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BMI View: Peru's mining industry will be a regional growth outperformer,
supported by a strong copper project pipeline, low operating costs and a
favourable business environment over the coming years.
Latest Updates & Structural Trends
-Peru's extractive industry will experience significant growth over our forecast
period to 2020. We expect the sector's value to climb from USD22.3bn in 2016 to
USD31.3bn by 2020, averaging 8.4% annual growth. In particular, we expect copper
to outperform in terms of production growth due to a strong project pipeline and
continued investment. Silver and gold will also benefit from a number of key
projects and improving precious metals prices, while tin and zinc output posts
slower growth. The country will remain a top global producer of each of these
-Peru's copper production continues to outpace expectations, prompting another
increase to our growth forecast. We now expect the country's copper production
to increase by 38.0% to 2.2 million tonnes (mnt) in 2016, from the previous
forecast of 18.0% growth. Projects including MMG's Las Bambas, Freeport
McMoRan's Cerro Verde expansion, and Hudbay Minerals' ramp up at the Constancia
mine will continue to drive growth over the next few quarters, helping Peru
overtake China as the world's second largest copper producer by the end of the