Indonesia Shipping Report

 Published On: Jul, 2014 |    No of Pages: 112 |  Published By: BMI Shipping | Format: PDF
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We have reduced our GDP growth forecast for Indonesia this year, cutting it back to 5.1%, down from the 5.4% we were predicting in our previous quarterly shipping report. The main reason is growing political risk ahead of the presidential elections due in July, coupled with increased economic nationalism from the outgoing government. Taken together these things are persuading investors to wait things out. Economic growth in the first quarter has already slowed to 5.1% year-on-year (y-o-y). The ban on mineral ore exports (introduced to try and force mining companies to do more refining and processing within Indonesia) has had a negative effect, particularly as it has coincided with slowing Chinese demand for Indonesian coal. Other measures (such as new restrictions on foreign participation in the oil and gas sector) have also concerned investors. We expect slowing investment to be the main drag on growth this year

On the plus side, however we believe that presidential front runner Joko Widodo (Jokowi), the former mayor of Jakarta, who is the favourite to win the contest, is reform minded and is prepared to strike an astute balance between the needs of foreign investors and domestic political constituencies. Although his detailed policies have yet to be spelled out, we think he could boost the infrastructure, mining, and oil and gas sectors, although admittedly he may face an uphill task in coalescing political support for his plans, given the expected fragmentary nature of the new parliament.

Industry View 7
Shipping 10
Political 12
Economic 14
Business Environment 16
Industry Forecast 17
Port Of Jakarta (Tanjung Priok) Throughput 17
Table: Major Port Data (Indonesia 2011-2018) 22
Table: Trade Overview (Indonesia 2011-2018) 23
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Indonesia 2011-2018) 23
Table: Top Import Sources 2004-2012 25
Table: Top Export Sources 2004-2012 26
Market Overview 27
Indonesia Container Shipping Market Overview 27
Table: Indonesia Container Port Plans 32
Industry Trends And Developments 35
Company Profile 41
Samudera Shipping Line 41
Trada Maritime (TRAM) 43
Shipping - Global Industry View 46
Container Demand: 46
Container Supply: 53
Container Rates: 59
Global Company Strategy 63
Maersk Line 63
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) 76
Evergreen Line 91
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON) 98
Macroeconomic Forecasts 105
Economic Analysis 105
Table: Indonesia - Economic Activity 108
Demographic Forecast 109
Table: Indonesia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 110
Table: Indonesia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 111
Table: Indonesia's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020. 112
Table: Indonesia's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 112

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