Chile Shipping Report

 Published On: Dec, 2013 |    No of Pages: 117 |  Published By: BMI Shipping | Format: PDF
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Industry View
We are revising down our 2014 real GDP growth forecast for Chile to 4.2%, from 4.6% previously, as the
country's H113 economic performance has reinforced our conviction that lower commodities prices and
weakening external demand for industrial metals will weigh on Chile's economy over a multi-year
timeframe. This slowdown in growth is attributable to decelerating economic activity in China, which over
the next several years will result in weakening real demand for Chilean copper exports and reduced
investment into the country's mining sector. This slowdown in demand will have a negative effect on Chile's
port and shipping volumes.
Our Asia Country Risk team believes that the likelihood of a rapid and sustained economic downturn in
China is rising, posing downside risks to our growth forecast for Chile. Indeed, if Chinese demand for
copper, and thus subsequently copper prices, trend lower than we currently forecast, we could see real GDP
growth in Chile head well below 4.0%.

Industry View 7
Shipping 9
Political 10
Economic 12
Business Environment 13
Industry Forecast 14
Port Of San Antonio Throughput 14
Port Of Valparaíso Throughput 17
Table: Major Port Data, 2011 - 2018 19
Table: Trade Overview, 2011-2018 20
Table: Key Trade Indicators, 2011-2018 21
Table: Main Import Partners (US$mn), 2004-2011 22
Table: Main Export Partners (US$mn), 2004-2011 23
Market Overview 24
Chile Container Shipping Market Overview 24
Industry Trends And Developments 30
Chile - Q114 30
Company Profile 32
Compañía Chilena de Navegación Interoceánica 32
Shipping - Global Industry View 41
Box Demand: Container Outlook Strengthening In 2014 41
Box Supply: Slowing New Vessel Deliveries To Decrease Overcapacity Pressure 58
Table: Q313 Container Vessel Deliveries 59
Table: 2013 Mega Vessel Orders 60
Box Rates: Rate Push In Preparation For 2014 64
Table: 2012 & 2013 SCFI Europe Base Port Average Freight Rate Overview 71
Table: 2012 & 2013 SCFI USWC Base Port Average Freight Rate Overview 71
Global Company Strategy 72
Maersk Line 72
Mediterranean Shipping Company 80
Evergreen Line 93
COSCO Container Lines Company 99
Macroeconomic Forecasts 105
Economic Activity 105
Table: Chile - Economic Activity 113
Demographic Forecast 114
Demographic Outlook 114
Table: Chile's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 115
Table: Chile's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 116
Table: Chile's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 117
Table: Chile's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 117

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