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Tanzania Business Forecast Report

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  • Abstract
  • Table of Contents

Product Description

 

The Tanzania Business Forecast Report helps businesses with Tanzanian market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Tanzania and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

 

An influential new analysis of Tanzania's political, economic and financial prospects through end-2014, just published by award-winning forecasters, Business Monitor International.

 

Key Uses

  • Forecast the pace and stability of Tanzania's economic and industry growth through end-2014

  • Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends in Tanzania, to facilitate risk mitigation

  • Assess the critical shortcomings of Tanzania's business environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability

  • Contextualise Tanzania's country risks against regional peers using BMI's country comparative risk ratings system

  • Target business opportunities in Tanzania's high-growth industry sectors

  • Evaluate external threats to doing business in Tanzania, including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies

The Tanzania Business Forecast Report by Business Monitor International (BMI) includes three major sections: Tanzania's Political Outlook, Tanzania's Economic Outlook and Tanzania's Business Environment.

 

Tanzania's Political Outlook: What are the political risks to doing business in Tanzania over the next 5-years?

BMI's Tanzania Country Risk Ratings evaluate the short- and medium-term threats posed by government instability, adverse economic policy-making, deterioration in the business environment and external shocks.

 

Tanzania Political Outlook Contents

  • SWOT Analysis for the Tanzanian Market
    Political strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats facing Tanzania.

  • Political Stability and Risk Assessment for Tanzania
    BMI's Risk Ratings assess explicit short and long-term risks to political stability; latest ratings, rankings and trends for Tanzania's risk are compared with regional and global averages.

  • Current Administration and Policy-making in Tanzania
    BMI profiles key policy-makers and power-brokers in the Tanzanian government, assessing threats to the continuity of Tanzanian economic policy, and likely changes to the business operating environment through end-2018.

  • Tanzanian Foreign Policy
    BMI examines key trends and shifts in Tanzania's foreign relations and alignments with regional neighbours, the United States and Europe, focusing on external influences.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark Tanzania's risk profile against its neighbours, the global and regional average, allowing easy comparison of risks between key business markets.

  • Identify, evaluate and anticipate political and security risks to the business environment in Tanzania, and to your company's current operations and future plans.

  • Gain valuable insights into the Tanzanian government and policy-making, through BMI's specialist team of analysts and economists, and their exclusive network of private and public sector sources.

Tanzania's Economic Outlook: How will Tanzanian economic policy-making and performance impact on corporate profitability over 2009-2014?

BMI provides our fully independent 5-year forecasts for Tanzania through end-2014 for more than 35 macroeconomic variables. We evaluate Tanzanian growth, and also forecast the impact of economic management, including central bank policy, on profitability.

 

Tanzania Economic Outlook Contents

The Tanzania Business Forecast Report features explicit BMI economic forecasts for country, with supporting commentary and analysis, for end-2010, 2011, 2012, 2013 and 2014 set against Tanzanian government views. Underpinning our Tanzania forecasts are key assumptions for the global economy through end-2014, covering growth, inflation, employment, trade and investment, interest and exchange rates in the US, Japan and the Euro-zone.

 

Coverage of Key Economic Issues in Tanzania

  • Economic Activity in Tanzania
    Real GDP growth; industrial growth; employment growth; inflation and consumer prices; consumption (indicative wages, retail sales, consumer confidence)

  • Fiscal Policy in Tanzania
    Current macroeconomic strategy and implementation policies; government finance (revenue, expenditure, budget balance); tax reforms

  • Monetary Policy in Tanzania
    Interest rate trends (bank lending and deposit rates); inflation (retail price inflation, consumer price inflation); exchange rate policy in country; currency controls; influence of foreign direct investment inflows; exchange rates and foreign exchange reserves

  • Balance of Payments in Tanzania
    Merchandise trade (exports, imports, trade balance); current and capital account balances

  • Foreign Direct Investment in Tanzania
    Foreign direct investment approvals and inflows; the foreign investment climate

  • Tanzanian External Debt
    Debt profile (short- and long-term debt; public and private sector exposure)

Key Benefits

  • Rely upon BMI's 100% independent Forecast Scenarios for Tanzania and underlying assumptions - we take no advertising and are privately-owned.

  • Exploit the benefits of BMI's comprehensive and reliable macroeconomic database on Tanzania, sourced and fully maintained by BMI from an extensive network of private sector, government and multilateral contacts.

  • Gain key insights into the current and future direction of Tanzanian government economic policy

Tanzania's Business Environment:

Tanzania's Business Environment Risk Rating with SWOT Analysis

Short- and long-term business environment risk ratings for Tanzania, benchmarked against ratings for regional neighbours.

 

Country Competitiveness for Tanzania
Competitiveness of Tanzania's business operating environment in supporting corporate growth and profitability over the 5-year forecast horizon, compared with regional neighbours.

 

Tanzania Business Environment Contents

  • Tanzania's Domestic Environment.
    Transparency, cronyism and corruption; labour market flexibility; corporate tax burden; interest rate levels; access of private sector to lines of credit; sophistication of banking sector and stock market; levels of business confidence; infrastructure and IT

  • Foreign Direct Investment in Tanzania
    Analysis of foreign investment regime, foreign ownership laws; attractiveness of business environment to foreign investors; review of major foreign direct investments over the last 24 months, and of strategic sectors attracting most interest

  • Foreign Trade with Tanzania
    Analysis of trading environment, government trade policy, liberalisation measures, tariffs and membership of trade areas




Table of Contents:

Executive Summary  ........................... 7
Falling Imports Strengthen Growth
Chapter 1: Political Outlook  ...................... 9
SWOT Analysis   ..................9
BMI Political Risk Ratings  ............................... 10
Political Outlook  ..............................11
Elections In 2010 Unlikely To See Change Of Leadership
Despite Widespread Discontent In Tanzania Over The State Of The Economy And The Government’s Responses, Support
For The Ruling Party Remains High And It Will Almost Surely Win Elections In 2010 By A Wide Margin.
Table: Tanzania Political Overview  ........ 12
Chapter 2: Economic Outlook  ................. 15
SWOT Analysis   ............... 15
BMI Economic Risk Ratings  ............................ 16
Economic Activity  ...........................17
Growth To 4.9% In 2009   17
We Have Revised Up Our Real Gdp Growth Outlook For 2009 To 4.9%, From A Previous Forecast Of 2.7%.
Table: Economic Activity  .............................17
Exchange Rate Policy  ......................19
Currency Outlook No Longer Negative
We Have Revised Up Our End-09 Exchange Rate Forecast To Tzs1,280/Us$ On The Back Of An Improved Balance Of
Payments Picture And Resilience By The Shilling Amid Weaker Risk Appetite.
Table: Exchange Rate  ................................. 19
Balance Of Payments  ......................20
Balance Of Payments Picture Getting Rosier
Following Revisions To 2008 Full-Year Figures, We Have Revised Our Forecasts For The Balance Of Payments.
Table: Current Account ............................ 21
Fiscal Policy   .23
Agriculture: Ambitious Plans Under Way
The Government Of Tanzania Recognises The Importance Of Increasing Productivity In The Large, Stagnant Agricultural
Sector, And Has Laid Out Some Ambitious Plans.
Chapter 3: 10-Year Forecast  ................... 25
The Tanzanian Economy To 2018  ...25
Strong Long-Term Growth Expected, Despite 2009 Slowdown
With Telecoms, Tourism And Mining Forecast To Be Drivers Of Growth In The Years Ahead, And Conditions Supportive For
Long-Run Productivity Gains In The Important Agricultural Sector, We Are Projecting Robust Economic Expansion Over The
Next 10 Years For Tanzania Past 2010.
Table: Tanzania Long-Term Macroeconomic Forecasts  ............................... 25
Chapter 4: Special Report   27
The Fate Of ‘Chindia’  .......................27
Overview
Although China And India Will Continue To Grow During The Global Recession Of 2009-2010, They Are Not Immune To The
Downturn, And Face A Number Of Risks In The Near Term.
China And India SWOT  .....................28
Chapter 5: Business Environment  .......... 35
SWOT Analysis   ............... 35
BMI Business Environment Risk Ratings  ....... 36
Business Environment Outlook .......37
Table: BMI Business & Operational Risk Ratings  ...... 38
Institutions   ..39
Table: BMI Legal Framework Ratings  ... 40
Infrastructure  .................................41
Market Orientation  .........................43
Table: Labour Force Quality  .................... 43
Table: Middle East & Africa Annual Fdi Inflows  ...... 45
Table: BMI Trade Ratings  ........................... 46
Tax Regime   ..47
Table: Top Export Destinations  ................47
Operational Risk  .............................48
Chapter 6: BMI Global Assumptions  ...... 49
Global Assumptions  ........................49
Table: Global Assumptions  ....................... 49
Table: Global And Regional Real GDP Growth  .......... 50




Related Reports:  

Title Published Price

Tanzania Infrastructure Report

Mar, 2014 $  1295

The 2011 Tanzania Economic and Product Market Databook

Jan, 2011 $  95

 

Custom Research
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