Kenya Refining and Products Market Outlook to 2025- Supply, Demand Forecasts of Gasoline, Diesel/Gasoil, Jet/Kerosene, LPG and fuel oil, new refinery projects, Competition and Investments

 Published On: May, 2016 |    No of Pages: 80 |  Published By: OG Analysis | Format: PDF
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OGAnalysis’s widely renown study on Kenya refining industry (2016) focuses on the emergence of gasoline, diesel, fuel oil and LPG supply/demand balances in near to long term future. As lower crude prices continue to cause delays and cancellations of refinery projects worldwide, the research work analyzes the progress of refining projects, investment environment, plant closures, margins and pricing trends in Kenya.

With refiners worldwide focusing on expanding capacities in demand centers, the report evaluates the drivers and challenges of operating and investing in Kenya refining industry. The report observes that the Kenya refining capacity (CDU) is expected to remain unchanged at 80 Kb/d.
Government of Kenya (GOK) dominates the refining industry in Kenya, with the highest market share in the country.

The Kenya refining report provides refinery wise CDU, coking, FCC and Hydrocracking capacity outlook along with details of all operational and planned refineries including location, startup, current status, companies and capex details.

Crude oil demand from refineries and production from fields are forecast to 2025 along with gasoline, diesel, fuel oil and LPG annually to 2025. Importance of each of the petroleum products along with current consumption mix, major consuming sectors for each product are provided. Companies in Kenya continue to target increased production of middle and light distillates amidst low crude prices.
The report also reviews emergence of refining capacity amidst current framework of estimated refining margins and products prices. Further, business profiles of three leading refiners along with their SWOT, Financial and business description are included. In addition, all latest news and industry developments are analyzed in the research work.

• Forecasts of Supply and Demand for Crude Oil, Gasoline, LPG, Diesel and Fuel Oil annually from 2005 to 2025
• Refinery wise primary refining capacity (CDU) from 2005 to 2020
• Refinery wise secondary unit capacities (Coking, FCC and Hydrocracking) from 2005 to 2020
• Competitive Landscape details including market shares of leading companies and their net weighted capacities
• Refining complexity details including hydroskimming, topping, coking and cracking types are provided for planned and operational refineries.
• Nelson Complexity Index (NCI) is identified for Kenya refining industry
• Details of all planned projects including greenfield refineries and refinery expansions
• Potential drivers and challenges for national and foreign companies to 2020
• Refinery details including location, operator, owners, start up, complexity, investment, construction, current status
• Business Profiles of leading Kenya refiners
• oil and gas news, deals and events in Kenya refining sector
1. Contents
1.1. Tables and Charts
2. Kenya Refining Markets Overview
2.1. Market Snapshot
2.2. Installed Crude Refining Capacity Outlook to 2020
2.3. Secondary Unit Capacities Outlook to 2020
2.4. Product Consumption Mix
2.5. Kenya Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
2.6. Review of Refining Operations in 2015
3. Kenya Refining Industry Insights and Strategic Analysis
3.1. Kenya Refining Market Positioning in Regional Landscape
3.2. Future Trends in Kenya Refinery Market
3.3. Market Drivers and Their Long Term Implications
3.4. Critical Issues Facing Refiners
4. Business Development Opportunities in Kenya Refining Sector
4.1. Planned Greenfield Projects
4.2. Expansion Refinery Projects
5. Kenya Products Mid and Long Term Supply Outlook to 2025
5.1. Gasoline Production Forecast in Kenya (Annual), 2005- 2025
5.2. Diesel/ Gas Oil Production Forecast in Kenya (Annual), 2005- 2025
5.3. Jet/Kerosene Production Forecast in Kenya (Annual), 2005- 2025
5.4. LPG Production Forecast in Kenya (Annual), 2005- 2025
5.5. Fuel Oil Production Forecast in Kenya (Annual), 2005- 2025
6. Kenya Products Mid and Long Term Demand Outlook to 2025
6.1. Gasoline Demand Forecast in Kenya (Annual), 2005- 2025
6.2. Diesel/ Gas Oil Demand Forecast in Kenya (Annual), 2005- 2025
6.3. Jet/Kerosene Demand Forecast in Kenya (Annual), 2005- 2025
6.4. LPG Demand Forecast in Kenya (Annual), 2005- 2025
6.5. Fuel Oil Demand Forecast in Kenya (Annual), 2005- 2025
7. Kenya Operational and Planned Refining Project Details
7.1. Kenya Refinery Details- Start Up
7.2. Kenya Refinery Details- Current Status
7.3. Kenya Refinery Details- Location
7.4. Kenya Refinery Details- Operator
7.5. Kenya Refinery Details- Owners
7.6. Kenya Refinery Details- Primary and Secondary Capacities
7.7. Kenya Refinery Details- Capex
8. Kenya Refining Capacity Outlook by Refinery
8.1. Plant-by-Plant Installed CDU Capacity Forecasts, 2005- 2020
8.2. Plant-by-Plant Coking Capacity Forecasts, 2005- 2020
8.3. Plant-by-Plant Fluid Catalytic Cracking Capacity Forecasts, 2005- 2020
8.4. Plant-by-Plant HydroCracking Capacity Forecasts, 2005- 2020
9. Kenya Refining Competitive Landscape
9.1. Market Structure, 2016
9.2. Company wise Net Weighted CDU Capacity, 2005- 2020
9.3. Company wise Net Weighted Coking Capacity, 2005- 2020
9.4. Company wise Net Weighted FCC Capacity, 2005- 2020
9.5. Company wise Net Weighted HydroCracking Capacity, 2005- 2020
10. Business Profiles of Leading Refiners
10.1. Leading Refiner 1
10.1.1. Business Overview
10.1.2. Refining Operations
10.1.3. Refining Assets
10.1.4. SWOT Analysis
10.1.5. Contact Details
10.2. Leading Refiner 2
10.2.1. Business Overview
10.2.2. Refining Operations
10.2.3. Refining Assets
10.2.4. SWOT Analysis
10.2.5. Contact Details
10.3. Leading Refiner 3
10.3.1. Business Overview
10.3.2. Refining Operations
10.3.3. Refining Assets
10.3.4. SWOT Analysis
10.3.5. Contact Details
11. Kenya Refining Industry- Market Monitor
11.1. Latest Market Developments
11.2. Mergers and Acquisitions
11.3. Project Announcements and Construction
12. Appendix
12.1. About OG Analysis
12.2. Report Sources
12.3. Research Methodology
12.4. Contact Information

List of Tables

Table 1: Kenya Refining Industry Key Statistics, 2015
Table 2: Kenya Crude Distillation Unit Capacity Forecast, 2005- 2020
Table 3: Kenya Secondary Unit Capacity Forecast, 2005- 2020
Table 5: Planned Greenfield and Expansion Refinery Projects, 2016- 2020
Table 6: Kenya Gasoline Supply Outlook, 2005- 2025
Table 7: Kenya Diesel Supply Outlook, 2005- 2025
Table 8: Kenya Jet/Kerosene Supply Outlook, 2005- 2025
Table 9: Kenya LPG Supply Outlook, 2005- 2025
Table 10: Kenya Fuel Oil Supply Outlook, 2005- 2025
Table 11: Kenya Gasoline Demand Outlook, 2005- 2025
Table 12: Kenya Diesel Demand Outlook, 2005- 2025
Table 13: Kenya Jet/Kerosene Demand Outlook, 2005- 2025
Table 14: Kenya LPG Demand Outlook, 2005- 2025
Table 15: Kenya Fuel Oil Demand Outlook, 2005- 2025
Table 16: Kenya Refineries- Start Date Details
Table 17: Kenya Refineries- Current Status Details
Table 18: Kenya Refineries- Location Details
Table 19: Kenya Refineries- Operator Details
Table 20: Kenya Refineries- Owners Details
Table 21: Kenya Refineries- CDU, Coking, FCC, HCC Capacity Details, 2015
Table 22: Kenya Refineries- Capex Details
Table 23: Refinery wise CDU Capacity Outlook, 2005- 2020
Table 24: Refinery wise Coking Capacity Outlook, 2005- 2020
Table 25: Refinery wise Fluid Catalytic Cracking Capacity Outlook, 2005- 2020
Table 26: Refinery wise HydroCracking Capacity Outlook, 2005- 2020
Table 27: Company wise CDU Capacity Forecast, 2005- 2020
Table 27: Company wise Coking Capacity Forecast, 2005- 2020
Table 27: Company wise FCC Capacity Forecast, 2005- 2020
Table 27: Company wise Hydrocracking Capacity Forecast, 2005- 2020

List of Figures


Figure 1: Kenya Secondary Unit Capacity Forecast, 2005- 2020
Figure 2: Kenya Product Consumption Mix
Figure 3: Kenya Refinery Capex Forecast, 2016-2020
Figure 4: Kenya Refinery Positioning Matrix
Figure 5: Kenya Gasoline Supply Outlook, 2005- 2025
Figure 6: Kenya Diesel Supply Outlook, 2005- 2025
Figure 7: Kenya Jet/Kerosene Supply Outlook, 2005- 2025
Figure 8: Kenya LPG Supply Outlook, 2005- 2025
Figure 9: Kenya Fuel Oil Supply Outlook, 2005- 2025
Figure 10: Kenya Gasoline Demand Outlook, 2005- 2025
Figure 11: Kenya Diesel Demand Outlook, 2005- 2025
Figure 12: Kenya Jet/Kerosene Demand Outlook, 2005- 2025
Figure 13: Kenya LPG Demand Outlook, 2005- 2025
Figure 14: Kenya Fuel Oil Demand Outlook, 2005- 2025
Figure 15: Kenya Refining Market Shares by Company, 2016
Figure 16: OG Analysis Research Methodology

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