The 2016-2021 Outlook for Whole Fryer-Roaster Turkeys under 16 Weeks of Age in the United States

 Published On: Sep, 2015 |    No of Pages: 770 |  Published By: Icon Group International, Inc | Format: PDF
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This econometric study covers the latent demand outlook for whole fryer-roaster turkeys under 16 weeks of age across the states and cities of the United States. Latent demand (in millions of U.S. dollars), or potential industry earnings (P.I.E.) estimates are given across some 12,700 cities in the United States. For each city in question, the percent share the city is of its state and of the United States is reported. These comparative benchmarks allow the reader to quickly gauge a city vis--vis others. This statistical approach can prove very useful to distribution and/or sales force strategies. Using econometric models which project fundamental economic dynamics within each state and city, latent demand estimates are created for whole fryer-roaster turkeys under 16 weeks of age. This report does not discuss the specific players in the market serving the latent demand, nor specific details at the product level. The study also does not consider short-term cyclicalities that might affect realized sales.

The study, therefore, is strategic in nature, taking an aggregate and long-run view, irrespective of the players or products involved. This study does not report actual sales data (which are simply unavailable, in a comparable or consistent manner in virtually all of the cities in the United States). This study gives, however, my estimates for the latent demand, or the P.I.E., for whole fryer-roaster turkeys under 16 weeks of age in the United States. It also shows how the P.I.E. is divided and concentrated across the cities and regional markets of the United States. For each state, I also show my estimates of how the P.I.E. grows over time. In order to make these estimates, a multi-stage methodology was employed that is often taught in courses on strategic planning at graduate schools of business.

Table Of Contents:

1 INTRODUCTION 9
1.1 Overview 9
1.2 What is Latent Demand and the P.I.E.? 9
1.3 The Methodology 10
1.3.1 Step 1. Product Definition and Data Collection 11
1.3.2 Step 2. Filtering and Smoothing 12
1.3.3 Step 3. Filling in Missing Values 12
1.3.4 Step 4. Varying Parameter, Non-linear Estimation 13
1.3.5 Step 5. Fixed-Parameter Linear Estimation 13
1.3.6 Step 6. Aggregation and Benchmarking 13
1.4 Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) 14
1.4.1 Category Definition 14
1.4.2 Units 14
1.4.3 Methodology 15
2 SUMMARY OF FINDINGS 17
2.1 Latent Demand in The US 17
3 FAR WEST 19
3.1 Executive Summary 19
3.2 Latent Demand by Year - Alaska 20
3.3 Cities Sorted by Rank - Alaska 21
3.4 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Alaska 24
3.5 Latent Demand by Year - California 26
3.6 Cities Sorted by Rank - California 27
3.7 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - California 48
3.8 Latent Demand by Year - Hawaii 69
3.9 Cities Sorted by Rank - Hawaii 70
3.10 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Hawaii 74
3.11 Latent Demand by Year - Nevada 77
3.12 Cities Sorted by Rank - Nevada 78
3.13 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Nevada 81
3.14 Latent Demand by Year - Oregon 83
3.15 Cities Sorted by Rank - Oregon 84
3.16 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Oregon 89
3.17 Latent Demand by Year - Washington 93
3.18 Cities Sorted by Rank - Washington 94
3.19 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Washington 103
4 GREAT LAKES 111
4.1 Executive Summary 111
4.2 Latent Demand by Year - Illinois 112
4.3 Cities Sorted by Rank - Illinois 113
4.4 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Illinois 128
4.5 Latent Demand by Year - Indiana 142
4.6 Cities Sorted by Rank - Indiana 143
4.7 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Indiana 151
4.8 Latent Demand by Year - Michigan 158
4.9 Cities Sorted by Rank - Michigan 159
4.10 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Michigan 169
4.11 Latent Demand by Year - Ohio 178
4.12 Cities Sorted by Rank - Ohio 179
4.13 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Ohio 193
4.14 Latent Demand by Year - Wisconsin 206
4.15 Cities Sorted by Rank - Wisconsin 207
4.16 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Wisconsin 218
5 MID-ATLANTIC 228
5.1 Executive Summary 228
5.2 Latent Demand by Year - Delaware 230
5.3 Cities Sorted by Rank - Delaware 231
5.4 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Delaware 233
5.5 Latent Demand by Year - District of Columbia 234
5.6 Cities Sorted by Rank - District of Columbia 235
5.7 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - District of Columbia 235
5.8 Latent Demand by Year - Maryland 236
5.9 Cities Sorted by Rank - Maryland 237
5.10 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Maryland 245
5.11 Latent Demand by Year - New Jersey 252
5.12 Cities Sorted by Rank - New Jersey 253
5.13 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - New Jersey 264
5.14 Latent Demand by Year - New York 274
5.15 Cities Sorted by Rank - New York 275
5.16 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - New York 301
5.17 Latent Demand by Year - Pennsylvania 326
5.18 Cities Sorted by Rank - Pennsylvania 327
5.19 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Pennsylvania 345
6 NEW ENGLAND 362
6.1 Executive Summary 362
6.2 Latent Demand by Year - Connecticut 364
6.3 Cities Sorted by Rank - Connecticut 365
6.4 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Connecticut 371
6.5 Latent Demand by Year - Maine 376
6.6 Cities Sorted by Rank - Maine 377
6.7 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Maine 383
6.8 Latent Demand by Year - Massachusetts 388
6.9 Cities Sorted by Rank - Massachusetts 389
6.10 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Massachusetts 399
6.11 Latent Demand by Year - New Hampshire 408
6.12 Cities Sorted by Rank - New Hampshire 409
6.13 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - New Hampshire 414
6.14 Latent Demand by Year - Rhode Island 418
6.15 Cities Sorted by Rank - Rhode Island 419
6.16 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Rhode Island 422
6.17 Latent Demand by Year - Vermont 424
6.18 Cities Sorted by Rank - Vermont 425
6.19 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Vermont 429
7 PLAINS 432
7.1 Executive Summary 432
7.2 Latent Demand by Year - Iowa 434
7.3 Cities Sorted by Rank - Iowa 435
7.4 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Iowa 441
7.5 Latent Demand by Year - Kansas 446
7.6 Cities Sorted by Rank - Kansas 447
7.7 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Kansas 452
7.8 Latent Demand by Year - Minnesota 456
7.9 Cities Sorted by Rank - Minnesota 457
7.10 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Minnesota 465
7.11 Latent Demand by Year - Missouri 472
7.12 Cities Sorted by Rank - Missouri 473
7.13 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Missouri 481
7.14 Latent Demand by Year - Nebraska 488
7.15 Cities Sorted by Rank - Nebraska 489
7.16 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Nebraska 492
7.17 Latent Demand by Year - North Dakota 494
7.18 Cities Sorted by Rank - North Dakota 495
7.19 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - North Dakota 497
7.20 Latent Demand by Year - South Dakota 498
7.21 Cities Sorted by Rank - South Dakota 499
7.22 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - South Dakota 501
8 ROCKIES 502
8.1 Executive Summary 502
8.2 Latent Demand by Year - Colorado 503
8.3 Cities Sorted by Rank - Colorado 504
8.4 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Colorado 509
8.5 Latent Demand by Year - Idaho 513
8.6 Cities Sorted by Rank - Idaho 514
8.7 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Idaho 517
8.8 Latent Demand by Year - Montana 519
8.9 Cities Sorted by Rank - Montana 520
8.10 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Montana 523
8.11 Latent Demand by Year - Utah 525
8.12 Cities Sorted by Rank - Utah 526
8.13 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Utah 531
8.14 Latent Demand by Year - Wyoming 535
8.15 Cities Sorted by Rank - Wyoming 536
8.16 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Wyoming 538
9 SOUTHEAST 539
9.1 Executive Summary 539
9.2 Latent Demand by Year - Alabama 541
9.3 Cities Sorted by Rank - Alabama 542
9.4 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Alabama 548
9.5 Latent Demand by Year - Arkansas 553
9.6 Cities Sorted by Rank - Arkansas 554
9.7 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Arkansas 559
9.8 Latent Demand by Year - Florida 563
9.9 Cities Sorted by Rank - Florida 564
9.10 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Florida 581
9.11 Latent Demand by Year - Georgia 597
9.12 Cities Sorted by Rank - Georgia 598
9.13 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Georgia 606
9.14 Latent Demand by Year - Kentucky 613
9.15 Cities Sorted by Rank - Kentucky 614
9.16 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Kentucky 619
9.17 Latent Demand by Year - Louisiana 623
9.18 Cities Sorted by Rank - Louisiana 624
9.19 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Louisiana 630
9.20 Latent Demand by Year - Mississippi 635
9.21 Cities Sorted by Rank - Mississippi 636
9.22 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Mississippi 640
9.23 Latent Demand by Year - North Carolina 643
9.24 Cities Sorted by Rank - North Carolina 644
9.25 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - North Carolina 653
9.26 Latent Demand by Year - South Carolina 661
9.27 Cities Sorted by Rank - South Carolina 662
9.28 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - South Carolina 668
9.29 Latent Demand by Year - Tennessee 673
9.30 Cities Sorted by Rank - Tennessee 674
9.31 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Tennessee 680
9.32 Latent Demand by Year - Virginia 686
9.33 Cities Sorted by Rank - Virginia 687
9.34 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Virginia 693
9.35 Latent Demand by Year - West Virginia 698
9.36 Cities Sorted by Rank - West Virginia 699
9.37 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - West Virginia 702
10 SOUTHWEST 704
10.1 Executive Summary 704
10.2 Latent Demand by Year - Arizona 705
10.3 Cities Sorted by Rank - Arizona 706
10.4 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Arizona 711
10.5 Latent Demand by Year - New Mexico 715
10.6 Cities Sorted by Rank - New Mexico 716
10.7 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - New Mexico 719
10.8 Latent Demand by Year - Oklahoma 721
10.9 Cities Sorted by Rank - Oklahoma 722
10.10 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Oklahoma 727
10.11 Latent Demand by Year - Texas 731
10.12 Cities Sorted by Rank - Texas 732
10.13 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Texas 751
11 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 769
11.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 769
11.2 ICON Group International, Inc. User Agreement Provisions 770

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