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Iraq Telecommunications Report

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ISBN: 1758-4892
Published Date: Jan, 2014
Format: PDF
No of Pages: 90
 
 
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  • Abstract
  • Table of Contents

View: The Iraqi mobile sector recorded double-digit growth over the 12 months to September 2013. This supports our outlook for continued subscriptions growth during our five-year forecast period ending in 2017, driven by network expansion to underserved areas and relatively strong private consumption. However, we caution that an uptick in sectarian violence in 2013 poses a downside risk to our outlook, as operators are likely to reassess their long-term investment strategies. The allocation of 3G spectrum, expected in H114, may also impact operators' investment strategies, prompting them to focus on building up advanced data networks in wealthier and more densely populated urban areas rather than pursuing subscriptions growth by extending networks to underserved rural areas. Although growth in the fixed telephony and data sectors remains stifled, we expect the implementation of various network infrastructure investment plans by the government and national fixed-line operator ITPC to boost growth over the medium-to-long term.

Key Data
- The mobile market grew by 10.2% year-on-year (y-o-y) in Q313. We forecast the sector to grow by an average of 6.2% annually between 2013 and 2017.
- After relative stability, Zain Iraq and Asiacell have reported a drop in ARPU in 9M13. We expect this trend to continue due to competition and operators' inability to offer advanced data services.
- Iraq has one of the lowest fixed-line and broadband penetration rates in the region, at 5.6% at the end of 2012, and we do not expect the situation to improve significantly through to 2017. We forecast the penetration rates to reach 5.1% by the end of our forecast period.

Industry View 7
SWOT 9
SWOT 11
Political 13
Economic 14
Business Environment 15
Industry Forecast 16
Mobile 16
Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data and Forecasts 16
ARPU 18
Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile ARPU (IQD) - Historical Data and Forecasts 18
Fixed Line 20
Table: Telecoms Sector - Fixed-Line - Historical Data and Forecasts 20
Broadband 22
Table: Telecoms Sector - Broadband - Historical Data and Forecasts 22
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 24
Industry Rewards 24
Country Rewards 25
Industry Risks 26
Country Risks 27
Table: MENA Risks/Rewards Ratings, Q1 201428
Market Overview 29
Mobile 29
Regional Perspective 29
Table: Iraq Mobile Market Regional Comparison, Q113 30
Key Developments 30
Mobile Growth 31
Market Share 32
ARPU 33
Networks 34
Mobile Content 36
Mobile Operator Data 38
Table: Market Overview 38
Table: Zain Iraq 38
Table: Asiacell 39
Table: Korek 39
MENA Mobile Content 40
Data Networks And Devices Drive Mobile VAS 40
OTT Services Increase 41
Operators Give Competition A Go 41
M-Commerce Takes Off 42
Operators Look To Non-Voice Corporate Solutions 43
Fixed Line 44
Broadband 47
Industry Trends And Developments 54
Table: Industry Trends and Developments 54
Regulatory Development 56
Regulatory Overview 56
Table: Iraq - Regulatory Bodies & Their Responsibilities 56
Competitive Landscape 60
Table: Key Players 60
Table: Selected Operators' Revenues (US$mn) 60
Company Profile 61
Iraqi Telecommunication & Post Company (ITPC) 61
Zain Iraq 65
Asiacell 70
Regional Overview 75
Table: Huawei Recent Contract Wins 78
Demographic Forecast 80
Demographic Outlook 80
Table: Iraq's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 81
Table: Iraq's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 82
Table: Iraq's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 83
Table: Iraq's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 83
Glossary 84
Table: Glossary Of Terms 84
Methodology 86
Industry Forecast Methodology 86
Sources 87
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 88
Table: Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators 89
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 90

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