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BMI View: The strengthening of Mozambique's consumer outlook will encourage
investor confidence in the food and drink industry, stemming from rising
household spending and favourable demographics. Ongoing regional drought
conditions will raise food prices over the short-term leaving staple products as
the largest part of food consumption. Growing formalisation in the drinks sector
and higher consumer spending will fuel investment in the MGR sector.
Key Views & Developments
■ We forecast food sales to increase at double-digit rates over 2015-2020, as
rising household spending power feeds through to food and drink sales. This will
enable Mozambican consumers to diversify their diets, currently essentially
composed of cereals and vegetables.
■ The drinks industry will experience sustained growth from a low base.
Carbonated soft drinks and alcoholic drinks will benefit from strong investment
from global players, including SABMiller, Diageo, Pernod Ricard and The
BMI Industry View . 7
Key Views & Developments ......... 7
Industry Forecast .. 9
Consumer Outlook . 9
Latest Updates ..... 9
Structural Trends . 9
Food ...... 10
Latest Updates ... 11
Structural Trends .......... 11
Table: Food Sales (Mozambique 2013-2020) . . . . 12
Drink ..... 13
Latest Updates ... 13
Structural Trends .......... 14
Table: Total alcoholic drinks spending and consumption (Mozambique 2013-2020) .
. . . . 15
Table: Non-alcoholic Drink Sales (Mozambique 2013-2020) 18
Mass Grocery Retail ....... 18
Latest Updates ... 18
Structural Trends .......... 19
Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index ........ 20
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index .... 20
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa - Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index, Q316 . . 21
Market Overview . 25
Regional Market Overview .......... 25
Recent Developments ..... 25
Market Drivers And Trends ........ 25
Competitive Landscape . 30
Table: Key Players In Southern Africa Food and Drink . . . . . 30
Table: Key Players In Southern Africa Mass Grocery Retail 32
Demographic Forecast .. 34
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Mozambique 1990-2025) 35
Table: Key Population Ratios (Mozambique 1990-2025) . . . . 35
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Mozambique 1990-2025) . . . . .
Table: Population By Age Group (Mozambique 1990-2025) 36
Table: Population By Age Group % (Mozambique 1990-2025) . . . . 37
Glossary .... 39
Food & Drink .... 39
Mass Grocery Retail ...... 39
Methodology ........ 41
Industry Forecast Methodology .. 41
Sector-Specific Methodology ...... 42
Sources . 42
Risk/Reward Index Methodology . 43
Table: Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators . . . 44
Table: Weighting . . . . 45"