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The headwinds are beginning to circle around the Australian economy and, by extension, the country'sshipping industry, this is especially the case over the short-term. Growth will be muted at the country's mainports in 2015 with the port of Fremantle leading the way in terms of year-on-year (y-o-y) tonnage growth of3.40% and box throughput growth of 3.70%. Meanwhile, the port of Melbourne will finally see positivegrowth return after two years of stagnation. We have decided to stick to last quarter's forecasts across theboard.In terms of the wider economy, although net exports are now beginning to contribute positively to growth inreal terms - indeed, exports expanded at an 11.3% quarter-on-quarter (q-o-q) seasonally adjusted annual rate(SAAR) in Q3 2014, while imports contracted by 3.7%. However, this merely represents the difficulty thatthe Australian economy will face in rebalancing its external accounts amid deterioration in its terms oftrade.
Industry View 5SWOT 8Shipping 8Political 11Economic 12Operational Risk 13Industry Forecast 15Port Of Melbourne Throughput 15Port Of Sydney Throughput 21Table: Major Ports Data (Australia 2012-2019) 25Table: Trade Overview (Australia 2012-2019) 27Table: Key Trade Indicators (Australia 2012-2019) 27Table: Top Import Destinations, 2006-2013, USDmn 29Table: Top Export Destinations, 2006-2013, USDmn 30Market Overview 31Australia Container Shipping Market Overview 31Company Profile 39Australian National Lines 39Shipping - Global Industry View 43Container Lines To Prosper In 2015 43Global Company Strategy 48Maersk Line 48Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) 59CMA CGM 65Evergreen Line 76COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON) 83Macroeconomic Forecasts 91Economic Analysis 91Table: Macroeconomic Forecasts (Australia 2010-2016) 93Demographic Forecast 95Table: Population Headline Indicators (Australia 1990-2025) 96Table: Key Population Ratios (Australia 1990-2025) 96Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Australia 1990-2025) 97Table: Population By Age Group (Australia 1990-2025) 97Table: Population By Age Group % (Australia 1990-2025) 98