Turkey Retail Report

 Published On: Sep, 2016 |    No of Pages: 63 |  Published By: BMI Retail | Format: PDF
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BMI View: Turkey's retail industry benefits from a large urban population that is enjoying steadily rising incomes. Over our five-year forecast period to 2020 we expect economic growth to be fairly slow but steady, averaging 3.3% a year. This growth will support a rise in net household incomes from USD12,375 in 2016 to USD15,049 by 2020. However, in the medium term the retail sector will be held back by political and security concerns that will dampen both investor and consumer confidence, and that have already damaged Turkey's tourism industry. In the long term, though, significant opportunities will remain, particularly as retailers expand into second-tier cities.

Key Views And Developments

-Total household spending is set to fall by 1.8% y-o-y in US dollar terms in 2016, although it will continue growing in lira terms, as the currency weakens against the dollar. However, over the rest of our forecast period to 2020 growth will pick up, growing by an average of 5.63% a year in US dollar terms.
BMI Industry View ............... 7
SWOT .... 9
Retail SWOT ............. 9
Industry Forecast .............. 12
Headline Retail Forecast .......... 12
Table: Total Household Spending (Turkey 2013-2020)............ 15
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Turkey 2013-2020)..........16
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of GDP (Turkey 2013-2020)..........17
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Turkey 2013-2020)........... . . 18
Retail Sector Forecast .............. 20
Food And Drink ..... 21
Table: Food, Drink And Tobacco Spending (Turkey 2013-2020).......... . . . . . . 22
Clothing And Footwear ........... 22
Table: Clothing And Footwear Spending (Turkey 2013-2020)........... . 23
Household Goods ... 23
Table: Household Goods Spending (Turkey 2013-2020)...........24
Personal Care And Effects ....... 24
Table: Personal Care Spending (Turkey 2013-2020)............ . . 25
Household Numbers And Income Forecast ... 26
Table: Household Income Data (Turkey 2013-2020)............ . . . 28
Table: Labour Market Data, 2013-2020.............. 30
Demographic Forecast ............. 31
Table: Total Population (Turkey 2013-2020)............. . . 34
Table: Population: Babies (Turkey 2013-2020)............. 34
Table: Population: Young Children (Turkey 2013-2020)........... . . . . . . 34
Table: Population: Children (Turkey 2013-2020)............ . . . . . . 35
Table: Population: Young Teens And Older Children (Turkey 2013-2020)......... . . . . 35
Table: Population: Young People (Turkey 2013-2020)............ 35
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Turkey 2013-2020)........... . . . . . 36
Table: Population: 21 Years Plus (Turkey 2013-2020)............ 36
Table: Population: Young Adults (Turkey 2013-2020)............ . 36
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Turkey 2013-2020)............ . . 37
Table: Population: Urban/Rural (Turkey 2013-2020)............ . 37
Industry Risk/Reward Index ............. 38
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Index ............ 38
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q416.......... . 38
Turkey Risk/Reward Index ......... 39
Rewards ............... 39
Risks .... 40
Market Overview ............... 42
Competitive Landscape .... 46
Clothing And Footwear ........... 46
Table: Selected Clothing And Footwear Retailers............ . . . . . . 46
Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement . 47
Table: Selected Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement Retailers........ . . . . 47
Electronics ........... 48
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers.............. . . . 48
Department Stores .. 48
Table: Selected Department stores.............. . . . . . 48
E-Commerce ......... 49
Table: Selected E-Commerce Retailers And Online Marketplaces.......... . . . . . 49
Glossary ............. 50
Methodology ...... 57
Industry Forecast Methodology 57
Sources 60
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ............... 60
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators............. . . . . 61
Table: Weighting Of Indicators............... . 63
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