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MARKET REPORT DETAIL

Industrial & Commercial Hybrid & Pure Electric Vehicles 2013-2023: Forecasts, Opportunities, Players

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Published Date: Dec, 2013
Format: PDF
No of Pages: 232

 
 
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  • Abstract
  • Table of Contents

Those selling components for electric vehicles and those wishing to make the vehicles themselves must seek where the majority of the money is spent and will be spent. That must lead them to industrial and commercial electric vehicles because today these represent 60% of the value of the electric vehicle market. Indeed, this sector is set to grow 4.2 times in the next decade. Industrial and commercial electric vehicles include heavy industrial vehicles, the term referring to heavy lifting, as with forklifts.

Then we have buses, trucks, taxis and the other light industrial and commercial vehicles. There are also a few work boats and commercial boats and one day there will be commercial electric aircraft but this is really a story about the burgeoning demand for off-road industrial vehicles and on-road commercial vehicles. In particular, industrial electric vehicles make industry more efficient and commercial electric vehicles reduce congestion. Both of them greatly reduce pollution and align closely with government objectives concerning industry and the environment, yet they minimally depend on subsidy, in contrast with some other electric vehicle types.

This report covers the technical and market trends for industrial and commercial vehicles whether hybrid or pure electric, putting it in the context of electric vehicles overall and including the activities of a host of manufacturers of the vehicles and their components and even providing future technological development roadmaps.

The market for electric industrial vehicles is already large because, by law, forklifts have to be electric when used indoors. Little growth remains in this market but outdoors almost all earthmoving and lifting vehicles use the conventional internal combustion engine. That is about to change dramatically because hybrid electric versions reduce cost of ownership and exposure to price hikes with fossil fuels. Hybrids increasingly perform better as well, with more power from stationary, ability to supply electricity to other equipment and other benefits including less noise and pollution. On the other hand, airports, often government owned or funded, are under great pressure to finish converting their Ground Support Equipment GSE to pure electric versions both on and off the tarmac partly using federal grants.

Yet another industrial trend is for use of electric vehicles to replace slow and often dangerous manual procedures. Sometimes a self-powered indoor crane replaces scaffolding. An electric stair climber replaces human effort and possible injury. On the other hand, sit-on floor cleaners in buildings, sit-on ice cleaners in ice rinks, outrider vehicles carried on trash collection trucks and a host of similar solutions speed processes and reduce injuries and costs.

Buses, trucks, taxis and the other light industrial and commercial vehicles are going electric for similar reasons but we must add the desire of national and local governments, who buy many of them, to go green, even where there is no payback. However, the size and growth of the industrial and commercial sector is less dependent on government funding and tax breaks than the more fragile market for electric cars, particularly pure electric ones. Excitingly, most of the electric vehicle technologies are changing and improving hugely and innovation often comes here before it is seen in the more publicised electric vehicle sectors such as cars.

Asynchronous traction motors were first widely used on forklifts: their benefits of longer life, less maintenance, low cost and freedom from magnet price hikes and heating problems are only later being seen in a few cars. Ultracapacitors otherwise known as supercapacitors permit very fast charging of buses whether by the new Level 3 charging stations or regenerative braking and they release huge surges of power when the bus is full and starting on a hill. Gas turbine range extenders have been on some buses for 12 years but they are only now being planned for cars. Fuel cells will be viable in fleets where the expensive hydrogen distribution is manageable - not for cars across the world. Energy harvesting shock absorbers about to hit the market will be very viable on buses and trucks where they can put up to 12 kW into the battery whereas such devices on cars will take longer to prove.

Nevertheless, it is important to look at industrial and commercial electric vehicles as part of all electric vehicles out there - as we do - because it is increasingly true that one company will produce EVs for many end uses and even make key components. This achieves the product reliability and cost advantages that come from highest volume manufacture based on standardisation and shared research.

Main areas the report covers
The report provides forecasts of the heavy industrial, light industrial & commercial, bus and taxi global markets by numbers, ex-factory price and total market value for the coming decade. In addition to chapters on these sectors, there are chapters on the market drivers, the key technologies and their future trends all pulled together with summary charts, graphs and profiles of latest company activity.

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
1.1. Scope of the report
1.2. Categories and trends
1.3. Forecasts 2012-2023
1.4. Market drivers
1.4.1. Synergies
1.4.2. Importance of battery price
1.5. Numbers of manufacturers
1.6. Full circle back to pure EVs
1.7. Key components
1.7.1. Batteries
1.7.2. Motors
1.7.3. Power trains
1.8. Winning strategies
1.9. Many options just for urban buses
1.10. Electric Futures for Transport Conference London 7 March 2013 - Lessons Learned
1.11. Why pure electric commercial vehicles succeed: cars do not
1.12. Collaboration
1.12.1. RDM Telematics and Electronics - Niche Vehicle Network - Coventry University, CU HDTI, Warwick University WMG Innovative solutions
1.12.2. Lithium Balance - Lotus Engineering - Tennant Green - Pascal Chretien
1.12.3. Bradshaw Electric - Taylor Dunn
1.13. European view
1.14. Industrial & Commercial EVs Eclipse e Cars

2. INTRODUCTION
2.1. Definitions and scope of this report
2.1.1. Learning from the past
2.2. Hybrid and pure electric vehicles compared
2.3. Hybrid electric vehicles

3. MARKET DRIVERS FOR INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL EVS
3.1. Trends for all types of vehicle
3.1.1. Peak car and light truck - different electric vehicles needed
3.1.2. Market drivers for electric industrial and commercial vehicles
3.2. Hybrid market drivers
3.3. Advantages of electric commercial vehicles

4. HEAVY INDUSTRIAL EVS
4.1. What is included
4.2. Challenges
4.3. Listing of manufacturers
4.3.1. Statistics for all types of industrial lift truck
4.3.2. Manufacturers of heavy industrial EVs
4.4. Market forecasts 2012-2023

5. LIGHT INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL EVS
5.1. What is included
5.1.1. One quarter of commercial vehicles in Germany can be electric now?
5.1.2. Guidance from a recent UK event on industrial and commercial EVs
5.1.3. Nissan van arrives
5.2. Sub categories
5.3. Trucks
5.3.1. Balqon Pure Electric Trucks
5.3.2. China Vehicles Company
5.3.3. Daimler Fuso
5.3.4. ePower Engine Systems USA
5.3.5. Nissan Japan
5.3.6. Via Motors USA
5.3.7. XL Hybrids
5.4. EVs for local services
5.4.1. Peugeot CitroŽn and Mitsubishi Motors
5.4.2. UPS & NREL
5.4.3. Renault Nissan DHL
5.5. Airport EVs
5.6. Small people-movers
5.7. Light industrial aids
5.7.1. Mining - PapaBravo Canada
5.8. Listing of manufacturers
5.9. Market forecasts 2012-2023

6. BUSES
6.1. History of electric buses
6.2. Pure electric buses
6.2.1. Smith - Wanxiang
6.3. MAN hybrid bus Germany: supercapacitor not battery
6.4. OLEV technology for Korean buses in 2013
6.5. ABB intermittent overhead charging
6.6. Market forecast for buses 2012-2023

7. TAXIS
7.1. Electric taxi projects in China, Europe, Mexico, UK, UK, Japan
7.2. Huge order from the Philippines in 2013

8. KEY COMPONENTS FOR INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL ELECTRIC VEHICLES
8.1. Types of electric vehicle
8.2. Many fuels
8.3. Born electric
8.4. Pure electric vehicles are improving
8.5. Series vs parallel hybrid
8.6. Modes of operation of hybrids
8.6.1. Plug in hybrids
8.6.2. Charge-depleting mode
8.6.3. Blended mode
8.6.4. Charge-sustaining mode
8.6.5. Mixed mode
8.7. Microhybrid is a misnomer
8.8. Deep hybridisation
8.9. Hybrid vehicle price premium
8.10. Battery cost and performance are key
8.11. Tradeoff of energy storage technologies
8.12. Ultracapacitors = supercapacitors
8.13. Where supercapacitors fit in
8.14. Advantages and disadvantages
8.15. Can supercapacitors replace batteries?
8.16. Supercabatteries or bacitors
8.17. What is a range extender?
8.18. What will be required of a range extender 2012-2023
8.19. Three generations of range extender
8.19.1. First generation range extender technology
8.19.2. Second generation range extender technology
8.19.3. Third generation range extender technology
8.20. Fuel cell range extenders
8.21. Big effect of many modest electricity sources combined
8.22. Energy harvesting on and in electric vehicles
8.23. Trend to high voltage
8.24. Component choices for energy density/ power density
8.25. Trend to distributed components
8.26. Trend to flatness then smart skin
8.27. Traction batteries
8.27.1. After the shakeout in car traction batteries
8.27.2. The needs have radically changed
8.27.3. It started with cobalt
8.27.4. Great variety of recipes
8.27.5. Other factors
8.27.6. Check with reality
8.27.7. Lithium winners today and soon
8.27.8. Reasons for winning
8.27.9. Lithium polymer electrolyte now important
8.27.10. Winning chemistry
8.27.11. Titanate establishes a place
8.27.12. Laminar structure
8.27.13. Niche winners
8.27.14. Fluid situation
8.28. Traction motors
8.29. Definition and background
8.30. Traction motor trends
8.31. Shape of motors
8.32. Location of motors
8.33. Born electric - in-wheel electric wheels
8.34. Examples of motors in action
8.35. EV Market 2012-2023
8.36. Total change

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