Serbia Defence & Security Report

 Published On: Dec, 2011 |    No of Pages: 90 |  Published By: BMI Defence and Security | Format: PDF
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Product Description

The Serbia Defence & Security Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent forecasts for national and international security, the defence industry, military expenditure, employment in arms production, and arms imports and exports, as well as examining industry trends and prospects, national and multinational arms producers and the regulatory environment.

BMI's Serbia Defence & Security Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and regional competitive intelligence on the Serbian defence and security industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent defence and security industry forecasts on Serbia to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and strategic business planning in the Serbian defence and security market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Serbian defence and security sector through reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Serbia.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. KPIs and latest activity).

Global Political Outlook

A strategic overview of the world's major political risks, identifying countries facing leadership successions and nations at risk of upheaval, inter-state conflict or separatism and insurgencies, plus a summary of the world's 'wild card' low-probability high-impact risks.

SWOT Analysis

Snapshot evaluation of the major issues affecting the defence and security sectors, economy and politics, with issues subdivided into 'Strengths', 'Weaknesses', 'Opportunities' and 'Threats'.

Political Risk Assessment

Drawing on BMI's heritage of more than 25 years of Country Risk analysis, this comprehensively evaluates the key risks to domestic politics and foreign relations, focusing on issues most likely to affect either domestic security or the defence sector.

Security Risk Analysis

BMI's proprietary Security Risk Ratings provide a reliable - and country comparable - guide to conflict, terrorism and criminal risk, backed up by our analyst's latest assessment of each component. Furthermore, drawing on our country risk expertise, we assess the state's vulnerability to a serious - or prolonged - terrorist campaign.

Industry Overview

Overview of industry landscape and key players; public/private structure, size and value of industry sector; assessment of business operating environment and latest regulatory developments; in-depth review of recent procurement trends and developments.

BMI Forecasts

Historic data series and forecasts to end-2016 for key industry indicators supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

Budgets & Expenditure: Defence expenditure (local currency and US$bn); defence expenditure (% of total budget); defence expenditure (% of GDP); defence expenditure per capita, US$; defence budget (local currency and US$bn).

Employment: Employment in arms production (`000s); employment in arms production (% of labour force).

Macroeconomic: BMI's forecasts and analysis of all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Executive Summary 5

SWOT Analysis 6

Serbia Security SWOT 6

Serbia Defence Industry SWOT 7

Serbia Political SWOT 7

Serbia Economic SWOT 8

Global Political Outlook 9

Global Hotspots 10

Table: Global Election Timetable, 2010 And 2011 11

Latin America: More Of The Same 17

Western Europe 18

Central Europe 20

South Eastern Europe 20

Russia And The Former Soviet Union 21

Middle East: Mostly The Same Old Challenges 22

Sub-Saharan Africa: Definitive Elections Pending 24

Asia: Accommodating A More Powerful China 25

Wild Cards 27

Global Security Outlook 30

Political Risk Analysis – The Future Of NATO 36

Regional Security Overview 41

Security Risk Analysis 47

BMI’s Security Ratings 47

Serbia’s Security Risk Ratings 47

Table: Europe Security Risk Ratings 48

Table: Europe State Terrorism Vulnerability To Terrorism Index 49

City Terrorism Rating 52

Table: BMI’s Central And Eastern Europe And Central Asia City Terrorism Index 52

Domestic Political Overview 55

Security Overview 56

Internal Security Situation 56

Latest Developments 64

External Security Situation 66

Latest Developments 67

Armed Forces And Government Spending 69

Overview 69

Professionalisation 70

Pre-Split Armed Forces 71

International Deployments 73

Table: Foreign Deployments 73

Weapons Of Mass Destruction 73

Market Structure 75

Arms Trade Overview 76

Industry Trends And Developments 78

Procurement Trends And Developments 79

Latest Developments 80

Industry Forecast Scenario 82

Table: Serbia’s Military Personnel, 2005-2008 (‘000 personnel) 82

Table: Serbia’s Defence Expenditure, 2008-2015 83

Table: Serbia’s Defence Exports, 2008-2015 (US$mn) 84

Table: Serbia’s Defence Imports, 2008-2015 (US$mn) 84

Macroeconomic Activity 85

Company Profiles 88

Krusik 88

Prvi Partizan 89

Zastava Oružje S-M 90

If the above report does not have the information suitable for your business, we can provide custom research that can be lucrative for your business or enhance your profession.