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BMI View: The US retail sector will remain one of the most attractive markets
for investors over the course of our forecast period as a result of the
country's mature business environment and increasingly affluent population based
in urban centres. The US retail sector's position as one of, if not the, world's
most innovative and developed markets only serves to boost its attractiveness.
In the short term, concerns over the strength of the economic recovery and
alterations in consumer habits may stunt investment and growth, but over the
long term the sector will see growth as real wages and employment levels
Key Recent Developments
-In July 2016 the National Retail Federation (NRF) raised its forecast for US
retail sales growth for the year from 3.1% to 3.4% on the back of high consumer
confidence and almost 4% growth in retail sales in H116. A key driver of growth
remains online and non-store sales, which the NRF forecasts to rise between 7%
and 10%, up from between 6% and 9% previously.
-The Federal Trade Commission approved the merger of the Delhaize Group, owner
of Food Lion, and Royal Ahold NV, owner of Stop & Shop, in July 2016, in a deal
that creates the fourth largest supermarket group in the US. The deal is worth
USD29.0bn, and the new company has stated that it expects to make 61% of its
total revenue in the US from the 6,500 shops it operates under a wide range of