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Canada Solar Photovoltaic Market Outlook to 2015

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Published Date: Sep, 2011
Format: PDF
No of Pages: 35
 
 
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  • Abstract
  • Table of Contents
Executive Summary

The report titled “Canada Solar Photovoltaic Market Outlook to 2015” provides a comprehensive analysis on various aspects such as On-Grid and Off-Grid Cumulative and Annual Installed Capacity, PV power per capita, market segmentation and competitive landscape of the major players operating in the country. The report also entails the SWOT analysis of solar PV market in Canada.

The future outlook presented the base case, conservative case and aggressive case scenario factor analysis providing an insight on the prospects in the solar PV cumulative and annual installed capacity for the country.

The Canadian market has registered consistent growth in the last decade or so. With the introduction of Ontario FIT and RESOP program, the growth in the PV market is expected to boom in the coming years especially for grid installations. The demand for PV technology is rising in Canada despite the fact that the price of the electricity produced from non renewable sources is low. The PV module market in Canada increased from 6.94 MW in 2008 to 67.3 MW in 2009. In 2009, domestic and export module sale was reported 42 MW. In comparison to the previous year, the sales increased by 48%. Out of the above mentioned sale, 34.02 MW was for on grid applications and 7.98 MW was for off-grid applications.

Canada’s cumulative installed capacity increased from 95 MW in 2009 to 199 MW in 2010. The grid connected segment increased its market share from 15% in 2008 to 62% in 2009. This increase in grid connected installations was largely because of the feed-in-tariff launched in Ontario in 2006 which were later developed in 2009.

In 2009, the budget for PV has increased drastically over 2008. In 2009 the total budget registered was CAD 31.2 million. This tremendous increase in budget is largely due to the feed-in-tariffs introduced in the state of Ontario.

In the last 5 years, the photovoltaic power per inhabitant has increased, symbolizing the increased use of solar energy by individuals. The consumption of solar PV has increased from 0.6 watt/inhabitant in 2006 to 5.8 watt/inhabitant in 2010. The increasing use of solar PV is expected to continue in the future which will have a positive effect on the photovoltaic power per inhabitant in the country.

Solar PV aggressive case scenario assumes that existing legislative support will be maintained and the solar PV industry will meet and beat government targets, encouraging the legislation to opens up new markets and design a sustainable nationwide solar PV support mechanism. Grid development is also expected to accelerate, driven by a growing need to rehabilitate the network and to crystallize the benefits of a smart, distributed generation-based electricity grid. Beyond 2015, solar PV is a strategically important industry in Canada, driving innovation at a global level. The aggressive case scenario expects a cumulative installed capacity to increase to ~ MW in 2011 and is projected to grow to ~ MW by 2015.

Key Topics Covered in the Report:

• The feed-in-tariffs introduced in the country and their effect on the solar PV market
• The annual and cumulative PV installations along with PV power per capita in the country from 2006-2010
• Future Outlook on the basis of assumed scenarios i.e. base case, worst case and aggressive case on cumulative installed capacity, annual installed capacity and PV power per capita, from 2011-2015
• SWOT analysis of the solar PV industry and Macro Economic Environment in the country
• Competitive Landscape of the various players operating in the country

TABLE OF CONTENTS:

1. Canada Solar Photovoltaic (PV) Market Introduction
2. Canada Solar Feed-in Tariffs Present Status and Impact
3. Canada Solar PV Market Size, 2006-2010
3.1. Canada Solar PV On-Grid and Off-Grid Cumulative Installed Capacity, 2006-2010
3.2. Canada Solar PV On-Grid and Off-Grid Annual Installed Capacity, 2006-2010
4. Canada Solar PV Power per Capita, 2006-2010
5. Weighted Average Standard Solar Module Price in Canada
6. Canada Solar PV Market Competitive Landscape
7. Canada Solar PV SWOT Analysis
Strengths
Weakenesses
Opportunities
Threats
8. Canada Solar PV Market Future Outlook
8.1. Canada Solar PV Cumulative Installed Capacity, 2011-2015
8.2. Canada Solar PV Annual Installed Capacity, 2011-2015
8.3. Canada Solar PV Power Per Capita, 2011-2015
9. Canada Macro Economic Indicators: Current and Projections
9.1. Population, 2006-2015
9.2. GDP, 2006-2015
10. Appendix
10.1. Market Definition
10.2. Abbreviations
10.3. Research Methodology
Data Collection Methods
Approach
10.4. Disclaimer

LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: Canada Solar PV Market Size in terms of Grid Connected and Off-Grid Cumulative Installed Capacity in Percentage, 2006-2010
Figure 2: Canada Solar PV Market Size in terms of On-Grid and Off-Grid Annual Installed Capacity in Percentage, 2006-2010
Figure 3: Canada Solar PV Power Installed Capacity per Capita in Watt/Inhabitant, 2006-2010
Figure 4: Weighted Average Price of a Standard Solar Module in Canada in CAD/Watt, 2006-2009
Figure 5: Canada Solar PV Market Size in terms of Cumulative Installed Capacity in Megawatt, 2011-2015
Figure 6: Canada Solar PV Market Size in terms of Annual Installed Capacity in Megawatt, 2011-2015
Figure 7: Canada Solar PV Power Installed Capacity per Capita in Watt/Inhabitant, 2011-2015

LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: Ontario Feed-in Tariff Rates for Solar Photovoltaic Industry, in CAD/kWh in 2010
Table 2: Canada Solar PV Market Size in terms of On-Grid and Off-Grid and Total Cumulative Installed Capacity in Megawatt (MW), 2006-2010
Table 3: Canada Solar PV Market Size in terms of On-Grid and Off-Grid and Total Annual Installed Capacity in Megawatt (MW), 2006-2010
Table 4: Competitive Landscape of Major Solar Photovoltaic Cell/Module Producers in Canada (Canadian Solar, Allesun and Solar Can GreenEnergy)
Table 5: Canada Solar PV Market Size in terms of Cumulative Installed Capacity in Megawatt, 2011-2015
Table 6: Canada Solar PV Market Size in terms of Annual Installed Capacity in Megawatt, 2011-2015
Table 7: Canada Population Trend in Million, 2006-2015
Table 8: Canada Gross Domestic Product in USD Billion, 2006-2015

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