Poland Retail Report

 Published On: Aug, 2016 |    No of Pages: 66 |  Published By: BMI Retail | Format: PDF
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BMI View: The growth outlook for Poland's large and diversified retail market is mostly positive. Healthy economic growth in the country, where GDP is forecast to increase by 3.7% in 2016, along with falling oil prices and strong employment growth all indicate a rise in average household income rates and we are currently forecasting spending increases across all retail subsectors when measured in local currency terms, though the loss of the value of the zloty against the dollar means in US dollar terms the market will contract in the short-term, before returning to positive growth. There are some potential downside risks. A number of government policies enacted in recent months have been seen as anti-foreign investment and there are limitations in the labour market which will hamper both the sourcing of adequate skilled labour and hamper wage growth over the coming years.

Key Views And Developments
-Poland's retail sector continues to attract foreign investment. UK based Tesco announced in June 2016 it was opening a new distribution centre in Poznań which will service 140 stores from September 2016, reiterating its committment to the market following the closure of nine stores in 2015.

BMI Industry View ... 7
SWOT ...... 9
Industry Forecast .. 11
Headline Retail Forecast ..... 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends ..... 12
Table: Total Household Spending (Poland 2013-2020) 13
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Poland 2013-2020) . . . 15
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Poland 2013-2020) . . . 16
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Poland 2013-2020) . . . . . 18
Retail Sub-Sector Forecast ... 21
Latest Updates 21
Structural Trends ..... 21
Food, Drink And Tobacco ... 22
Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Spending (Poland 2013-2020) . . . . 23
Clothing And Footwear ...... 24
Table: Clothing & Footwear Spending (Poland 2013-2020) . 24
Household Goods ..... 25
Table: Household Goods Spending (Poland 2013-2020) . . . . . 25
Personal Care 26
Table: Personal Care Spending (Poland 2013-2020) . . 27
Household Numbers And Income Forecast 28
Latest Updates 28
Structural Trends ..... 29
Table: Household Income Data (Poland 2013-2020) . . 30
Table: Labour Market Data (Poland 2013-2020) 32
Demographic Forecast ........ 33
Latest Updates 33
Structural Trends ..... 34
Table: Total Population (Poland 2013-2020) . . . . 35
Table: Population: Babies (Poland 2013-2020) . . 35
Table: Population: Young Children (Poland 2013-2020) . . . . 36
Table: Population: Children (Poland 2013-2020) . . . . . 36
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Poland 2013-2020) . . . . 36
Table: Population: Young People (Poland 2013-2020) 37
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Poland 2013-2020) . . . 37
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Poland 2013-2020) . 37
Table: Population: Young Adults (Poland 2013-2020) . 38
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Poland 2013-2020) . 38
Table: Population: Urban (Poland 2013-2020) . . 38
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 39
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Index .. 39
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q416 . . . 39
Poland Risk/Reward Index ... 40
Rewards ........ 40
Risks .... 41
Market Overview ... 43
Competitive Landscape . 49
Clothing And Footwear ...... 49
Table: Selected Clothing And Footwear Retailers 49
Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement 50
Table: Selected Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement Retailers . . 50
Electronics .... 50
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers . 50
Department Stores .... 51
Table: Selected Department Stores . . . 51
E-Commerce And Online Marketplaces ... 51
Table: Selected E-commerce Retailers And Online Marketplaces . 51
Drug Stores And Pharmacies ........ 52
Table: Selected Drug Stores And Pharmacies . . . . 52
Glossary ........ 53
Methodology . 60
Industry Forecast Methodology .... 60
Sources 63
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 63
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 64
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 66
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