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BMI View: Despite the multiple headwinds that have faced Indonesia's economy
in recent quarters, we believe that the stabilisation of the rupiah and the
central bank's accommodative monetary policy stance should be positive news for
consumer confidence in the highly prospective Indonesian market. However, the
country's economic recovery largely hinges on increased government spending
levels, which could be compromised by the deteriorating country's fiscal
Key Views And Developments
-Headline household spending growth will average 11.5% a year between 2016 and
2020. Spending on communications will enjoy the strongest growth rate, averaging
13.1% a year during our forecast period.
-In May 2016 the government passed an amendment allowing majority
foreign-ownership in a number of sectors, including retail. However, foreign
ownership in e-commerce companies remains restricted to a maximum share of 49%.