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Zambia Infrastructure Report

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Published Date: Dec, 2013
Format: PDF
No of Pages: 78
 
 
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  • Abstract
  • Table of Contents

We are positive about Zambia's growth potential, with a healthy project pipeline increasing
investor interest and foreign participation in the infrastructure market. The country has successfully
launched its first Eurobond, with around 90% due to be used for road, rail and energy infrastructure
projects. We anticipate construction growth to average 6.9% over BMI's 10-year forecast period
(2013-2022); however, this is a downgrade from our previous quarter's forecast of 10.7% for the same
period, with growth not as positive as we had initially hoped.
The construction sector is being targeted under the broader reform agenda of the Patriotic Front
Government, led by President Michael Sata, who came to power promising to root out corruption. He has
made substantial progress on that front, and this has been particularly evident in the construction sector,
including management changes at Zesco, the road development agency, a freeze on construction to ensure
proper permitting processes and the seizure of the national railway in September 2012. Tough action in the
industry is likely to create a more transparent sector over the longer term. One important impact of the
reform agenda has been an uptick in development funding, providing financial support to a number of
crucial projects in the power sector.

Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Agribusiness 10
Business Environment 12
Industry Forecast 13
Grains Outlook 13
Table: Zimbabwe Corn Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 14
Table: Zimbabwe Corn Production & Consumption, 2007-2012 17
Sugar Outlook 19
Table: Zimbabwe Sugar Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 20
Table: Zimbabwe Sugar Production & Consumption, 2007-2012 26
Featured Analysis 27
Asia's Foray Into African Farming: Early And Troubled Days 27
Table: Select Projects - Agricultural Investments Of Asian Companies In Africa (as of mid-2012) 29
Table: Select Countries - Outbound Direct Investment, US$mn 30
Commodity Price Analysis 34
Monthly Grains Update 34
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts 42
Table: BMI Commodities Strategy 43
Monthly Softs Update 43
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts 53
Table: BMI Commodities Strategy 54
Upstream Analysis 55
Africa Machinery Outlook 55
Africa GM Outlook 61
Africa Fertiliser Outlook 66
Downstream Analysis 72
Food 72
Food Consumption 72
Table: Total Food Consumption, 2010-2017 73
Drink 73
Alcoholic Drinks 73
Table: Alcohol 74
Soft Drinks 75
Mass Grocery Retail 75
Regional Overview 77
Competitive Landscape 83
Table: Main Agribusiness Companies 83
Demographic Forecast 84
Table: Zimbabwe's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 85
Table: Zimbabwe's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 86
Table: Zimbabwe's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 87
Table: Zimbabwe's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 87
Methodology 88
Industry Forecast Methodology 88
Sector-Specific Methodology 89

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