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The 2011-2016 World Outlook for Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment

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ISBN: 1114851043
Published Date: Jan, 2011
Format: PDF
No of Pages: 186
 
 
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  • Abstract
  • Table of Contents

This econometric study covers the world outlook for motor vehicles and motor vehicle equipment across more than 200 countries. For each year reported, estimates are given for the latent demand, or potential industry earnings (P.I.E.), for the country in question (in millions of U.S. dollars), the percent share the country is of the region and of the globe. These comparative benchmarks allow the reader to quickly gauge a country vis-à-vis others. Using econometric models which project fundamental economic dynamics within each country and across countries, latent demand estimates are created. This report does not discuss the specific players in the market serving the latent demand, nor specific details at the product level. The study also does not consider short-term cyclicalities that might affect realized sales. The study, therefore, is strategic in nature, taking an aggregate and long-run view, irrespective of the players or products involved. This study does not report actual sales data (which are simply unavailable, in a comparable or consistent manner in virtually all of the 230 countries of the world). This study gives, however, my estimates for the worldwide latent demand, or the P.I.E., for motor vehicles and motor vehicle equipment. It also shows how the P.I.E. is divided across the world’s regional and national markets. For each country, I also show my estimates of how the P.I.E. grows over time (positive or negative growth). In order to make these estimates, a multi-stage methodology was employed that is often taught in courses on international strategic planning at graduate schools of business.

Table Of Contents:

1 INTRODUCTION 10
1.1 Overview 10
1.2 What is Latent Demand and the P.I.E.? 10
1.3 The Methodology 11
1.3.1 Step 1. Product Definition and Data Collection 12
1.3.2 Step 2. Filtering and Smoothing 13
1.3.3 Step 3. Filling in Missing Values 13
1.3.4 Step 4. Varying Parameter, Non-linear Estimation 14
1.3.5 Step 5. Fixed-Parameter Linear Estimation 14
1.3.6 Step 6. Aggregation and Benchmarking 14
1.3.7 Step 7. Latent Demand Density: Allocating Across Cities 14
2 SUMMARY OF FINDINGS 16
2.1 The Worldwide Market Potential 16
3 AFRICA, EUROPE & THE MIDDLE EAST 18
3.1 Executive Summary 18
3.2 Afghanistan 19
3.3 Albania 20
3.4 Algeria 21
3.5 Andorra 22
3.6 Angola 22
3.7 Armenia 23
3.8 Austria 24
3.9 Azerbaijan 25
3.10 Bahrain 26
3.11 Belarus 26
3.12 Belgium 27
3.13 Benin 28
3.14 Bosnia and Herzegovina 29
3.15 Botswana 29
3.16 Bulgaria 30
3.17 Burkina Faso 31
3.18 Burundi 32
3.19 Cameroon 32
3.20 Cape Verde 33
3.21 Central African Republic 34
3.22 Chad 34
3.23 Comoros 35
3.24 Congo (formerly Zaire) 36
3.25 Cote d''Ivoire 37
3.26 Croatia 37
3.27 Cyprus 38
3.28 Czech Republic 39
3.29 Denmark 39
3.30 Djibouti 40
3.31 Egypt 41
3.32 Equatorial Guinea 42
3.33 Estonia 42
3.34 Ethiopia 43
3.35 Finland 44
3.36 France 45
3.37 Gabon 46
3.38 Georgia 46
3.39 Germany 47
3.40 Ghana 48
3.41 Greece 48
3.42 Guinea 49
3.43 Guinea-Bissau 50
3.44 Hungary 50
3.45 Iceland 51
3.46 Iran 52
3.47 Iraq 53
3.48 Ireland 54
3.49 Israel 54
3.50 Italy 55
3.51 Jordan 56
3.52 Kazakhstan 57
3.53 Kenya 58
3.54 Kuwait 59
3.55 Kyrgyzstan 60
3.56 Latvia 60
3.57 Lebanon 61
3.58 Lesotho 62
3.59 Liberia 62
3.60 Libya 63
3.61 Liechtenstein 64
3.62 Lithuania 64
3.63 Luxembourg 65
3.64 Madagascar 66
3.65 Malawi 66
3.66 Mali 67
3.67 Malta 68
3.68 Mauritania 68
3.69 Mauritius 69
3.70 Moldova 70
3.71 Monaco 70
3.72 Morocco 71
3.73 Mozambique 72
3.74 Namibia 72
3.75 Niger 73
3.76 Nigeria 74
3.77 Norway 75
3.78 Oman 75
3.79 Pakistan 76
3.80 Palestine 77
3.81 Poland 77
3.82 Portugal 78
3.83 Qatar 79
3.84 Republic of Congo 79
3.85 Reunion 80
3.86 Romania 81
3.87 Russia 82
3.88 Rwanda 83
3.89 San Marino 83
3.90 Sao Tome E Principe 84
3.91 Saudi Arabia 85
3.92 Senegal 86
3.93 Sierra Leone 86
3.94 Slovakia 87
3.95 Slovenia 88
3.96 Somalia 88
3.97 South Africa 89
3.98 Spain 90
3.99 Sudan 91
3.100 Swaziland 91
3.101 Sweden 92
3.102 Switzerland 93
3.103 Syrian Arab Republic 94
3.104 Tajikistan 95
3.105 Tanzania 96
3.106 The Gambia 96
3.107 The Netherlands 97
3.108 The United Arab Emirates 98
3.109 The United Kingdom 98
3.110 Togo 99
3.111 Tunisia 100
3.112 Turkey 101
3.113 Turkmenistan 102
3.114 Uganda 102
3.115 Ukraine 103
3.116 Uzbekistan 104
3.117 Western Sahara 105
3.118 Yemen 106
3.119 Zambia 106
3.120 Zimbabwe 107
4 ASIA 109
4.1 Executive Summary 109
4.2 Bangladesh 110
4.3 Bhutan 111
4.4 Brunei 112
4.5 Burma 112
4.6 Cambodia 113
4.7 China 114
4.8 Hong Kong 115
4.9 India 115
4.10 Indonesia 116
4.11 Japan 117
4.12 Laos 118
4.13 Macau 119
4.14 Malaysia 120
4.15 Maldives 121
4.16 Mongolia 121
4.17 Nepal 122
4.18 North Korea 123
4.19 Papua New Guinea 124
4.20 Philippines 124
4.21 Seychelles 125
4.22 Singapore 126
4.23 South Korea 126
4.24 Sri Lanka 127
4.25 Taiwan 128
4.26 Thailand 129
4.27 Vietnam 129
5 LATIN AMERICA 131
5.1 Executive Summary 131
5.2 Argentina 132
5.3 Belize 133
5.4 Bolivia 134
5.5 Brazil 134
5.6 Chile 135
5.7 Colombia 136
5.8 Costa Rica 137
5.9 Ecuador 138
5.10 El Salvador 139
5.11 French Guiana 139
5.12 Guatemala 140
5.13 Guyana 141
5.14 Honduras 141
5.15 Mexico 142
5.16 Nicaragua 143
5.17 Panama 144
5.18 Paraguay 145
5.19 Peru 146
5.20 Suriname 147
5.21 The Falkland Islands 147
5.22 Uruguay 148
5.23 Venezuela 149
6 NORTH AMERICA & THE CARIBBEAN 150
6.1 Executive Summary 150
6.2 Antigua and Barbuda 151
6.3 Aruba 152
6.4 Barbados 153
6.5 Bermuda 153
6.6 Canada 154
6.7 Cuba 155
6.8 Dominica 156
6.9 Dominican Republic 156
6.10 Greenland 157
6.11 Grenada 158
6.12 Guadeloupe 159
6.13 Haiti 159
6.14 Jamaica 160
6.15 Martinique 161
6.16 Puerto Rico 161
6.17 St. Kitts and Nevis 162
6.18 St. Lucia 163
6.19 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 163
6.20 The Bahamas 164
6.21 The British Virgin Islands 165
6.22 The Cayman Islands 165
6.23 The Netherlands Antilles 166
6.24 The U.S. Virgin Islands 167
6.25 The United States 167
6.26 Trinidad and Tobago 168
7 OCEANA 169
7.1 Executive Summary 169
7.2 American Samoa 170
7.3 Australia 171
7.4 Christmas Island 172
7.5 Cook Islands 172
7.6 Fiji 173
7.7 French Polynesia 173
7.8 Guam 174
7.9 Kiribati 175
7.10 Marshall Islands 175
7.11 Micronesia Federation 176
7.12 Nauru 176
7.13 New Caledonia 177
7.14 New Zealand 177
7.15 Niue 178
7.16 Norfolk Island 179
7.17 Palau 179
7.18 Solomon Islands 180
7.19 The Northern Mariana Island 180
7.20 Tokelau 181
7.21 Tonga 181
7.22 Tuvalu 182
7.23 Vanuatu 182
7.24 Wallis and Futuna 183
7.25 Western Samoa 183
8 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 185
8.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 185
8.2 ICON Group International, Inc. User Agreement Provisions 186

 

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