United Arab Emirates Retail Report

 Published On: Oct, 2016 |    No of Pages: 63 |  Published By: BMI Retail | Format: PDF
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The United Arab Emirates Retail Report has been researched at source and features BMI Research's independent assessment and forecasts for the retail sector. The report examines key drivers of retail sales growth and future prospects, including consumer spending and private sector investment.

BMI's United Arab Emirates Retail Report also examines the level of development and potential for growth of the retail sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, changing consumer demographics that influence demand and the regulatory environment. Key sub-sectors include mass grocery retail, autos, over-the-counter pharmaceuticals, computers and consumer electronics.

Key Benefits

-Benchmark BMI's independent retail industry forecasts for United Arab Emirates to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Emirati retail market.
-Target business opportunities and risks in United Arab Emirates through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.


BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key forecasts and industry analysis, plus a discussion of major industry developments and a snapshot of key short-term demand-driving macroeconomic movements.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the retail sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

There are four separate 5-year forecast modules in the retail reports. These are:

-Headline Retail Forecast: Total household spending (local currency and USDbn, % growth, % GDP, per capita, per household), spending by retail sector (food & non-alcoholic drink, alcoholic drink, clothing & footwear, housing & utilities, furnishings & home, health, transport, recreation, education, restaurants & hotels, personal care & insurance (local currency and USDbn, % growth, % GDP, % of total spending)
-Retail Sector Forecast: Breakdown of Food, Non Alcoholic Drink, Alcohol, Tobacco, Clothing, Footwear, Household Goods, Furnishings, Appliances, Glass and Tablewear, Household Textiles, Consumer Electronics, Garden Toys and Pets, Home and Garden tools, Personal Care, Personal Effects Spending (USDbn, % Growth)
-Household Income and Numbers Forecast: Number of Households (‘000, % growth); gross income per household and per capita; net income per household and per capita; tax and social contributions per capita; breakdown of household incomes – USD5000+, USD10,000+ USD50000+ (‘000, % of total); labour force, employment and unemployment (‘000, % change)
-Demographic Forecast: Total population; Babies 0-12 months; Young Children 0-4yrs; Children 5-9yrs; Young Teens and Older Children 10-14yrs; Older Teens 15-19yrs; Adults 21yrs +; Young Adults 21-29yrs; Middle Aged 40-64yrs (‘000, % growth, male, female); Urban Population (‘000, % population); Rural Population (‘000, % population).

BMI’s Retail Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Overview

Provides a detailed country-specific analysis of the key trends and developments in the retail sector as a whole, as well as an assessment of the main drivers affecting the major retail segments including mass grocery retail, fashion, pharmacies, consumer electronics, home improvement and personal care. The market overview also considers the most effective store formats in a given country and the impact of these factors on the main international and domestic players’ development strategies.

Competitive Landscape

This provides a brief overview of the key players in each subsection of the retail sector including MGR, Fashion, Home Improvement, Consumer Electronics, Pharmacies, and Department Store chains.


The Retail Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.
BMI Industry View ... 7
SWOT ...... 9
Industry Forecast .. 11
Headline Retail Forecast ..... 11
Table: Total Household Spending (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) . . 15
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) . . . . . 16
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) . . 17
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) 19
Retail Sector Forecast  20
Food, Drink & Tobacco ..... 22
Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Spending (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) 22
Clothing & Footwear  23
Table: Clothing & Footwear Spending (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) . . . 24
Household Goods ..... 24
Table: Household Goods Spending (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) . 25
Personal Care & Effects ..... 25
Table: Personal Care Spending (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) . . . . 26
Household Numbers And Income Forecast  27
Table: Household Income Data (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) . . . . 28
Table: Labour Market Data (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) . . 30
Demographic Forecast ........ 31
Table: Total Population (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Babies (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) . . . . 33
Table: Population: Young Children (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Children (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) . . 34
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Young People (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) . . 34
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) . . . . . 35
Table: Population: 21yrs + (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) . . . 35
Table: Population: Young Adults (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) . . . 35
Table: Population: Middle Aged (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) . . . 36
Table: Population: Urban (United Arab Emirates 2013-2020) . . . . 36
Industry Risk Reward Index ... 37
Middle East And North Africa Risk/Reward Index  37
Table: Middle East And North Africa Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q416 . 37
Industry Risk/Reward Index .. 38
Rewards ........ 38
Risks .... 39
Market Overview ... 41
United Arab Emirates Retail Report Q4 2016$$
Competitive Landscape . 46
Clothing & Footwear  46
Table: Selected Clothing & Footwear Retailers . . 46
Household Goods/ Homeware ...... 47
Table: Selected Household Goods/Homeware/Home Improvement Retailers . 47
Electronics .... 47
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers . 47
Department Stores .... 48
Table: Selected Department Stores . . . 48
E-Commerce .. 48
Table: Selected E-Commerce/Online Marketplaces . . . . 48
Pharmacies .... 49
Table: Selected Drug Store/Pharmacies . . . . 49
Glossary ........ 50
Methodology . 57
Industry Forecast Methodology .... 57
Sources  60
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 60
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 61
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 63
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