United States Retail Report

 Published On: Aug, 2016 |    No of Pages: 67 |  Published By: BMI Retail | Format: PDF
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BMI View: The US retail sector will remain one of the most attractive markets for investors over the course of our forecast period as a result of the country's mature business environment and increasingly affluent population based in urban centres. The US retail sector's position as one of, if not the, world's most innovative and developed markets only serves to boost its attractiveness. In the short term, concerns over the strength of the economic recovery and alterations in consumer habits may stunt investment and growth, but over the long term the sector will see growth as real wages and employment levels increase.

Key Recent Developments
-In July 2016 the National Retail Federation (NRF) raised its forecast for US retail sales growth for the year from 3.1% to 3.4% on the back of high consumer confidence and almost 4% growth in retail sales in H116. A key driver of growth remains online and non-store sales, which the NRF forecasts to rise between 7% and 10%, up from between 6% and 9% previously.
-The Federal Trade Commission approved the merger of the Delhaize Group, owner of Food Lion, and Royal Ahold NV, owner of Stop & Shop, in July 2016, in a deal that creates the fourth largest supermarket group in the US. The deal is worth USD29.0bn, and the new company has stated that it expects to make 61% of its total revenue in the US from the 6,500 shops it operates under a wide range of names.

BMI Industry View ... 7
SWOT ...... 9
Industry Forecast .. 11
Headline Retail Forecast ..... 11
Table: Total Household Spending (United States 2013-2020) . . . . . 14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (United States 2013-2020) . . 15
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (United States 2013-2020) . . . 16
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (United States 2013-2020) . . . . . 17
Retail Sub-Sector Forecast ... 19
Food, Drink & Tobacco ..... 20
Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Spending (United States 2013-2020) . . . 21
Clothing & Footwear 21
Table: Clothing & Footwear Spending (United States 2013-2020) 22
Household Goods ..... 22
Table: Household Goods Spending (United States 2013-2020) . . . . 23
Table: Consumer Electronics Spending (United States 2013-2020) . . . . . 24
Table: Toys, Sports, Gardens and Pets Spending (United States 2013-2020) . . 25
Personal Care 26
Table: Personal Care Spending (United States 2013-2020) . . 26
Household Numbers And Income Forecast 27
Table: Household Income Data (United States 2013-2020) . . 31
Table: Labour Market Data (United States 2013-2020) 32
Demographic Forecast ........ 33
Table: Total Population (United States 2013-2020) . . . . 35
Table: Population: Babies (United States 2013-2020) . 36
Table: Population: Young Children (United States 2013-2020) . . . 36
Table: Population: Children (United States 2013-2020) . . . . . 36
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (United States 2013-2020) . . . 37
Table: Population: Young People (United States 2013-2020) . . . . . 37
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (United States 2013-2020) . . 38
Table: Population: 21yrs + (United States 2013-2020) 38
Table: Population: Young Adults (United States 2013-2020) 39
Table: Population: Middle Aged (United States 2013-2020) . 39
Table: Population: Urban (United States 2013-2020) . 40
Industry Risk/Reward Index ... 41
Developed States Risk/Reward Index ........ 41
Table: Developed States Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q416 . . . 41
Market Overview ... 43
Latest Updates 43
Competitive Landscape . 49
Clothing And Footwear ...... 49
Table: Selected Clothing And Footwear Retailers . . . . . 49
Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement 50
Table: Selected Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement Retailers . . 50
Electronics .... 50
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers . 50
Department Stores .... 51
Table: Selected Department Stores . . . 51
E-Commerce And Online Marketplaces ... 52
Table: Selected E-Commerce Retailers And Online Marketplaces . 52
Pharmacies And Drugstores 53
Table: Selected Pharmacies And Drugstores . . . . . 53
Glossary ........ 54
Methodology . 61
Industry Forecast Methodology .... 61
Sources 64
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 64
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 65
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 67
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