France Oil and Gas Report

 Published On: Dec, 2013 |    No of Pages: 101 |  Published By: BMI Oil and Gas | Format: PDF
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Since the 2011 Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster and the 2012 presidential elections, French
dependence on nuclear energy has been under the spotlight and has been set to be diluted in favour of
renewables. President Hollande has restated a goal of reducing nuclear generation from 75% to 50% of the
electricity mix. This also leaves the door open for gas to play a larger role. However, given the influence of
the nuclear lobby in France, Hollande's cabinet is likely to struggle to achieve these targets. Overall, the
future of energy growth is uncertain and the outlook for refiners and fuel distributors remains poor.
The main trends and developments in the French oil and gas sector are:
■ President Hollande in July 2013 reiterated France's moratorium on hydraulic fracturing (fracking), which
effectively bans exploration for shale oil and gas and dashed industry hopes that he might soften his
stance. This was in line with previous declarations and he has insisted on the fact that this would be his
policy throughout his term in office. Another key aspect of Hollande's energy policy is his ambitions of
reducing nuclear generation from 75% to 50% of the electricity mix, although his cabinet might struggle
to achieve this target given the weight of France's nuclear lobby.

Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Oil And Gas Reserves 11
Table: France Proven Oil & Gas Reserves And Total Hydrocarbons Data And Forecasts, 2011-2016 11
Table: France Proven Oil & Gas Reserves And Total Hydrocarbons Data And Forecasts, 2017-2022 12
Oil Supply And Demand 15
Table: France Crude And Liquids Production And Net Exports - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2011-2016 15
Table: France Crude And Liquids Production And Net Exports - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2017-2022 16
Gas Supply And Demand 17
Table: France Gas Production, Consumption And Net Exports - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2016 17
Table: France Gas Production, Consumption And Net Exports - Long-Term Forecasts, 2017-2022 18
Refining And Oil Products Trade 21
Table: France Refining Production And Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2016 21
Table: France Refining Production And Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts 2017-2022 22
Revenues/Import Costs 23
Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario 24
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 25
North America & Western Europe - Risk/Reward Ratings 25
Table: Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Ratings 26
Looking Downstream 27
Table: Oil & Gas Downstream Risk/Reward Ratings 27
Upside Potential 30
Table: North America & Western Europe States Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Ratings 31
France - Risk/Reward Ratings 31
France Upstream Rating - Overview 31
France Upstream Rating - Rewards 31
France Upstream Rating - Risks 32
France Downstream Rating - Overview 32
France Downstream Rating - Rewards 32
France Downstream Rating - Risks 33
Market Overview 34
France Energy Market Overview 34
Overview/State Role 35
Government Policy 36
International Energy Relations 37
Oil & Gas Infrastructure 38
Oil Refineries 38
Table: Refineries In France 39
Service Stations 42
Gas Pipelines 42
LNG Terminals 43
Table: LNG Terminals In France 43
Gas Storage 44
Competitive Landscape 45
Competitive Landscape Summary 45
Table: Key Players - France Oil And Gas Sector 46
Table: Key Upstream Players 46
Table: Key Downstream Players 46
Company Profile 47
Total 47
GdF Suez 52
Royal Dutch Shell 56
Other Summaries 58
Regional Overview 61
North America & Western Europe Overview 61
North America 62
Table: US LNG Export Terminal Project Applications And Status 66
Table: Canadian LNG Export Terminal Project Applications 67
Europe 68
Muted Consumption Growth 72
The Difficulty In Moving Exports Along 74
Refining Capacity: A Tale Of Two Continents 75
Global Industry Overview 77
Global Energy Market Overview 77
Appendix 85
Developed Europe - Regional Appendix 85
Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d) 85
Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2022 ('000b/d) 86
Table: Oil Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d) 86
Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2022 ('000b/d) 87
Table: Refinery Capacity - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d) 87
Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2022 ('000b/d) 88
Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm) 89
Table: Gas Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2022 (bcm) 89
Table: Gas Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm) 90
Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2022 (bcm) 90
Table: LNG Gas Imports (Exports) - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm) 91
Table: LNG Gas Imports (Exports) - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2022 (bcm) 92
Glossary 93
Table: Glossary Of Terms 93
Methodology 95
Industry Forecast Methodology 95
Source 97
Risk Reward Rating Methodology 97
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk Reward Ratings 99
Table: Weighting 100

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