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The 2013-2018 World Outlook for HIV/AIDS Confirmatory Tests

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ISBN: 1114877883
Published Date: Jul, 2013
Format: PDF
No of Pages: 192
 
 
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  • Abstract
  • Table of Contents

This econometric study covers the world outlook for HIV/AIDS confirmatory tests across more than 200 countries. For each year reported, estimates are given for the latent demand, or potential industry earnings (P.I.E.), for the country in question (in millions of U.S. dollars), the percent share the country is of the region and of the globe. These comparative benchmarks allow the reader to quickly gauge a country vis-à-vis others. Using econometric models which project fundamental economic dynamics within each country and across countries, latent demand estimates are created. This report does not discuss the specific players in the market serving the latent demand, nor specific details at the product level. The study also does not consider short-term cyclicalities that might affect realized sales. The study, therefore, is strategic in nature, taking an aggregate and long-run view, irrespective of the players or products involved. This study does not report actual sales data (which are simply unavailable, in a comparable or consistent manner in virtually all of the 230 countries of the world). This study gives, however, my estimates for the worldwide latent demand, or the P.I.E. for HIV/AIDS confirmatory tests. It also shows how the P.I.E. is divided across the world’s regional and national markets. For each country, I also show my estimates of how the P.I.E. grows over time (positive or negative growth). In order to make these estimates, a multi-stage methodology was employed that is often taught in courses on international strategic planning at graduate schools of business.

Table Of Contents:

1 INTRODUCTION 11
1.1 Overview 11
1.2 What is Latent Demand and the P.I.E.? 11
1.3 The Methodology 12
1.3.1 Step 1. Product Definition and Data Collection 14
1.3.2 Step 2. Filtering and Smoothing 15
1.3.3 Step 3. Filling in Missing Values 15
1.3.4 Step 4. Varying Parameter, Non-linear Estimation 16
1.3.5 Step 5. Fixed-Parameter Linear Estimation 17
1.3.6 Step 6. Aggregation and Benchmarking 17
1.3.7 Step 7. Latent Demand Density: Allocating Across Cities 17
1.4 Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) 18
1.4.1 Category Definition 18
1.4.2 Units 18
1.4.3 Methodology 19
2 SUMMARY OF FINDINGS 21
2.1 The Worldwide Market Potential 21
3 AFRICA 23
3.1 Executive Summary 23
3.2 Algeria 24
3.3 Angola 25
3.4 Benin 26
3.5 Botswana 26
3.6 Burkina Faso 27
3.7 Burundi 28
3.8 Cameroon 28
3.9 Cape Verde 29
3.10 Central African Republic 30
3.11 Chad 30
3.12 Comoros 31
3.13 Congo (formerly Zaire) 32
3.14 Cote d'Ivoire 33
3.15 Djibouti 33
3.16 Egypt 34
3.17 Equatorial Guinea 35
3.18 Ethiopia 35
3.19 Gabon 36
3.20 Ghana 37
3.21 Guinea 38
3.22 Guinea-Bissau 38
3.23 Kenya 39
3.24 Lesotho 40
3.25 Liberia 40
3.26 Libya 41
3.27 Madagascar 42
3.28 Malawi 42
3.29 Mali 43
3.30 Mauritania 44
3.31 Mauritius 44
3.32 Morocco 45
3.33 Mozambique 46
3.34 Namibia 46
3.35 Niger 47
3.36 Nigeria 48
3.37 Republic of Congo 49
3.38 Rwanda 49
3.39 Sao Tome E Principe 50
3.40 Senegal 51
3.41 Sierra Leone 51
3.42 Somalia 52
3.43 South Africa 53
3.44 Swaziland 54
3.45 Tanzania 54
3.46 The Gambia 55
3.47 Togo 56
3.48 Tunisia 57
3.49 Uganda 58
3.50 Western Sahara 58
3.51 Zambia 59
3.52 Zimbabwe 60
4 ASIA & OCEANA 61
4.1 Executive Summary 61
4.2 American Samoa 62
4.3 Australia 63
4.4 Bangladesh 64
4.5 Bhutan 65
4.6 Brunei 65
4.7 Burma 66
4.8 Cambodia 67
4.9 China 67
4.10 Christmas Island 68
4.11 Cook Islands 69
4.12 Fiji 69
4.13 French Polynesia 70
4.14 Guam 71
4.15 Hong Kong 71
4.16 India 72
4.17 Indonesia 73
4.18 Japan 74
4.19 Kiribati 75
4.20 Laos 75
4.21 Macau 76
4.22 Malaysia 77
4.23 Maldives 78
4.24 Marshall Islands 78
4.25 Micronesia Federation 79
4.26 Mongolia 79
4.27 Nauru 80
4.28 Nepal 81
4.29 New Caledonia 81
4.30 New Zealand 82
4.31 Niue 83
4.32 Norfolk Island 84
4.33 North Korea 84
4.34 Palau 85
4.35 Papua New Guinea 86
4.36 Philippines 86
4.37 Seychelles 87
4.38 Singapore 88
4.39 Solomon Islands 88
4.40 South Korea 89
4.41 Sri Lanka 90
4.42 Taiwan 90
4.43 Thailand 91
4.44 The Northern Mariana Island 92
4.45 Tokelau 93
4.46 Tonga 93
4.47 Tuvalu 94
4.48 Vanuatu 94
4.49 Vietnam 95
4.50 Wallis and Futuna 95
4.51 Western Samoa 96
5 EUROPE 97
5.1 Executive Summary 97
5.2 Albania 98
5.3 Andorra 99
5.4 Austria 99
5.5 Belarus 100
5.6 Belgium 101
5.7 Bosnia and Herzegovina 102
5.8 Bulgaria 103
5.9 Croatia 104
5.10 Cyprus 104
5.11 Czech Republic 105
5.12 Denmark 106
5.13 Estonia 107
5.14 Finland 107
5.15 France 108
5.16 Georgia 109
5.17 Germany 110
5.18 Greece 111
5.19 Hungary 112
5.20 Iceland 113
5.21 Ireland 114
5.22 Italy 114
5.23 Kazakhstan 115
5.24 Latvia 116
5.25 Liechtenstein 117
5.26 Lithuania 118
5.27 Luxembourg 118
5.28 Malta 119
5.29 Moldova 120
5.30 Monaco 120
5.31 Norway 121
5.32 Poland 122
5.33 Portugal 123
5.34 Romania 124
5.35 Russia 125
5.36 San Marino 126
5.37 Slovakia 126
5.38 Slovenia 127
5.39 Spain 128
5.40 Sweden 129
5.41 Switzerland 130
5.42 The Netherlands 131
5.43 The United Kingdom 132
5.44 Ukraine 133
6 LATIN AMERICA 134
6.1 Executive Summary 134
6.2 Argentina 136
6.3 Belize 137
6.4 Bolivia 137
6.5 Brazil 138
6.6 Chile 139
6.7 Colombia 140
6.8 Costa Rica 141
6.9 Ecuador 142
6.10 El Salvador 143
6.11 French Guiana 143
6.12 Guatemala 144
6.13 Guyana 145
6.14 Honduras 145
6.15 Mexico 146
6.16 Nicaragua 147
6.17 Panama 148
6.18 Paraguay 149
6.19 Peru 150
6.20 Suriname 151
6.21 The Falkland Islands 151
6.22 Uruguay 152
6.23 Venezuela 153
7 NORTH AMERICA & THE CARIBBEAN 154
7.1 Executive Summary 154
7.2 Antigua and Barbuda 155
7.3 Aruba 156
7.4 Barbados 157
7.5 Bermuda 157
7.6 Canada 158
7.7 Cuba 159
7.8 Dominica 160
7.9 Dominican Republic 160
7.10 Greenland 161
7.11 Grenada 162
7.12 Guadeloupe 163
7.13 Haiti 164
7.14 Jamaica 164
7.15 Martinique 165
7.16 Puerto Rico 166
7.17 St. Kitts and Nevis 167
7.18 St. Lucia 167
7.19 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 168
7.20 The Bahamas 169
7.21 The British Virgin Islands 169
7.22 The Cayman Islands 170
7.23 The U.S. Virgin Islands 171
7.24 The United States 171
7.25 Trinidad and Tobago 172
8 THE MIDDLE EAST 173
8.1 Executive Summary 173
8.2 Afghanistan 174
8.3 Armenia 175
8.4 Azerbaijan 176
8.5 Bahrain 176
8.6 Iran 177
8.7 Iraq 178
8.8 Israel 179
8.9 Jordan 179
8.10 Kuwait 180
8.11 Kyrgyzstan 181
8.12 Lebanon 181
8.13 Oman 182
8.14 Pakistan 183
8.15 Palestine 184
8.16 Qatar 184
8.17 Saudi Arabia 185
8.18 Syrian Arab Republic 186
8.19 Tajikistan 187
8.20 The United Arab Emirates 187
8.21 Turkey 188
8.22 Turkmenistan 189
8.23 Uzbekistan 189
8.24 Yemen 190
9 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 192
9.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 192
9.2 Icon Group International, Inc. User Agreement Provisions 193

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