netherlands Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Bn Kw), 2001–2010
Figure 74: Netherlands Rail lines (total route-Km), 2001–2010
Figure 75: Netherlands Air transport, freight (Million ton-Km), 2001–2010
Figure 76: Netherlands Overall Construction (US$ Bn), 2007–2016
Figure 77: Netherlands Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (US$ Bn), 2002–2011
Figure 78: Netherlands Research and Development (thousands LCU), 2002–2011
Figure 79: Netherlands Patents Granted, 2002–2011
Figure 80: Netherlands Telephone lines, 2001–2010
Figure 81: Netherlands Telephone lines Penetration Rate (per 100 people), 2002–2011



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