Indonesia Retail Report

 Published On: Jul, 2016 |    No of Pages: 62 |  Published By: BMI Retail | Format: PDF
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BMI View: Despite the multiple headwinds that have faced Indonesia's economy in recent quarters, we believe that the stabilisation of the rupiah and the central bank's accommodative monetary policy stance should be positive news for consumer confidence in the highly prospective Indonesian market. However, the country's economic recovery largely hinges on increased government spending levels, which could be compromised by the deteriorating country's fiscal position.

Key Views And Developments
-Headline household spending growth will average 11.5% a year between 2016 and 2020. Spending on communications will enjoy the strongest growth rate, averaging 13.1% a year during our forecast period.
-In May 2016 the government passed an amendment allowing majority foreign-ownership in a number of sectors, including retail. However, foreign ownership in e-commerce companies remains restricted to a maximum share of 49%.

BMI Industry View ....... 7
SWOT .... 9
Retail SWOT ..... 9
Industry Forecast ...... 11
Headline Retail Forecast .. 11
Latest Updates ....... 11
Structural Trends ... 12
Table: Total Household Spending (Indonesia 2013-2020) . . . 14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Indonesia 2013-2020) . . . . 15
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Indonesia 2013-2020) . . 16
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of GDP (Indonesia 2013-2020) . . . . 19
Retail Sub-Sectors Forecast ....... 20
Latest Updates ....... 20
Structural Trends ... 20
Food, Drink And Tobacco 22
Table: Food, Drink And Tobacco Spending (Indonesia 2013-2020) . . . 22
Clothing And Footwear ... 23
Table: Clothing And Footwear Spending (Indonesia 2013-2020) . 23
Household Goods ... 24
Table: Household Goods Spending (Indonesia 2013-2020) . . 25
Household Numbers And Income Forecast ... 26
Latest Updates ....... 26
Structural Trends ... 26
Table: Household Income Data (Indonesia 2013-2020) 28
Table: Labour Market Data (Indonesia 2013-2020) . . . . 29
Demographic Forecast ..... 30
Latest Updates ....... 30
Structural Trends ... 30
Table: Total Population (Indonesia 2013-2020) . . . 32
Table: Population: Babies (Indonesia 2013-2020) . 33
Table: Population: Young Children (Indonesia 2013-2020) . 33
Table: Population: Children (Indonesia 2013-2020) . . . . 33
Table: Population: Young Teens And Older Children (Indonesia 2013-2020) . . 34
Table: Population: Young People (Indonesia 2013-2020) . . . 34
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Indonesia 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Indonesia 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Young Adults (Indonesia 2013-2020) . . . . 35
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Indonesia 2013-2020) . . . . 35
Table: Population: Urban/Rural (Indonesia 2013-2020) . . . . 36
Industry Risk/Reward Index ..... 37
Asia Pacific Risk/Reward Index .. 37
Table: Asia Pacific Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q316 . . . . 37
Indonesia - Risk/Reward Index ... 38
Rewards ....... 38
Risks .... 39
Market Overview ....... 41
Latest Updates ....... 41
Department Stores .. 41
Shopping Centres ... 42
Clothing And Footwear ... 43
Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement . 43
Electronics ... 44
Pharmacies And Drug Stores .... 44
E-Commerce . 44
Competitive Landscape .... 46
Clothing And Footwear ... 46
Table: Selected Clothing And Footwear Retailers . . 46
Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement . 46
Table: Selected Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement Retailers . . . 46
Electronics ... 47
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 47
Department Stores .. 47
Table: Selected Department Stores . . 47
E-Commerce And Online Marketplaces ...... 48
Table: Selected E-commerce Retailers And Online Marketplaces 48
Pharmacies And Drug Stores .... 48
Table: Selected Pharmacies And Drug Stores . 48
Glossary ..... 49
Methodology ...... 56
Industry Forecast Methodology 56
Sources 59
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ....... 59
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators . . . 60
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 62
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