The 2016-2021 World Outlook for Copper, Nickel, Lead, and Zinc Mining

 Published On: Apr, 2015 |    No of Pages: 249 |  Published By: Icon Group International, Inc | Format: PDF
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This econometric study covers the world outlook for copper, nickel, lead, and zinc mining across more than 200 countries. For each year reported, estimates are given for the latent demand, or potential industry earnings (P.I.E.), for the country in question (in millions of U.S. dollars), the percent share the country is of the region and of the globe. These comparative benchmarks allow the reader to quickly gauge a country vis-à-vis others. Using econometric models which project fundamental economic dynamics within each country and across countries, latent demand estimates are created. This report does not discuss the specific players in the market serving the latent demand, nor specific details at the product level. The study also does not consider short-term cyclicalities that might affect realized sales. The study, therefore, is strategic in nature, taking an aggregate and long-run view, irrespective of the players or products involved.

This study does not report actual sales data (which are simply unavailable, in a comparable or consistent manner in virtually all of the 230 countries of the world).

This study gives, however, my estimates for the worldwide latent demand, or the P.I.E., for copper, nickel, lead, and zinc mining. It also shows how the P.I.E. is divided across the world’s regional and national markets. For each country, I also show my estimates of how the P.I.E. grows over time (positive or negative growth). In order to make these estimates, a multi-stage methodology was employed that is often taught in courses on international strategic planning at graduate schools of business.

Table Of Contents:

1 INTRODUCTION 10
1.1 Overview 10
1.2 What is Latent Demand and the P.I.E.? 10
1.3 The Methodology 11
1.3.1 Step 1. Product Definition and Data Collection 12
1.3.2 Step 2. Filtering and Smoothing 15
1.3.3 Step 3. Filling in Missing Values 15
1.3.4 Step 4. Varying Parameter, Non-linear Estimation 15
1.3.5 Step 5. Fixed-Parameter Linear Estimation 16
1.3.6 Step 6. Aggregation and Benchmarking 16
1.3.7 Step 7. Latent Demand Density: Allocating Across Cities 16
1.4 Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) 17
1.4.1 Category Definition 17
1.4.2 Units 17
1.4.3 Methodology 18
2 SUMMARY OF FINDINGS 20
2.1 The Worldwide Market Potential 20
3 AFRICA 22
3.1 Executive Summary 22
3.2 Algeria 24
3.3 Angola 26
3.4 Benin 26
3.5 Botswana 27
3.6 Burkina Faso 28
3.7 Burundi 29
3.8 Cameroon 30
3.9 Cape Verde 31
3.10 Central African Republic 31
3.11 Chad 32
3.12 Comoros 33
3.13 Congo (formerly Zaire) 34
3.14 Cote d'Ivoire 35
3.15 Djibouti 35
3.16 Egypt 36
3.17 Equatorial Guinea 37
3.18 Eritrea 38
3.19 Ethiopia 39
3.20 Gabon 40
3.21 Ghana 40
3.22 Guinea 42
3.23 Guinea-Bissau 42
3.24 Kenya 43
3.25 Lesotho 45
3.26 Liberia 46
3.27 Libya 46
3.28 Madagascar 47
3.29 Malawi 48
3.30 Mali 48
3.31 Mauritania 49
3.32 Mauritius 50
3.33 Morocco 50
3.34 Mozambique 51
3.35 Namibia 52
3.36 Niger 53
3.37 Nigeria 54
3.38 North Sudan 56
3.39 Republic of Congo 57
3.40 Rwanda 58
3.41 Sao Tome E Principe 58
3.42 Senegal 59
3.43 Sierra Leone 60
3.44 Somalia 60
3.45 South Africa 61
3.46 South Sudan 62
3.47 Swaziland 63
3.48 Tanzania 63
3.49 The Gambia 64
3.50 Togo 65
3.51 Tunisia 66
3.52 Uganda 67
3.53 Western Sahara 68
3.54 Zambia 68
3.55 Zimbabwe 69
4 ASIA 71
4.1 Executive Summary 71
4.2 Bangladesh 73
4.3 Bhutan 75
4.4 Brunei 75
4.5 Burma 76
4.6 Cambodia 77
4.7 China 77
4.8 Hong Kong 79
4.9 India 80
4.10 Indonesia 82
4.11 Japan 84
4.12 Laos 87
4.13 Macau 88
4.14 Malaysia 89
4.15 Maldives 90
4.16 Mongolia 90
4.17 Nepal 91
4.18 North Korea 92
4.19 Papua New Guinea 93
4.20 Philippines 94
4.21 Seychelles 98
4.22 Singapore 99
4.23 South Korea 99
4.24 Sri Lanka 101
4.25 Taiwan 101
4.26 Thailand 102
4.27 Timor - Leste, Democratic Republic of 103
4.28 Vietnam 104
5 EUROPE 105
5.1 Executive Summary 105
5.2 Albania 107
5.3 Andorra 108
5.4 Austria 108
5.5 Belarus 109
5.6 Belgium 110
5.7 Bosnia and Herzegovina 111
5.8 Bulgaria 112
5.9 Croatia 113
5.10 Cyprus 113
5.11 Czech Republic 114
5.12 Denmark 115
5.13 Estonia 116
5.14 Finland 117
5.15 France 118
5.16 Georgia 120
5.17 Germany 120
5.18 Greece 121
5.19 Hungary 123
5.20 Iceland 124
5.21 Ireland 125
5.22 Italy 125
5.23 Kazakhstan 127
5.24 Kosovo 129
5.25 Latvia 129
5.26 Liechtenstein 130
5.27 Lithuania 131
5.28 Luxembourg 131
5.29 Macedonia 132
5.30 Malta 133
5.31 Moldova 133
5.32 Monaco 134
5.33 Montenegro 135
5.34 Norway 135
5.35 Poland 136
5.36 Portugal 138
5.37 Romania 139
5.38 Russia 140
5.39 San Marino 143
5.40 Serbia 143
5.41 Slovakia 144
5.42 Slovenia 145
5.43 Spain 146
5.44 Sweden 148
5.45 Switzerland 149
5.46 The Netherlands 150
5.47 The United Kingdom 152
5.48 Ukraine 154
6 LATIN AMERICA 157
6.1 Executive Summary 157
6.2 Argentina 159
6.3 Belize 162
6.4 Bolivia 163
6.5 Brazil 164
6.6 Chile 167
6.7 Colombia 168
6.8 Costa Rica 170
6.9 Ecuador 171
6.10 El Salvador 172
6.11 Guatemala 173
6.12 Guyana 174
6.13 Honduras 174
6.14 Mexico 175
6.15 Nicaragua 177
6.16 Panama 178
6.17 Paraguay 178
6.18 Peru 179
6.19 Suriname 180
6.20 The Falkland Islands 181
6.21 Uruguay 182
6.22 Venezuela 183
7 NORTH AMERICA & THE CARIBBEAN 185
7.1 Executive Summary 185
7.2 Antigua and Barbuda 186
7.3 Aruba 187
7.4 Barbados 188
7.5 Bermuda 188
7.6 Canada 189
7.7 Cuba 191
7.8 Dominica 192
7.9 Dominican Republic 193
7.10 Greenland 194
7.11 Grenada 195
7.12 Haiti 195
7.13 Jamaica 196
7.14 Puerto Rico 197
7.15 St. Kitts and Nevis 198
7.16 St. Lucia 198
7.17 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 199
7.18 The Bahamas 200
7.19 The British Virgin Islands 200
7.20 The Cayman Islands 201
7.21 The U.S. Virgin Islands 202
7.22 The United States 202
7.23 Trinidad and Tobago 204
8 OCEANA 205
8.1 Executive Summary 205
8.2 American Samoa 206
8.3 Australia 207
8.4 Christmas Island 208
8.5 Cook Islands 208
8.6 Fiji 209
8.7 French Polynesia 209
8.8 Guam 210
8.9 Kiribati 211
8.10 Marshall Islands 211
8.11 Micronesia Federation 212
8.12 Nauru 212
8.13 New Caledonia 213
8.14 New Zealand 214
8.15 Niue 215
8.16 Norfolk Island 215
8.17 Palau 216
8.18 Solomon Islands 216
8.19 The Northern Mariana Island 217
8.20 Tonga 218
8.21 Tuvalu 218
8.22 Vanuatu 219
8.23 Wallis and Futuna 219
8.24 Western Samoa 220
9 THE MIDDLE EAST 221
9.1 Executive Summary 221
9.2 Afghanistan 223
9.3 Armenia 224
9.4 Azerbaijan 225
9.5 Bahrain 226
9.6 Iran 226
9.7 Iraq 229
9.8 Israel 230
9.9 Jordan 231
9.10 Kuwait 231
9.11 Kyrgyzstan 232
9.12 Lebanon 233
9.13 Oman 234
9.14 Pakistan 234
9.15 Palestine 236
9.16 Qatar 237
9.17 Saudi Arabia 238
9.18 Syrian Arab Republic 239
9.19 Tajikistan 241
9.20 The United Arab Emirates 241
9.21 Turkey 242
9.22 Turkmenistan 245
9.23 Uzbekistan 246
9.24 Yemen 247
10 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 248
10.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 248
10.2 ICON Group International, Inc. User Agreement Provisions 249

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